AAVEAAVEAave$73.4200+0.56%
24h High$76.15
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.9M
Updated17:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 83 trades would have compounded to a final value of $216,155 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 83 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+2,061.6%
$10,000 →
$216,155
Win Rate
91.6%
76W / 7L
Trades
83
Sharpe
13.14
Alpha vs B&H
+2,061.18pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+0.37%
Max Drawdown
-2.78%
Avg Drawdown
-3.78%
Sharpe Trend
-0.25
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — AAVE — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 83-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.78%
Avg Loss
-0.74%
Best Trade
+27.24%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Bars Held
23.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 36 (43%) Signal flip: 36 (43%) Short signal: 6 (7%) Trailing stop: 3 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%) Take-profit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +2,061.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.8%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 83 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.70% on 59 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 59 91.5% +4.70% +1,298.33% 20h
BULL 13 84.6% +3.81% +60.74% 1.4d
SIDEWAYS 11 100.0% +2.89% +36.50% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 83 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jan 2024 23:00 08 Jan 2024 19:00 $94.94 $99.43 +4.30% BULL 21h
09 Jan 2024 12:00 10 Jan 2024 21:00 $93.31 $109.11 +16.71% BUBBLE 1.4d
11 Jan 2024 17:00 11 Jan 2024 23:00 $109.83 $109.63 -0.31% BUBBLE 7h
12 Jan 2024 22:00 13 Jan 2024 17:00 $102.14 $106.59 +4.25% BUBBLE 20h
14 Jan 2024 23:00 16 Jan 2024 10:00 $99.42 $106.26 +6.77% BUBBLE 1.5d
19 Jan 2024 03:00 20 Jan 2024 20:00 $96.11 $96.70 +0.51% BULL 1.8d
23 Jan 2024 11:00 24 Jan 2024 00:00 $87.24 $90.25 +3.03% SIDEWAYS 14h
24 Jan 2024 13:00 27 Jan 2024 00:00 $88.98 $91.85 +3.06% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
27 Jan 2024 13:00 28 Jan 2024 01:00 $90.99 $92.18 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 13h
28 Jan 2024 20:00 30 Jan 2024 02:00 $91.20 $93.59 +2.52% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
04 Feb 2024 07:00 04 Feb 2024 16:00 $84.28 $84.52 -0.13% BULL 10h
05 Feb 2024 05:00 07 Feb 2024 02:00 $83.34 $84.47 +1.19% BULL 1.9d
07 Feb 2024 15:00 08 Feb 2024 19:00 $82.94 $85.26 +2.66% BULL 1.2d
09 Feb 2024 08:00 10 Feb 2024 07:00 $87.95 $88.26 +0.25% BULL 24h
10 Feb 2024 20:00 11 Feb 2024 01:00 $88.81 $88.21 -0.77% BULL 6h
12 Feb 2024 03:00 13 Feb 2024 02:00 $86.74 $89.99 +3.64% BUBBLE 24h
14 Feb 2024 01:00 14 Feb 2024 10:00 $89.27 $91.65 +2.56% BUBBLE 10h
15 Feb 2024 06:00 15 Feb 2024 08:00 $91.12 $91.78 +0.62% BUBBLE 3h
15 Feb 2024 22:00 16 Feb 2024 02:00 $91.84 $92.95 +1.11% BUBBLE 5h
16 Feb 2024 17:00 16 Feb 2024 21:00 $91.69 $93.31 +1.67% BUBBLE 5h
21 Feb 2024 10:00 22 Feb 2024 20:00 $90.29 $93.82 +3.48% BUBBLE 1.5d
23 Feb 2024 09:00 23 Feb 2024 14:00 $90.34 $97.30 +7.53% BUBBLE 6h
24 Feb 2024 03:00 24 Feb 2024 09:00 $98.12 $103.29 +5.13% BUBBLE 7h
25 Feb 2024 09:00 26 Feb 2024 03:00 $99.12 $102.51 +3.32% BUBBLE 19h
26 Feb 2024 16:00 27 Feb 2024 14:00 $102.96 $103.38 +0.31% BUBBLE 23h
28 Feb 2024 19:00 29 Feb 2024 13:00 $102.53 $112.95 +10.05% BUBBLE 19h
01 Mar 2024 02:00 02 Mar 2024 19:00 $108.73 $116.73 +7.25% BUBBLE 1.8d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 05 Mar 2024 01:00 $111.64 $115.12 +2.70% BUBBLE 1.8d
05 Mar 2024 19:00 06 Mar 2024 22:00 $99.38 $126.65 +27.24% BULL 1.2d
07 Mar 2024 11:00 07 Mar 2024 22:00 $123.79 $130.23 +5.07% BUBBLE 12h
08 Mar 2024 16:00 09 Mar 2024 12:00 $132.98 $133.97 +0.64% BUBBLE 21h
10 Mar 2024 23:00 11 Mar 2024 23:00 $126.86 $136.74 +7.68% BUBBLE 1d
12 Mar 2024 15:00 13 Mar 2024 11:00 $131.13 $150.72 +14.82% BUBBLE 21h
14 Mar 2024 17:00 15 Mar 2024 00:00 $139.99 $140.66 +0.38% BUBBLE 8h
15 Mar 2024 13:00 15 Mar 2024 19:00 $128.65 $127.44 -1.04% BUBBLE 7h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $121.20 $119.69 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 19:00 18 Mar 2024 05:00 $126.67 $128.49 +1.27% BUBBLE 11h
19 Mar 2024 09:00 19 Mar 2024 16:00 $112.38 $115.94 +3.03% BUBBLE 8h
20 Mar 2024 05:00 21 Mar 2024 16:00 $106.97 $123.18 +15.04% BUBBLE 1.5d
22 Mar 2024 14:00 24 Mar 2024 03:00 $115.20 $121.12 +4.99% BUBBLE 1.6d
24 Mar 2024 16:00 25 Mar 2024 19:00 $121.07 $129.83 +7.13% BUBBLE 1.2d
26 Mar 2024 14:00 26 Mar 2024 22:00 $128.55 $130.87 +1.70% BUBBLE 9h
28 Mar 2024 01:00 29 Mar 2024 12:00 $123.64 $128.52 +3.84% BUBBLE 1.5d
31 Mar 2024 02:00 01 Apr 2024 02:00 $125.02 $128.76 +2.57% BUBBLE 1d
01 Apr 2024 16:00 01 Apr 2024 23:00 $123.14 $129.27 +4.84% BUBBLE 8h
02 Apr 2024 21:00 03 Apr 2024 22:00 $115.41 $115.38 -0.13% BUBBLE 1.1d
05 Apr 2024 10:00 08 Apr 2024 21:00 $111.61 $129.04 +15.50% BUBBLE 3.5d
10 Apr 2024 01:00 11 Apr 2024 00:00 $125.63 $128.97 +2.56% BUBBLE 24h
12 Apr 2024 19:00 12 Apr 2024 22:00 $98.23 $99.78 +1.48% BUBBLE 4h
14 Apr 2024 02:00 14 Apr 2024 07:00 $82.15 $86.44 +4.79% BUBBLE 6h
14 Apr 2024 20:00 15 Apr 2024 06:00 $83.52 $91.15 +8.93% BUBBLE 11h
15 Apr 2024 19:00 15 Apr 2024 23:00 $84.76 $84.89 +0.02% BUBBLE 5h
16 Apr 2024 15:00 16 Apr 2024 23:00 $82.05 $86.72 +5.55% BUBBLE 9h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 18 Apr 2024 13:00 $81.91 $84.88 +3.52% BUBBLE 22h
19 Apr 2024 03:00 22 Apr 2024 12:00 $83.34 $96.27 +15.40% BULL 3.4d
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 23:00 $89.60 $91.52 +2.04% BUBBLE 13h
28 Apr 2024 02:00 28 Apr 2024 08:00 $92.84 $92.22 -1.07% BULL 7h
30 Apr 2024 17:00 03 May 2024 22:00 $82.13 $88.85 +8.01% BULL 3.3d
04 May 2024 11:00 04 May 2024 15:00 $88.94 $89.20 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 5h
05 May 2024 04:00 05 May 2024 08:00 $88.30 $89.03 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 May 2024 00:00 07 May 2024 16:00 $87.83 $90.64 +3.10% BULL 17h
09 May 2024 01:00 10 May 2024 06:00 $87.04 $90.55 +3.93% BULL 1.3d
13 May 2024 03:00 13 May 2024 11:00 $81.37 $84.13 +2.97% BULL 9h
15 May 2024 00:00 17 May 2024 19:00 $80.13 $88.66 +10.44% BULL 2.8d
19 May 2024 20:00 20 May 2024 23:00 $85.31 $98.03 +14.76% BUBBLE 1.2d
22 May 2024 12:00 23 May 2024 11:00 $93.05 $98.14 +5.33% BUBBLE 24h
24 May 2024 00:00 24 May 2024 04:00 $99.34 $101.56 +2.10% BUBBLE 5h
25 May 2024 01:00 25 May 2024 23:00 $101.57 $105.21 +3.44% BUBBLE 23h
26 May 2024 02:00 26 May 2024 22:00 $103.83 $112.46 +7.87% BUBBLE 21h
31 May 2024 01:00 02 Jun 2024 01:00 $101.73 $104.44 +2.50% BUBBLE 2d
02 Jun 2024 21:00 03 Jun 2024 02:00 $102.95 $104.02 +0.91% BUBBLE 6h
04 Jun 2024 07:00 05 Jun 2024 19:00 $101.37 $104.74 +3.22% BUBBLE 1.5d
07 Jun 2024 19:00 07 Jun 2024 22:00 $96.09 $98.51 +2.42% BUBBLE 4h
09 Jun 2024 05:00 09 Jun 2024 17:00 $92.90 $93.56 +0.30% BUBBLE 13h
11 Jun 2024 13:00 12 Jun 2024 12:00 $86.84 $92.78 +6.67% BUBBLE 24h
14 Jun 2024 01:00 14 Jun 2024 13:00 $84.57 $85.50 +0.97% BUBBLE 13h
15 Jun 2024 02:00 16 Jun 2024 20:00 $84.33 $85.39 +1.16% BUBBLE 1.8d
17 Jun 2024 14:00 17 Jun 2024 19:00 $83.79 $86.54 +3.18% BUBBLE 6h
18 Jun 2024 10:00 20 Jun 2024 01:00 $79.35 $87.78 +10.51% BUBBLE 1.7d
23 Jun 2024 17:00 24 Jun 2024 17:00 $81.46 $86.41 +5.64% BULL 1d
25 Jun 2024 06:00 25 Jun 2024 13:00 $91.22 $93.09 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 8h
26 Jun 2024 07:00 27 Jun 2024 08:00 $91.38 $92.83 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
28 Jun 2024 00:00 30 Jun 2024 09:00 $93.38 $97.48 +4.26% SIDEWAYS 2.4d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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91.6% Win Rate +2,061.6% Return -2.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees