JUP — JUP - Algozilla - Walk-forward validated algorithmic trading

Jupiter (JUP) is the dominant Solana DEX aggregator routing trades across all major Solana liquidity sources. Token holders share aggregator fees. Marginal history (since early-2024 airdrop) — model treats JUP under limited-history confidence.

KPIs Equity Curve Regimes Per-Cycle Trade Log View JUP Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio

11.09

Sortino Ratio

9.24

Profit Factor

134.78

Calmar Ratio

28,243.74

Win Rate

85.1%

Max Drawdown

-13.6%

Avg Drawdown

-8.10%

Alpha vs B&H

+49,057,212.6pp

Total Trades

59

Exposure

38.2%

Beats B&H

6/6

Sharpe Trend

+3.36

JUP Monthly Returns

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year Σ
2024	—	—	—	—	—	+62.7% 18t	+96.4% 26t	+29.5% 19t	+72.5% 22t	+58.9% 19t	+134.8% 18t	+109.2% 14t	+5,468.1%
2025	+146.8% 14t	+117.2% 14t	+79.5% 12t	+97.1% 12t	+115.6% 12t	+85.7% 15t	+137.7% 18t	+107.4% 13t	+40.2% 12t	+51.6% 15t	+41.1% 18t	+68.4% 16t	+188,939.9%
2026	+68.1% 14t	+97.5% 11t	+72.0% 11t	+51.7% 12t	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	+765.7%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights

↑ Exceptional return: +490.57K× — compound across the full walk-forward window.
↑ High win rate: 85.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
↑ Robust sample: 59 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.77% on 49 trades, WR 86%.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime	Trades	Win Rate	Avg PnL	Profit Factor	Avg Bars
BUBBLE	97	86.9%	+4.09%	14.97	14.9
BULL	49	71.3%	+1.95%	305.55	17.5
SIDEWAYS	164	83.0%	+3.62%	52.72	19.9
BEAR	45	88.2%	+4.52%	1.66	18.5

Per-Cycle Results

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle	Period	Sharpe	Return	MaxDD	Win Rate	Trades	B&H
1	Jun '24 – Oct '24	8.73	594%	-13.6%	68.6%	86	Yes
2	Oct '24 – Jan '25	9.77	15.2x	-8.0%	83.9%	62	Yes
3	Jan '25 – May '25	13.08	14.4x	-7.6%	89.8%	49	Yes
4	May '25 – Sep '25	12.83	940%	-7.4%	89.7%	58	Yes
5	Sep '25 – Jan '26	10.04	409%	-8.2%	81.4%	59	Yes
6	Jan '26 – May '26	12.09	434%	-3.9%	97.6%	41	Yes

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Dec 2025 – Apr 2026).

Compound Return

+631.0%

Win Rate

96.0%

48W / 2L

Max Drawdown

-0.2%

€10,000 Invested

€73,096

7.3x return

Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

Entry	Exit	Entry Price	Exit Price	PnL	Regime	Bars	Exit Reason
29 Apr 2026 19:00	30 Apr 2026 17:00	$0.17760	$0.18080	+1.30%	SIDEWAYS	23	trail
27 Apr 2026 06:00	27 Apr 2026 23:00	$0.18700	$0.19490	+3.80%	SIDEWAYS	18	exit_fp
25 Apr 2026 18:00	26 Apr 2026 12:00	$0.17120	$0.17880	+4.01%	SIDEWAYS	19	short_signal
23 Apr 2026 03:00	25 Apr 2026 02:00	$0.16940	$0.17320	+1.83%	SIDEWAYS	48	short_signal
21 Apr 2026 03:00	22 Apr 2026 08:00	$0.16810	$0.17850	+5.75%	SIDEWAYS	30	exit_fp
20 Apr 2026 06:00	20 Apr 2026 10:00	$0.16960	$0.17070	+0.24%	SIDEWAYS	5	short_signal
15 Apr 2026 01:00	17 Apr 2026 02:00	$0.16620	$0.18330	+9.84%	SIDEWAYS	50	take_profit
12 Apr 2026 15:00	13 Apr 2026 15:00	$0.15940	$0.16330	+1.93%	BEAR	25	trail
09 Apr 2026 12:00	10 Apr 2026 04:00	$0.15860	$0.16160	+1.35%	BEAR	17	trail
07 Apr 2026 11:00	07 Apr 2026 22:00	$0.15670	$0.16720	+6.26%	BEAR	12	exit_fp
05 Apr 2026 09:00	06 Apr 2026 09:00	$0.15810	$0.16610	+4.63%	BEAR	25	exit_fp
02 Apr 2026 05:00	03 Apr 2026 00:00	$0.15280	$0.15640	+1.83%	BEAR	20	trail
30 Mar 2026 01:00	30 Mar 2026 17:00	$0.14530	$0.15170	+3.86%	BEAR	17	trail
27 Mar 2026 19:00	28 Mar 2026 21:00	$0.14190	$0.14560	+2.05%	BEAR	27	trail
24 Mar 2026 21:00	25 Mar 2026 03:00	$0.15560	$0.15940	+2.02%	BEAR	7	exit_fp
22 Mar 2026 22:00	24 Mar 2026 08:00	$0.15320	$0.15820	+2.84%	BEAR	35	exit_fp
22 Mar 2026 00:00	22 Mar 2026 04:00	$0.15440	$0.15510	+0.04%	BEAR	5	short_signal
14 Mar 2026 11:00	16 Mar 2026 19:00	$0.15970	$0.16930	+5.58%	BEAR	57	short_signal
12 Mar 2026 15:00	13 Mar 2026 12:00	$0.16150	$0.16940	+4.46%	BEAR	22	exit_fp
10 Mar 2026 04:00	10 Mar 2026 08:00	$0.16970	$0.17570	+3.11%	BEAR	5	exit_fp
03 Mar 2026 14:00	04 Mar 2026 13:00	$0.17460	$0.18940	+8.03%	BEAR	24	exit_fp
01 Mar 2026 19:00	02 Mar 2026 14:00	$0.16280	$0.17730	+8.46%	BEAR	20	exit_fp
28 Feb 2026 07:00	01 Mar 2026 02:00	$0.14780	$0.17220	+16.03%	BEAR	20	exit_fp
26 Feb 2026 16:00	27 Feb 2026 03:00	$0.15050	$0.15690	+3.83%	BEAR	12	exit_fp
24 Feb 2026 12:00	25 Feb 2026 19:00	$0.14160	$0.16360	+15.06%	BEAR	32	exit_fp
19 Feb 2026 17:00	20 Feb 2026 18:00	$0.14990	$0.16140	+7.23%	BEAR	26	exit_fp
16 Feb 2026 17:00	17 Feb 2026 04:00	$0.15790	$0.16960	+6.97%	BEAR	12	exit_fp
12 Feb 2026 18:00	14 Feb 2026 05:00	$0.13620	$0.15410	+12.52%	BEAR	36	trail
07 Feb 2026 10:00	07 Feb 2026 20:00	$0.15960	$0.16940	+5.71%	BEAR	11	exit_fp
06 Feb 2026 01:00	06 Feb 2026 14:00	$0.15930	$0.16680	+4.28%	BEAR	14	exit_fp
04 Feb 2026 14:00	04 Feb 2026 19:00	$0.18550	$0.19390	+4.10%	BEAR	6	exit_fp
03 Feb 2026 01:00	03 Feb 2026 15:00	$0.19200	$0.19940	+3.43%	BEAR	15	exit_fp
02 Feb 2026 03:00	02 Feb 2026 12:00	$0.18570	$0.19290	+3.45%	BEAR	10	exit_fp
31 Jan 2026 17:00	01 Feb 2026 00:00	$0.17130	$0.17960	+4.30%	BEAR	8	regime_exit
30 Jan 2026 01:00	31 Jan 2026 01:00	$0.19540	$0.20710	+5.55%	SIDEWAYS	25	exit_fp
25 Jan 2026 19:00	28 Jan 2026 02:00	$0.18310	$0.20570	+11.88%	SIDEWAYS	56	take_profit
24 Jan 2026 08:00	24 Jan 2026 12:00	$0.19750	$0.19850	+0.10%	SIDEWAYS	5	short_signal
22 Jan 2026 15:00	23 Jan 2026 19:00	$0.19100	$0.19360	+0.95%	SIDEWAYS	29	short_signal
20 Jan 2026 21:00	21 Jan 2026 15:00	$0.19170	$0.19890	+3.33%	SIDEWAYS	19	exit_fp
19 Jan 2026 01:00	19 Jan 2026 05:00	$0.19850	$0.19870	-0.31%	SIDEWAYS	5	short_signal
16 Jan 2026 01:00	17 Jan 2026 00:00	$0.21900	$0.22700	+3.23%	SIDEWAYS	24	exit_fp
12 Jan 2026 14:00	14 Jan 2026 09:00	$0.20910	$0.23020	+9.64%	SIDEWAYS	44	take_profit
10 Jan 2026 22:00	12 Jan 2026 01:00	$0.20740	$0.21390	+2.71%	SIDEWAYS	28	short_signal
08 Jan 2026 10:00	09 Jan 2026 06:00	$0.21270	$0.21800	+2.07%	SIDEWAYS	21	exit_fp
06 Jan 2026 18:00	06 Jan 2026 23:00	$0.22290	$0.23080	+3.12%	SIDEWAYS	6	exit_fp
05 Jan 2026 09:00	05 Jan 2026 18:00	$0.21380	$0.22210	+3.46%	SIDEWAYS	10	exit_fp
02 Jan 2026 16:00	03 Jan 2026 02:00	$0.21000	$0.21060	-0.12%	SIDEWAYS	11	short_signal
31 Dec 2025 18:00	02 Jan 2026 03:00	$0.18610	$0.20210	+8.15%	SIDEWAYS	34	take_profit
30 Dec 2025 02:00	30 Dec 2025 11:00	$0.18710	$0.19160	+1.99%	SIDEWAYS	10	short_signal
28 Dec 2025 21:00	28 Dec 2025 23:00	$0.19740	$0.20000	+0.90%	SIDEWAYS	3	exit_fp

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85.1% Win Rate Sharpe 11.09 59 Trades -13.6% Max Drawdown

JUP (JUP) Backtest

Performance Overview

JUP Monthly Returns

Regime Breakdown

Per-Cycle Results

Trade Log

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