Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — Q4 2025

Bitcoin Paper Trade

BTC — Q4 2025 — Simulated live trading results using the v2.5.8.3 model.

v2.5.8.3 43 Trades Completed

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

BTC — Q4 2025 Performance

Bitcoin (BTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Win Rate
90.7%
Max Drawdown
-0.5%
Model
v2.5.8.3
Full Backtest

Trade Log

All 43 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Oct 2025 09:00 02 Oct 2025 19:00 $116,412.10 $120,836.49 +3.70% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
05 Oct 2025 01:00 05 Oct 2025 08:00 $122,377.72 $124,595.99 +1.71% SIDEWAYS 8h
05 Oct 2025 21:00 06 Oct 2025 16:00 $122,729.99 $125,455.24 +2.12% SIDEWAYS 20h
08 Oct 2025 01:00 08 Oct 2025 17:00 $121,950.01 $124,033.19 +1.61% BULL 17h
09 Oct 2025 21:00 10 Oct 2025 09:00 $121,461.02 $121,314.73 -0.22% BULL 13h
10 Oct 2025 22:00 13 Oct 2025 00:00 $113,700.00 $115,280.84 +1.29% BULL 2.1d
14 Oct 2025 13:00 14 Oct 2025 21:00 $111,014.38 $113,128.70 +1.80% SIDEWAYS 9h
17 Oct 2025 09:00 17 Oct 2025 20:00 $104,531.35 $107,021.37 +2.28% SIDEWAYS 12h
18 Oct 2025 12:00 20 Oct 2025 12:00 $107,065.17 $110,843.81 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 2d
21 Oct 2025 09:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $107,754.27 $112,170.52 +3.99% SIDEWAYS 6h
22 Oct 2025 22:00 23 Oct 2025 17:00 $107,196.82 $111,241.71 +3.67% SIDEWAYS 20h
24 Oct 2025 16:00 25 Oct 2025 08:00 $110,261.81 $111,763.80 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 17h
26 Oct 2025 01:00 26 Oct 2025 22:00 $111,644.42 $114,681.33 +2.62% SIDEWAYS 22h
30 Oct 2025 05:00 30 Oct 2025 05:00 $110,248.29 $110,248.29 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 1h
30 Oct 2025 20:00 31 Oct 2025 14:00 $107,510.91 $110,790.14 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 19h
05 Nov 2025 01:00 06 Nov 2025 04:00 $100,761.62 $104,030.79 +3.14% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
06 Nov 2025 17:00 07 Nov 2025 20:00 $101,804.01 $103,783.09 +1.84% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
08 Nov 2025 09:00 10 Nov 2025 03:00 $102,399.46 $106,027.97 +3.44% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
15 Nov 2025 01:00 16 Nov 2025 02:00 $95,650.17 $95,963.88 +0.23% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Nov 2025 17:00 16 Nov 2025 18:00 $94,357.67 $94,049.64 -0.47% BEAR 2h
18 Nov 2025 03:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $90,842.72 $93,499.16 +2.82% BEAR 14h
19 Nov 2025 06:00 19 Nov 2025 07:00 $90,990.87 $91,863.64 +0.86% BEAR 2h
19 Nov 2025 20:00 20 Nov 2025 01:00 $89,516.91 $92,590.13 +3.33% BEAR 6h
21 Nov 2025 09:00 22 Nov 2025 08:00 $82,207.84 $84,067.19 +2.12% BEAR 24h
22 Nov 2025 21:00 23 Nov 2025 21:00 $84,411.30 $87,992.02 +4.14% BEAR 1d
24 Nov 2025 10:00 24 Nov 2025 20:00 $86,049.74 $89,089.06 +3.43% BEAR 11h
25 Nov 2025 09:00 27 Nov 2025 10:00 $87,231.76 $91,613.51 +4.92% BEAR 2.1d
28 Nov 2025 18:00 28 Nov 2025 19:00 $90,830.57 $91,157.44 +0.26% BEAR 2h
01 Dec 2025 16:00 01 Dec 2025 21:00 $84,571.80 $86,436.65 +2.10% SIDEWAYS 6h
02 Dec 2025 10:00 02 Dec 2025 22:00 $87,272.44 $91,981.91 +5.29% SIDEWAYS 13h
07 Dec 2025 01:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $89,300.00 $91,363.78 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 18h
08 Dec 2025 07:00 08 Dec 2025 12:00 $91,565.46 $91,768.96 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 6h
09 Dec 2025 01:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $90,055.80 $94,187.81 +4.48% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Dec 2025 03:00 11 Dec 2025 20:00 $89,880.01 $91,792.99 +2.03% SIDEWAYS 18h
15 Dec 2025 19:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $86,149.96 $87,537.21 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
18 Dec 2025 21:00 19 Dec 2025 08:00 $85,630.95 $88,102.78 +2.78% SIDEWAYS 12h
19 Dec 2025 21:00 20 Dec 2025 00:00 $87,839.40 $88,005.63 +0.05% BEAR 4h
20 Dec 2025 13:00 22 Dec 2025 12:00 $88,270.39 $90,208.48 +2.09% BEAR 2d
23 Dec 2025 06:00 25 Dec 2025 15:00 $87,400.01 $88,371.27 +1.01% BEAR 2.4d
26 Dec 2025 05:00 26 Dec 2025 12:00 $88,996.58 $88,678.90 -0.46% BEAR 8h
27 Dec 2025 01:00 29 Dec 2025 02:00 $87,475.03 $89,163.25 +1.83% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
29 Dec 2025 15:00 31 Dec 2025 01:00 $87,691.62 $88,649.33 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
31 Dec 2025 20:00 02 Jan 2026 16:00 $87,662.01 $90,376.05 +2.99% SIDEWAYS 1.9d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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