ADAADACardano$0.161000+0.12%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated19:18 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 43 trades would have compounded to a final value of $24,719 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 43 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+147.2%
$10,000 →
$24,719
Win Rate
81.4%
35W / 8L
Trades
43
Sharpe
12.43
Alpha vs B&H
+178.36pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-31.16%
Max Drawdown
-1.22%
Avg Drawdown
-2.42%
Sharpe Trend
-1.96
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 43-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.71%
Avg Loss
-0.37%
Best Trade
+7.91%
Worst Trade
-0.69%
Avg Bars Held
14.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 24 (56%) Signal flip: 17 (40%) Trailing stop: 2 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +147.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 81.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.2%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.14% on 11 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 25 76.0% +1.85% +57.10% 13h
BULL 11 100.0% +3.14% +40.39% 19h
SIDEWAYS 7 71.4% +1.56% +11.36% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 43 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2024 21:00 09 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.58 $0.61 +3.99% BUBBLE 1.2d
10 Apr 2024 11:00 11 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.58 $0.59 +1.61% BUBBLE 14h
12 Apr 2024 20:00 13 Apr 2024 04:00 $0.50 $0.51 +2.52% BUBBLE 9h
13 Apr 2024 22:00 14 Apr 2024 07:00 $0.45 $0.47 +5.42% BUBBLE 10h
14 Apr 2024 20:00 14 Apr 2024 22:00 $0.45 $0.47 +5.38% BUBBLE 3h
15 Apr 2024 19:00 15 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.46 $0.46 +0.77% BUBBLE 5h
16 Apr 2024 16:00 17 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.45 $0.46 +1.27% BUBBLE 10h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 18 Apr 2024 14:00 $0.43 $0.46 +5.28% BUBBLE 23h
22 Apr 2024 04:00 22 Apr 2024 20:00 $0.51 $0.52 +1.73% BULL 17h
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 16:00 $0.47 $0.47 +0.27% BUBBLE 6h
26 Apr 2024 23:00 28 Apr 2024 02:00 $0.46 $0.48 +2.17% BUBBLE 1.2d
29 Apr 2024 14:00 30 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.46 $0.46 +0.53% BULL 11h
30 Apr 2024 13:00 01 May 2024 04:00 $0.43 $0.44 +3.22% BULL 16h
01 May 2024 17:00 03 May 2024 02:00 $0.44 $0.46 +4.89% BULL 1.4d
03 May 2024 15:00 04 May 2024 01:00 $0.47 $0.47 -0.34% SIDEWAYS 11h
08 May 2024 00:00 08 May 2024 14:00 $0.44 $0.46 +3.38% BULL 15h
09 May 2024 11:00 10 May 2024 01:00 $0.45 $0.46 +2.46% BULL 15h
12 May 2024 19:00 13 May 2024 08:00 $0.44 $0.45 +2.23% BULL 14h
14 May 2024 23:00 16 May 2024 14:00 $0.43 $0.45 +4.55% BULL 1.7d
17 May 2024 03:00 17 May 2024 10:00 $0.46 $0.49 +5.52% BULL 8h
20 May 2024 01:00 21 May 2024 00:00 $0.47 $0.50 +7.91% BUBBLE 24h
22 May 2024 13:00 22 May 2024 16:00 $0.48 $0.48 +0.34% BUBBLE 4h
23 May 2024 17:00 26 May 2024 01:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.45% BUBBLE 2.4d
26 May 2024 21:00 26 May 2024 23:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.69% BUBBLE 3h
31 May 2024 01:00 31 May 2024 04:00 $0.45 $0.45 -0.01% BUBBLE 4h
01 Jun 2024 02:00 01 Jun 2024 09:00 $0.45 $0.45 -0.30% BUBBLE 8h
02 Jun 2024 10:00 02 Jun 2024 14:00 $0.45 $0.45 +0.28% BUBBLE 5h
03 Jun 2024 03:00 04 Jun 2024 06:00 $0.45 $0.46 +0.86% BUBBLE 1.2d
04 Jun 2024 19:00 05 Jun 2024 07:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.54% BUBBLE 13h
06 Jun 2024 00:00 06 Jun 2024 02:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.52% BUBBLE 3h
06 Jun 2024 20:00 07 Jun 2024 10:00 $0.46 $0.48 +4.30% BUBBLE 15h
09 Jun 2024 01:00 09 Jun 2024 19:00 $0.44 $0.44 +1.07% BUBBLE 19h
10 Jun 2024 08:00 10 Jun 2024 10:00 $0.44 $0.45 +1.31% BUBBLE 3h
11 Jun 2024 16:00 12 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.42 $0.44 +5.76% BUBBLE 1.1d
14 Jun 2024 17:00 14 Jun 2024 22:00 $0.41 $0.41 +0.99% BUBBLE 6h
17 Jun 2024 16:00 17 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.17% BUBBLE 2h
18 Jun 2024 09:00 19 Jun 2024 03:00 $0.38 $0.39 +3.52% BUBBLE 19h
22 Jun 2024 01:00 23 Jun 2024 03:00 $0.37 $0.39 +3.50% BULL 1.1d
24 Jun 2024 06:00 24 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.37 $0.38 +0.60% SIDEWAYS 8h
25 Jun 2024 02:00 25 Jun 2024 18:00 $0.39 $0.40 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 17h
26 Jun 2024 07:00 26 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.39 $0.39 +0.46% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Jun 2024 04:00 28 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.38 $0.39 +3.14% SIDEWAYS 22h
28 Jun 2024 14:00 28 Jun 2024 16:00 $0.39 $0.40 -0.13% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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81.4% Win Rate +147.2% Return -1.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees