Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XRP XRP Paper Trade

XRP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

XRP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.05%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+95.12%
▼ -8.43
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +3.30
Sharpe
15.41
▼ -15.41
Alpha vs B&H
+59.11pp
▼ -59.11
Max DD
-1.78%
▼ -2.27
Avg DD
-3.30%
▲ +3.30
Risk / Reward
53.30×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+86.69%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.05%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+96.70%
▼ -10.01
Win Rate
92.9%
▼ -9.60
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.26%
▼ -2.79
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XRP

XRP Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +86.9%
16t
+45.4%
14t
+72.1%
19t
+59.0%
9t
+72.9%
16t
+40.9%
15t
+95.1%
15t
+49.1%
11t
+5,164.9%

All months for XRP under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XRP — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+4.8
8
9
10
11
+17.1
12
+1.8
13
14
+9.1
15
16
17
18
+25.0
19
20
0.0
21
+4.0
22
+1.4
23
24
+2.4
25
-1.8
26
+0.8
27
+0.7
28
29
-0.1
30
31
+2.5
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +86.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.83% on 14 trades, WR 79%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 78.6% +4.83% +87.77% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 07:00 07 Jul 2025 13:00 $2.23 $2.34 +4.78% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Jul 2025 02:00 11 Jul 2025 10:00 $2.25 $2.65 +17.09% BUBBLE 3.4d
11 Jul 2025 23:00 12 Jul 2025 02:00 $2.73 $2.79 +1.78% BUBBLE 4h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 12:00 $2.71 $2.96 +9.06% BUBBLE 1.9d
15 Jul 2025 04:00 18 Jul 2025 01:00 $2.87 $3.60 +24.96% BUBBLE 2.9d
20 Jul 2025 10:00 20 Jul 2025 13:00 $3.51 $3.52 -0.02% BUBBLE 4h
21 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.48 $3.64 +4.04% BUBBLE 13h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 11:00 $3.46 $3.52 +1.41% BUBBLE 7h
23 Jul 2025 21:00 24 Jul 2025 00:00 $3.14 $3.22 +2.43% BUBBLE 4h
24 Jul 2025 22:00 25 Jul 2025 10:00 $3.18 $3.13 -1.78% BUBBLE 13h
25 Jul 2025 23:00 26 Jul 2025 18:00 $3.14 $3.18 +0.80% BUBBLE 20h
27 Jul 2025 08:00 27 Jul 2025 21:00 $3.18 $3.22 +0.72% BUBBLE 14h
29 Jul 2025 03:00 29 Jul 2025 05:00 $3.14 $3.15 -0.07% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $3.08 $3.16 +2.48% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

83.3% Win Rate +86.7% Return -4.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees