AAVEAAVEAave$73.4200+0.56%
24h High$76.15
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.9M
Updated17:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 94 trades would have compounded to a final value of $1,367,327 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 94 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+13,573.3%
$10,000 →
$1,367,327
Win Rate
90.4%
85W / 9L
Trades
94
Sharpe
14.43
Alpha vs B&H
+13,595.81pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-22.54%
Max Drawdown
-8.55%
Avg Drawdown
-4.86%
Sharpe Trend
-0.47
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — AAVE — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 94-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+6.75%
Avg Loss
-1.62%
Best Trade
+27.23%
Worst Trade
-8.55%
Avg Bars Held
20.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 52 (55%) Signal flip: 18 (19%) Short signal: 14 (15%) Trailing stop: 4 (4%) Take-profit: 4 (4%) Regime exit: 1 (1%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +13,573.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 94 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +11.36% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 43 90.7% +4.92% +663.51% 21h
BULL 26 88.5% +7.10% +465.90% 23h
BUBBLE 21 90.5% +5.60% +203.42% 16h
BEAR 4 100.0% +11.36% +51.54% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 94 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 01:00 $294.12 $297.44 +0.72% BUBBLE 13h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $277.09 $291.14 +4.97% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 10 Jan 2025 07:00 $291.47 $297.40 +1.93% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 20:00 12 Jan 2025 11:00 $285.37 $291.13 +1.92% BUBBLE 1.7d
13 Jan 2025 10:00 14 Jan 2025 22:00 $262.40 $300.02 +14.22% BULL 1.5d
15 Jan 2025 11:00 15 Jan 2025 18:00 $287.99 $318.44 +10.46% BULL 8h
16 Jan 2025 08:00 17 Jan 2025 22:00 $306.97 $335.44 +9.17% BULL 1.6d
18 Jan 2025 11:00 18 Jan 2025 14:00 $315.56 $313.65 -0.70% BUBBLE 4h
19 Jan 2025 09:00 19 Jan 2025 16:00 $303.10 $341.77 +12.30% BUBBLE 8h
20 Jan 2025 05:00 20 Jan 2025 14:00 $322.44 $351.00 +8.75% BUBBLE 10h
21 Jan 2025 03:00 21 Jan 2025 20:00 $346.16 $372.18 +7.41% BUBBLE 18h
23 Jan 2025 18:00 24 Jan 2025 12:00 $331.70 $353.45 +6.45% BUBBLE 19h
27 Jan 2025 08:00 27 Jan 2025 21:00 $294.30 $303.39 +2.99% BUBBLE 14h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 29 Jan 2025 13:00 $282.79 $291.40 +2.90% BUBBLE 17h
30 Jan 2025 02:00 31 Jan 2025 12:00 $296.76 $328.79 +10.68% BUBBLE 1.5d
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 21:00 $217.37 $277.70 +27.23% BULL 21h
04 Feb 2025 10:00 05 Feb 2025 01:00 $259.34 $267.73 +3.07% BUBBLE 16h
07 Feb 2025 00:00 07 Feb 2025 12:00 $241.05 $254.97 +5.67% SIDEWAYS 13h
08 Feb 2025 01:00 09 Feb 2025 03:00 $236.89 $251.41 +6.02% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
09 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 02:00 $241.99 $257.80 +6.43% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Feb 2025 03:00 14 Feb 2025 14:00 $240.94 $263.46 +9.24% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
15 Feb 2025 21:00 15 Feb 2025 23:00 $252.30 $253.38 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 13:00 $251.04 $254.69 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 12h
17 Feb 2025 02:00 17 Feb 2025 12:00 $256.96 $273.63 +6.38% SIDEWAYS 11h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $244.97 $260.75 +6.34% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
21 Feb 2025 22:00 23 Feb 2025 07:00 $240.64 $253.90 +5.40% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
25 Feb 2025 05:00 26 Feb 2025 09:00 $203.88 $208.51 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
26 Feb 2025 22:00 27 Feb 2025 10:00 $205.39 $209.31 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 13h
28 Feb 2025 07:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $182.21 $188.10 +3.09% SIDEWAYS 18h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 22:00 $193.88 $225.82 +16.00% BEAR 21h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 04 Mar 2025 18:00 $171.60 $214.45 +24.81% BEAR 18h
05 Mar 2025 07:00 05 Mar 2025 08:00 $217.53 $221.08 +1.53% BEAR 2h
05 Mar 2025 22:00 06 Mar 2025 01:00 $217.35 $231.15 +6.24% BEAR 4h
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 01:00 $213.20 $210.32 -1.45% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Mar 2025 07:00 08 Mar 2025 19:00 $189.36 $197.76 +4.33% SIDEWAYS 13h
09 Mar 2025 21:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $177.25 $196.37 +10.68% SIDEWAYS 13h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 07:00 $176.49 $182.29 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 7h
11 Mar 2025 20:00 12 Mar 2025 01:00 $182.15 $181.94 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Mar 2025 15:00 13 Mar 2025 01:00 $169.19 $174.82 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Mar 2025 21:00 14 Mar 2025 21:00 $162.51 $173.44 +6.62% SIDEWAYS 1d
16 Mar 2025 14:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $166.26 $176.22 +5.56% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Mar 2025 14:00 19 Mar 2025 23:00 $168.59 $182.49 +8.07% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
20 Mar 2025 13:00 21 Mar 2025 00:00 $176.14 $181.92 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 12h
21 Mar 2025 13:00 22 Mar 2025 20:00 $175.73 $181.58 +3.23% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Mar 2025 17:00 23 Mar 2025 23:00 $182.12 $185.05 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 7h
26 Mar 2025 18:00 28 Mar 2025 00:00 $176.93 $184.96 +4.43% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Mar 2025 13:00 29 Mar 2025 07:00 $171.16 $179.47 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 19h
31 Mar 2025 09:00 01 Apr 2025 08:00 $152.45 $168.71 +10.21% SIDEWAYS 24h
02 Apr 2025 11:00 02 Apr 2025 16:00 $158.47 $164.09 +3.41% SIDEWAYS 6h
03 Apr 2025 13:00 03 Apr 2025 21:00 $149.54 $152.07 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 9h
04 Apr 2025 10:00 05 Apr 2025 09:00 $147.93 $154.10 +4.07% SIDEWAYS 24h
07 Apr 2025 01:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $129.26 $131.10 +1.32% SIDEWAYS 14h
08 Apr 2025 23:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $125.30 $144.07 +14.87% SIDEWAYS 22h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 12 Apr 2025 13:00 $130.34 $144.40 +10.68% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 10:00 $139.13 $145.98 +4.49% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Apr 2025 01:00 16 Apr 2025 03:00 $135.80 $135.85 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Apr 2025 16:00 18 Apr 2025 23:00 $135.18 $138.51 +2.32% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
19 Apr 2025 12:00 20 Apr 2025 02:00 $138.60 $142.92 +3.01% SIDEWAYS 15h
20 Apr 2025 15:00 21 Apr 2025 17:00 $137.50 $140.93 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
22 Apr 2025 08:00 23 Apr 2025 04:00 $147.68 $165.20 +11.75% SIDEWAYS 21h
24 Apr 2025 08:00 26 Apr 2025 01:00 $159.09 $171.78 +7.87% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
26 Apr 2025 14:00 26 Apr 2025 23:00 $166.58 $172.91 +3.70% BULL 10h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 09:00 $162.61 $171.19 +4.85% BULL 9h
30 Apr 2025 13:00 02 May 2025 07:00 $155.76 $172.73 +10.69% BULL 1.8d
02 May 2025 20:00 03 May 2025 04:00 $175.26 $174.11 -0.79% BULL 9h
03 May 2025 18:00 04 May 2025 00:00 $171.09 $176.74 +3.20% BULL 7h
05 May 2025 00:00 05 May 2025 08:00 $173.26 $180.33 +3.98% BULL 9h
06 May 2025 09:00 07 May 2025 00:00 $168.66 $178.84 +5.93% BULL 16h
07 May 2025 17:00 09 May 2025 07:00 $168.80 $212.21 +25.59% BULL 1.6d
09 May 2025 20:00 10 May 2025 22:00 $210.78 $229.14 +8.60% BULL 1.1d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 10:00 $218.00 $223.39 +2.05% BULL 21h
13 May 2025 02:00 14 May 2025 00:00 $214.10 $238.07 +11.05% BULL 23h
15 May 2025 08:00 15 May 2025 16:00 $231.01 $233.06 +0.79% BULL 9h
16 May 2025 05:00 16 May 2025 13:00 $236.15 $238.03 +0.70% BULL 9h
18 May 2025 01:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $223.20 $242.08 +8.35% BUBBLE 15h
19 May 2025 04:00 20 May 2025 06:00 $213.82 $268.25 +25.33% BUBBLE 1.1d
21 May 2025 18:00 23 May 2025 01:00 $245.20 $257.49 +4.91% BUBBLE 1.3d
23 May 2025 14:00 24 May 2025 16:00 $257.77 $272.68 +5.68% BUBBLE 1.1d
25 May 2025 02:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $263.13 $275.07 +4.11% BUBBLE 23h
26 May 2025 14:00 27 May 2025 12:00 $261.48 $281.31 +7.48% BUBBLE 23h
28 May 2025 19:00 29 May 2025 02:00 $261.19 $273.85 +4.74% BUBBLE 8h
30 May 2025 01:00 30 May 2025 18:00 $246.53 $253.56 +2.75% BUBBLE 18h
01 Jun 2025 01:00 01 Jun 2025 15:00 $239.44 $250.25 +4.41% BUBBLE 15h
02 Jun 2025 04:00 04 Jun 2025 08:00 $241.46 $269.59 +11.54% BULL 2.2d
08 Jun 2025 03:00 08 Jun 2025 21:00 $255.96 $256.36 -0.25% BULL 19h
09 Jun 2025 10:00 10 Jun 2025 01:00 $258.97 $288.38 +11.25% BULL 16h
12 Jun 2025 23:00 13 Jun 2025 01:00 $293.92 $269.16 -8.55% BUBBLE 3h
15 Jun 2025 10:00 16 Jun 2025 13:00 $275.12 $292.11 +6.07% BULL 1.2d
19 Jun 2025 15:00 20 Jun 2025 10:00 $250.24 $259.98 +3.79% BULL 20h
22 Jun 2025 14:00 24 Jun 2025 03:00 $225.30 $259.55 +14.73% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
24 Jun 2025 16:00 24 Jun 2025 19:00 $269.22 $264.60 -1.84% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Jun 2025 22:00 27 Jun 2025 15:00 $250.44 $264.90 +5.67% SIDEWAYS 18h
28 Jun 2025 09:00 30 Jun 2025 02:00 $256.12 $275.16 +7.33% BULL 1.8d
30 Jun 2025 15:00 30 Jun 2025 21:00 $275.88 $274.22 -0.70% BULL 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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90.4% Win Rate +13,573.3% Return -8.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees