Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — H1 2025

Bitcoin Paper Trade

BTC — H1 2025 — Simulated live trading results using the v2.5.8.3 model.

v2.5.8.3 87 Trades Completed

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

BTC — H1 2025 Performance

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Win Rate
93.1%
Max Drawdown
-0.3%
Model
v2.5.8.3
Full Backtest

Trade Log

All 87 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jan 2025 02:00 02 Jan 2025 14:00 $94,098.91 $97,256.49 +3.25% BUBBLE 1.5d
03 Jan 2025 03:00 04 Jan 2025 09:00 $97,062.30 $97,828.75 +0.65% BUBBLE 1.3d
04 Jan 2025 22:00 06 Jan 2025 21:00 $98,417.25 $101,611.92 +3.14% BUBBLE 2d
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 13:00 $95,384.00 $95,384.00 -0.10% BUBBLE 1h
09 Jan 2025 20:00 10 Jan 2025 17:00 $91,903.22 $95,793.05 +4.13% BUBBLE 22h
11 Jan 2025 06:00 12 Jan 2025 16:00 $94,216.25 $95,046.76 +0.78% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Jan 2025 13:00 13 Jan 2025 23:00 $91,131.41 $94,536.10 +3.63% BULL 11h
14 Jan 2025 12:00 17 Jan 2025 16:00 $95,988.00 $104,972.81 +9.25% BULL 3.2d
18 Jan 2025 05:00 19 Jan 2025 00:00 $102,829.27 $104,108.00 +1.14% BULL 20h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 06:00 $100,692.82 $107,486.50 +6.64% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 18:00 $101,498.24 $106,861.18 +5.18% BUBBLE 18h
23 Jan 2025 09:00 23 Jan 2025 17:00 $101,672.01 $105,927.78 +4.08% BUBBLE 9h
24 Jan 2025 06:00 24 Jan 2025 16:00 $104,991.01 $105,645.89 +0.52% BUBBLE 11h
27 Jan 2025 05:00 27 Jan 2025 14:00 $100,374.08 $101,920.89 +1.44% BUBBLE 10h
28 Jan 2025 03:00 28 Jan 2025 08:00 $102,636.32 $102,851.23 +0.11% BUBBLE 6h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 30 Jan 2025 09:00 $100,334.01 $105,412.05 +4.96% BUBBLE 1.5d
03 Feb 2025 02:00 03 Feb 2025 19:00 $93,566.01 $101,880.00 +8.78% BUBBLE 18h
06 Feb 2025 00:00 06 Feb 2025 08:00 $96,826.96 $98,128.43 +1.24% BUBBLE 9h
09 Feb 2025 14:00 09 Feb 2025 17:00 $96,127.73 $96,171.17 -0.05% SIDEWAYS 4h
10 Feb 2025 06:00 10 Feb 2025 10:00 $97,142.43 $97,728.29 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $96,207.32 $97,806.57 +1.56% SIDEWAYS 22h
13 Feb 2025 17:00 13 Feb 2025 23:00 $95,692.09 $96,608.14 +0.86% SIDEWAYS 7h
14 Feb 2025 12:00 14 Feb 2025 17:00 $96,652.58 $98,526.00 +1.84% SIDEWAYS 6h
18 Feb 2025 01:00 18 Feb 2025 12:00 $96,266.24 $96,194.00 -0.17% SIDEWAYS 12h
19 Feb 2025 01:00 20 Feb 2025 13:00 $95,479.99 $97,562.19 +2.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
22 Feb 2025 01:00 23 Feb 2025 00:00 $96,233.20 $96,643.46 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 24h
26 Feb 2025 21:00 27 Feb 2025 05:00 $84,610.86 $85,883.13 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 9h
27 Feb 2025 21:00 27 Feb 2025 21:00 $84,409.18 $84,409.18 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 1h
28 Feb 2025 10:00 28 Feb 2025 14:00 $80,011.02 $82,105.05 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 5h
01 Mar 2025 03:00 01 Mar 2025 21:00 $85,330.84 $86,076.86 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 19h
02 Mar 2025 10:00 02 Mar 2025 16:00 $86,006.00 $91,200.00 +5.93% SIDEWAYS 7h
04 Mar 2025 02:00 04 Mar 2025 17:00 $83,936.41 $85,443.89 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 16h
05 Mar 2025 06:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $87,490.12 $89,926.07 +2.68% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 01:00 $88,263.85 $88,263.85 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 1h
10 Mar 2025 01:00 10 Mar 2025 02:00 $81,766.01 $82,198.12 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 2h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 18:00 $79,130.66 $83,280.94 +5.14% SIDEWAYS 18h
13 Mar 2025 18:00 14 Mar 2025 15:00 $80,820.05 $84,724.58 +4.73% SIDEWAYS 22h
16 Mar 2025 12:00 18 Mar 2025 00:00 $82,755.89 $83,790.24 +1.15% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
18 Mar 2025 13:00 20 Mar 2025 00:00 $81,366.64 $86,017.68 +5.61% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 22 Mar 2025 18:00 $84,093.43 $84,239.14 +0.07% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
23 Mar 2025 07:00 23 Mar 2025 23:00 $84,279.82 $86,082.50 +2.04% SIDEWAYS 17h
26 Mar 2025 19:00 26 Mar 2025 20:00 $86,567.19 $87,280.00 +0.72% SIDEWAYS 2h
27 Mar 2025 14:00 27 Mar 2025 21:00 $87,297.33 $87,568.68 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 8h
31 Mar 2025 01:00 31 Mar 2025 14:00 $81,953.03 $83,499.18 +1.78% SIDEWAYS 14h
01 Apr 2025 05:00 01 Apr 2025 23:00 $83,006.67 $85,158.34 +2.49% SIDEWAYS 19h
03 Apr 2025 01:00 04 Apr 2025 07:00 $83,761.62 $83,992.85 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 13:00 $75,126.01 $78,365.47 +4.21% SIDEWAYS 7h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $76,070.53 $83,204.00 +9.27% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Apr 2025 17:00 11 Apr 2025 13:00 $79,328.01 $82,930.67 +4.44% SIDEWAYS 21h
12 Apr 2025 02:00 12 Apr 2025 20:00 $82,804.87 $85,517.29 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 19h
13 Apr 2025 14:00 14 Apr 2025 12:00 $84,093.22 $85,128.76 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 23h
15 Apr 2025 19:00 16 Apr 2025 16:00 $83,998.52 $85,048.55 +1.15% SIDEWAYS 22h
17 Apr 2025 05:00 18 Apr 2025 06:00 $84,391.30 $84,721.41 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
19 Apr 2025 01:00 19 Apr 2025 13:00 $84,544.06 $85,472.54 +1.00% SIDEWAYS 13h
20 Apr 2025 11:00 22 Apr 2025 15:00 $84,129.83 $90,934.61 +7.98% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
23 Apr 2025 15:00 24 Apr 2025 01:00 $93,195.28 $93,489.18 +0.22% SIDEWAYS 11h
24 Apr 2025 14:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $93,101.83 $95,368.00 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 1d
26 Apr 2025 10:00 27 Apr 2025 00:00 $94,209.03 $94,870.01 +0.60% SIDEWAYS 15h
27 Apr 2025 13:00 28 Apr 2025 12:00 $94,060.09 $95,350.69 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 24h
29 Apr 2025 05:00 29 Apr 2025 18:00 $94,276.49 $95,391.29 +1.08% BULL 14h
30 Apr 2025 08:00 02 May 2025 14:00 $94,718.18 $97,748.40 +3.10% BULL 2.3d
03 May 2025 11:00 04 May 2025 20:00 $95,942.02 $95,719.99 -0.33% BULL 1.4d
05 May 2025 09:00 07 May 2025 00:00 $94,550.63 $97,415.65 +2.93% BULL 1.7d
07 May 2025 13:00 09 May 2025 07:00 $97,022.01 $103,628.77 +6.70% BULL 1.8d
09 May 2025 23:00 11 May 2025 18:00 $102,971.99 $104,528.19 +1.41% BULL 1.8d
12 May 2025 15:00 13 May 2025 19:00 $102,527.26 $104,792.22 +2.11% BULL 1.2d
14 May 2025 09:00 16 May 2025 01:00 $103,485.73 $104,047.61 +0.44% BULL 1.7d
17 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $103,286.01 $106,454.26 +2.96% BUBBLE 1.9d
19 May 2025 12:00 20 May 2025 01:00 $102,479.95 $106,450.00 +3.77% BUBBLE 14h
20 May 2025 14:00 21 May 2025 05:00 $104,519.84 $107,542.00 +2.79% BUBBLE 16h
21 May 2025 18:00 22 May 2025 03:00 $106,965.05 $111,780.84 +4.40% BUBBLE 10h
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 21:00 $107,479.24 $108,818.18 +1.14% BUBBLE 21h
25 May 2025 10:00 26 May 2025 15:00 $106,946.40 $110,009.82 +2.76% BUBBLE 1.3d
28 May 2025 21:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $107,495.74 $108,285.32 +0.63% BUBBLE 4h
31 May 2025 01:00 31 May 2025 20:00 $103,476.61 $104,781.83 +1.16% BUBBLE 20h
01 Jun 2025 09:00 02 Jun 2025 00:00 $103,934.34 $105,427.48 +1.34% BUBBLE 16h
02 Jun 2025 13:00 03 Jun 2025 00:00 $103,800.00 $106,285.72 +2.29% BUBBLE 12h
05 Jun 2025 21:00 07 Jun 2025 20:00 $101,542.82 $105,846.98 +4.13% BULL 2d
08 Jun 2025 09:00 09 Jun 2025 20:00 $105,140.01 $108,706.74 +3.29% BULL 1.5d
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 09:00 $103,773.65 $105,126.58 +1.16% BULL 1.4d
14 Jun 2025 22:00 16 Jun 2025 18:00 $105,428.74 $108,255.96 +2.58% BULL 1.9d
18 Jun 2025 01:00 19 Jun 2025 04:00 $104,776.92 $105,073.52 +0.18% BULL 1.2d
19 Jun 2025 17:00 20 Jun 2025 02:00 $104,521.31 $104,628.00 +0.00% BULL 10h
22 Jun 2025 20:00 23 Jun 2025 22:00 $99,536.00 $105,538.19 +5.92% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
24 Jun 2025 14:00 25 Jun 2025 12:00 $105,517.50 $107,240.00 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 23h
27 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 00:00 $107,253.60 $108,713.81 +1.26% BULL 3d
30 Jun 2025 15:00 03 Jul 2025 13:00 $107,580.46 $110,255.63 +2.38% BULL 3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

93.1% Win Rate +469.1% Return Net of Fees Free Plan Available