ADAADACardano$0.161000+0.12%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated19:18 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 49 trades would have compounded to a final value of $54,653 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 49 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+446.5%
$10,000 →
$54,653
Win Rate
87.8%
43W / 6L
Trades
49
Sharpe
14.64
Alpha vs B&H
+485.51pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-38.98%
Max Drawdown
-2.00%
Avg Drawdown
-3.14%
Sharpe Trend
-7.39
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

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▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 49-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.83%
Avg Loss
-0.87%
Best Trade
+27.55%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
14.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 27 (55%) Signal flip: 19 (39%) Regime exit: 1 (2%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +446.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.06% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 23 87.0% +3.56% +119.38% 16h
BULL 6 100.0% +9.06% +65.55% 19h
BUBBLE 15 93.3% +2.68% +48.22% 11h
BEAR 5 60.0% +5.21% +27.58% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 49 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 03:00 07 Jan 2025 00:00 $1.06 $1.09 +2.49% BUBBLE 1.9d
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.90 $0.93 +3.09% BUBBLE 2h
10 Jan 2025 04:00 10 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.92 $0.96 +4.43% BUBBLE 4h
10 Jan 2025 21:00 11 Jan 2025 20:00 $0.93 $0.99 +6.00% BUBBLE 24h
13 Jan 2025 12:00 13 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.90 $0.94 +4.58% BULL 10h
14 Jan 2025 10:00 15 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.97 $1.05 +7.69% BULL 22h
15 Jan 2025 20:00 16 Jan 2025 12:00 $1.06 $1.11 +4.42% BULL 17h
17 Jan 2025 01:00 17 Jan 2025 20:00 $1.11 $1.16 +4.12% BULL 20h
18 Jan 2025 09:00 18 Jan 2025 23:00 $1.07 $1.10 +2.89% BUBBLE 15h
19 Jan 2025 10:00 19 Jan 2025 13:00 $1.04 $1.06 +1.41% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 02:00 20 Jan 2025 07:00 $1.00 $1.08 +7.79% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 02:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $1.00 $1.02 +1.74% BUBBLE 16h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 23 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.97 $0.97 -0.23% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jan 2025 20:00 24 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.98 $1.01 +2.26% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jan 2025 01:00 25 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.98 $0.99 +0.89% BUBBLE 3h
27 Jan 2025 06:00 28 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.89 $0.94 +5.13% BUBBLE 22h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.92 $0.95 +3.62% BUBBLE 24h
30 Jan 2025 10:00 30 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.96 $0.98 +1.33% BUBBLE 5h
31 Jan 2025 03:00 31 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.94 $0.96 +0.99% BUBBLE 4h
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.63 $0.80 +27.55% BULL 19h
04 Feb 2025 08:00 04 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.73 $0.75 +2.31% BUBBLE 3h
05 Feb 2025 23:00 06 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.73 $0.75 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 4h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.70 $0.73 +3.63% SIDEWAYS 18h
09 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 07:00 $0.67 $0.80 +19.53% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
11 Feb 2025 20:00 12 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.78 $0.79 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 14h
13 Feb 2025 07:00 13 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.78 $0.81 +2.54% SIDEWAYS 14h
16 Feb 2025 03:00 16 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.78 $0.79 +0.75% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 18:00 17 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.77 $0.82 +6.40% SIDEWAYS 21h
18 Feb 2025 19:00 19 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.75 $0.77 +3.13% SIDEWAYS 17h
20 Feb 2025 01:00 20 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.78 $0.81 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 20h
21 Feb 2025 22:00 22 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.76 $0.77 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Feb 2025 17:00 23 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.77 $0.77 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 5h
25 Feb 2025 08:00 25 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.66 $0.69 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 14h
26 Feb 2025 19:00 26 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.64 $0.65 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 5h
27 Feb 2025 12:00 27 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.67 $0.66 -2.00% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Feb 2025 07:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.59 $0.63 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 18h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.67 $0.66 -2.25% BEAR 12h
03 Mar 2025 10:00 03 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.98 $0.99 -0.15% BEAR 3h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 04 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.78 $0.93 +17.46% BEAR 19h
05 Mar 2025 08:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.95 $1.00 +5.25% BEAR 3h
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.86 $0.88 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 10h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.72 $0.75 +3.36% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 00:00 11 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.67 $0.74 +10.51% SIDEWAYS 19h
13 Mar 2025 20:00 15 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.69 $0.74 +7.25% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
17 Mar 2025 01:00 17 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.71 $0.73 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 8h
18 Mar 2025 14:00 20 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.70 $0.73 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
23 Mar 2025 19:00 26 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.70 $0.75 +7.37% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
27 Mar 2025 13:00 27 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.73 $0.74 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 8h
28 Mar 2025 17:00 28 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.70 $0.70 -0.58% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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87.8% Win Rate +446.5% Return -2.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees