Paper Trades / ENA / ENA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

ENA Ethena Paper Trade

ENA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Ethena (ENA) is the governance token of the Ethena protocol, which issues the synthetic-dollar stablecoin USDe backed by delta-hedged ETH positions. Listed via Binance Launchpool in April 2024 with roughly one-and-a-half cycles of history. Price responds to USDe supply growth, funding-rate dynamics, and stablecoin-narrative cycles.

ENA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethena (ENA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.63
Alpha vs B&H
+177.38pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-15.41%
Max Drawdown
-1.08%
Avg Drawdown
-4.39%
Sharpe Trend
-13.69
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+161.97%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
13.63
Alpha vs B&H
+177.38pp
Max DD
-1.08%
Avg DD
-4.39%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+151.34%
▲ +10.63
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +2.41
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.63
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +177.38
Max DD
-6.01%
▲ +4.93
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.39
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+76.20%
▲ +85.77
Win Rate
89.5%
▼ -3.79
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.63
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +177.38
Max DD
-0.88%
▼ -0.20
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.39
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ENA

ENA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +151.5%
21t
+110.7%
19t
+162.0%
14t
+94.5%
11t
+187.0%
14t
+71.0%
15t
+341.9%
15t
+102.8%
13t
+118,629.0%

All months for ENA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ENA — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+15.8
7
+16.2
8
-1.1
9
10
+19.5
11
+4.2
12
13
14
15
+9.7
16
17
+8.2
18
19
+7.9
20
21
22
23
24
+13.1
25
26
+2.2
27
+5.5
28
29
30
31
+1.1
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +162.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.1%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +7.26% on 14 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 14 85.7% +7.26% +162.00% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +15.82% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +16.21% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.08% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +12.21% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.54% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.15% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.74% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.23% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.91% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +13.10% SIDEWAYS 2.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.52% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.49% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ENA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethena Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ENA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

85.7% Win Rate +162.0% Return -1.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees