Paper Trades / CELO / CELO — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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CELO Celo Paper Trade

CELO — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Celo (CELO) is a mobile-first Layer 1 blockchain originally focused on smartphone-accessible stablecoin payments, transitioning to an Ethereum L2 in 2024. Active since 2020 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to respond to emerging-market-payment partnerships, the L2 migration, and broader mobile-crypto narratives.

CELO — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Celo (CELO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.74%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+107.54%
▼ -15.00
Win Rate
92.3%
▼ -0.61
Sharpe
16.08
▼ -16.08
Alpha vs B&H
+90.87pp
▼ -90.87
Max DD
-0.29%
▼ -5.45
Avg DD
-5.00%
▲ +5.00
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+92.54%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.74%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+65.59%
▲ +26.95
Win Rate
87.5%
▲ +4.20
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.27%
▼ -5.47
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

CELO

CELO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +52.0%
13t
+60.6%
16t
+76.4%
14t
+57.8%
9t
+100.0%
15t
+22.5%
11t
+107.5%
13t
+71.2%
13t
+5,810.7%

All months for CELO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — CELO — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
+17.7
10
11
+8.7
12
-2.4
13
14
+4.6
15
16
+5.3
17
18
+5.9
19
20
21
+10.5
22
23
+0.4
24
+6.0
25
26
27
+3.6
28
29
+2.5
30
31
+3.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +92.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.38% on 11 trades, WR 91%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +4.38% +59.32% 1.1d
BULL 1 100.0% +17.69% +17.69% 3.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 09 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.27 $0.32 +17.69% BULL 3.3d
10 Jul 2025 01:00 11 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.30 $0.33 +8.70% BUBBLE 1.7d
12 Jul 2025 06:00 12 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.34 $0.33 -2.44% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 21:00 14 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.32 $0.34 +4.58% BUBBLE 1.5d
14 Jul 2025 21:00 16 Jul 2025 21:00 $0.33 $0.35 +5.26% BUBBLE 2d
17 Jul 2025 10:00 18 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.34 $0.36 +5.87% BUBBLE 19h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.36 $0.40 +10.54% BUBBLE 1.1d
22 Jul 2025 09:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.37 $0.38 +0.36% BUBBLE 17h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.33 $0.35 +5.97% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jul 2025 04:00 27 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.35 $0.36 +3.59% BUBBLE 2.2d
29 Jul 2025 00:00 29 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.34 $0.35 +2.45% BUBBLE 7h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.33 $0.34 +3.32% BUBBLE 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live CELO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Celo Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time CELO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +92.5% Return -5.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees