AAVEAAVEAave$75.4500+2.93%
24h High$76.14
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.4M
Updated15:58 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 43 trades would have compounded to a final value of $44,258 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 43 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+342.6%
$10,000 →
$44,258
Win Rate
88.4%
38W / 5L
Trades
43
Sharpe
11.09
Alpha vs B&H
+389.63pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-47.06%
Max Drawdown
-2.12%
Avg Drawdown
-3.53%
Sharpe Trend
-0.81
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — AAVE — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 43-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.50%
Avg Loss
-1.48%
Best Trade
+11.77%
Worst Trade
-2.12%
Avg Bars Held
18.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 16 (37%) Signal flip: 12 (28%) Short signal: 8 (19%) Trailing stop: 4 (9%) Take-profit: 2 (5%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +342.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.39% on 27 trades, WR 93%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BULL — avg -0.64% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 27 92.6% +4.39% +214.01% 19h
BEAR 12 83.3% +3.31% +46.86% 20h
BUBBLE 2 100.0% +3.31% +6.71% 11h
BULL 2 50.0% -0.64% -1.28% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 43 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 08:00 $286.80 $295.19 +2.50% BUBBLE 7h
06 Oct 2025 02:00 06 Oct 2025 16:00 $287.20 $299.38 +4.11% BUBBLE 15h
08 Oct 2025 01:00 09 Oct 2025 02:00 $278.54 $279.37 +0.20% BUBBLE 1.1d
10 Oct 2025 20:00 11 Oct 2025 11:00 $245.63 $242.23 -1.48% BULL 16h
12 Oct 2025 00:00 13 Oct 2025 13:00 $228.32 $252.63 +10.54% BULL 1.6d
14 Oct 2025 09:00 15 Oct 2025 07:00 $245.25 $256.70 +4.56% SIDEWAYS 23h
19 Oct 2025 02:00 19 Oct 2025 20:00 $213.17 $225.01 +5.12% SIDEWAYS 19h
21 Oct 2025 04:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $219.18 $232.86 +6.10% SIDEWAYS 11h
22 Oct 2025 07:00 22 Oct 2025 16:00 $218.38 $220.95 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 10h
23 Oct 2025 07:00 23 Oct 2025 17:00 $221.37 $228.19 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 11h
24 Oct 2025 06:00 25 Oct 2025 02:00 $232.06 $228.20 -1.76% SIDEWAYS 21h
26 Oct 2025 04:00 26 Oct 2025 23:00 $225.00 $240.76 +6.90% SIDEWAYS 20h
29 Oct 2025 01:00 29 Oct 2025 13:00 $229.56 $230.18 +0.17% SIDEWAYS 13h
30 Oct 2025 17:00 01 Nov 2025 00:00 $212.52 $227.38 +6.89% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
02 Nov 2025 11:00 02 Nov 2025 16:00 $223.81 $230.15 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 6h
05 Nov 2025 01:00 05 Nov 2025 16:00 $186.63 $202.58 +8.41% SIDEWAYS 16h
06 Nov 2025 15:00 07 Nov 2025 06:00 $195.27 $200.13 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 16h
07 Nov 2025 19:00 07 Nov 2025 20:00 $210.49 $211.08 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 2h
09 Nov 2025 03:00 10 Nov 2025 03:00 $197.62 $220.05 +11.24% SIDEWAYS 1d
10 Nov 2025 17:00 10 Nov 2025 23:00 $219.04 $228.41 +4.17% SIDEWAYS 7h
11 Nov 2025 22:00 12 Nov 2025 09:00 $209.24 $214.52 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 12h
15 Nov 2025 00:00 15 Nov 2025 15:00 $176.31 $179.10 +1.48% BEAR 16h
16 Nov 2025 16:00 17 Nov 2025 11:00 $169.41 $179.04 +5.25% BEAR 20h
18 Nov 2025 00:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $168.89 $178.59 +5.57% BEAR 17h
19 Nov 2025 16:00 20 Nov 2025 07:00 $167.09 $178.64 +6.81% BEAR 16h
21 Nov 2025 08:00 23 Nov 2025 23:00 $157.85 $167.47 +5.95% BEAR 2.7d
24 Nov 2025 12:00 25 Nov 2025 11:00 $169.25 $177.45 +4.70% BEAR 24h
26 Nov 2025 00:00 27 Nov 2025 03:00 $179.09 $185.73 +3.56% BEAR 1.2d
27 Nov 2025 16:00 28 Nov 2025 01:00 $186.38 $182.68 -2.12% BEAR 10h
28 Nov 2025 17:00 28 Nov 2025 20:00 $183.59 $186.64 +1.56% BEAR 4h
01 Dec 2025 14:00 02 Dec 2025 18:00 $167.15 $187.59 +11.77% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
05 Dec 2025 19:00 07 Dec 2025 13:00 $184.54 $188.35 +1.93% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
08 Dec 2025 02:00 08 Dec 2025 10:00 $190.62 $195.48 +2.45% SIDEWAYS 9h
09 Dec 2025 05:00 10 Dec 2025 01:00 $188.42 $199.49 +5.77% SIDEWAYS 21h
11 Dec 2025 03:00 12 Dec 2025 02:00 $187.67 $205.60 +9.44% SIDEWAYS 24h
12 Dec 2025 17:00 13 Dec 2025 08:00 $190.94 $198.83 +4.03% SIDEWAYS 16h
14 Dec 2025 20:00 15 Dec 2025 06:00 $189.83 $196.15 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 11h
15 Dec 2025 19:00 15 Dec 2025 23:00 $183.47 $192.95 +5.03% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $170.73 $185.36 +8.46% BEAR 24h
21 Dec 2025 23:00 22 Dec 2025 02:00 $165.15 $162.19 -1.89% BEAR 4h
23 Dec 2025 01:00 23 Dec 2025 08:00 $151.53 $152.22 +0.35% BEAR 8h
24 Dec 2025 07:00 26 Dec 2025 00:00 $147.47 $149.89 +1.50% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
26 Dec 2025 13:00 27 Dec 2025 10:00 $156.39 $156.32 -0.14% SIDEWAYS 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AAVE Signals → View Plans →
88.4% Win Rate +342.6% Return -2.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees