Backtests / NFP
OMNISCIUS · V4.2 (THEROS)

NFP NFP (NFP) Backtest

Walk-forward validated backtest results for NFP. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.

1 Walk-Forward Cycle Apr 2024 – May 2026 $0.016480 (-2.49%)
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

NFPrompt (NFP) is a Web3 platform where users create and trade AI-generated NFT content using prompt-engineering tools. The token rewards prompt creators and curators. Listed late-2023 on Binance Launchpool, NFP rides AI + NFT narrative cycles.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio
9.87
Sortino Ratio
9.16
Profit Factor
12.44
Calmar Ratio
1,341.63
Win Rate
85.1%
Max Drawdown
-14.8%
Avg Drawdown
-14.77%
Alpha vs B&H
+4,123,266.4pp
Total Trades
315
Exposure
26.4%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
NFP

NFP Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
+86.3%
18t
+42.7%
19t
+79.5%
14t
+34.1%
10t
+71.9%
9t
+92.8%
16t
+161.0%
23t
+112.5%
23t
+11,661.9%
2025
+118.4%
21t
+68.4%
14t
+43.2%
7t
+94.3%
13t
+90.3%
19t
+40.3%
16t
+77.6%
21t
+114.5%
16t
+16.4%
9t
+89.3%
13t
+43.4%
6t
+25.9%
8t
+41,307.4%
2026
+57.5%
12t
+4.8%
1t
-0.6%
1t
+17.3%
4t
-10.0%
2t
+73.2%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +41.23K× — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 85.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 315 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.96% on 115 trades, WR 95%.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 131 81.7% +2.62% 9.11 10.9
BULL 68 75.0% +3.97% 8.52 18.4
SIDEWAYS 115 94.8% +4.96% 23.25 19.1
BEAR 1 100.0% +4.80% 0.00 6.0

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Sep 2025 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
01 May 2026 15:00 01 May 2026 21:00 $0.01990 $0.01750 -12.23% SIDEWAYS 7 stop
01 May 2026 01:00 01 May 2026 02:00 $0.01270 $0.01310 +2.57% SIDEWAYS 2 exit_fp
27 Apr 2026 09:00 27 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.01560 $0.01640 +4.37% SIDEWAYS 6 exit_fp
23 Apr 2026 10:00 24 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.01430 $0.01530 +6.85% SIDEWAYS 15 exit_fp
20 Apr 2026 09:00 20 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.01440 $0.01480 +2.22% SIDEWAYS 12 signal
16 Apr 2026 01:00 16 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.01380 $0.01430 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 11 exit_fp
20 Mar 2026 02:00 20 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.01650 $0.01650 -0.65% SIDEWAYS 11 signal
31 Jan 2026 19:00 01 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.01870 $0.01970 +4.80% BEAR 6 regime_exit
30 Jan 2026 04:00 30 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.02150 $0.02190 +1.44% SIDEWAYS 15 exit_fp
27 Jan 2026 18:00 28 Jan 2026 04:00 $0.02340 $0.02350 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 11 signal
26 Jan 2026 01:00 26 Jan 2026 23:00 $0.02310 $0.02360 +1.75% SIDEWAYS 23 signal
21 Jan 2026 14:00 22 Jan 2026 02:00 $0.02520 $0.02600 +2.75% SIDEWAYS 13 signal
19 Jan 2026 13:00 19 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.02560 $0.02630 +2.31% SIDEWAYS 4 exit_fp
15 Jan 2026 21:00 17 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.02630 $0.02870 +8.68% SIDEWAYS 40 exit_fp
12 Jan 2026 15:00 13 Jan 2026 22:00 $0.02550 $0.02770 +8.18% SIDEWAYS 32 exit_fp
10 Jan 2026 09:00 11 Jan 2026 00:00 $0.02680 $0.02660 -1.15% SIDEWAYS 16 signal
08 Jan 2026 14:00 09 Jan 2026 06:00 $0.02550 $0.02670 +4.28% SIDEWAYS 17 signal
05 Jan 2026 14:00 06 Jan 2026 08:00 $0.02620 $0.02710 +3.01% SIDEWAYS 19 exit_fp
02 Jan 2026 07:00 03 Jan 2026 04:00 $0.02530 $0.02620 +3.13% SIDEWAYS 22 signal
31 Dec 2025 17:00 01 Jan 2026 07:00 $0.02280 $0.02580 +12.70% SIDEWAYS 15 exit_fp
29 Dec 2025 07:00 29 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.02420 $0.02360 -2.88% SIDEWAYS 6 signal
26 Dec 2025 01:00 27 Dec 2025 23:00 $0.02350 $0.02440 +3.41% SIDEWAYS 47 exit_fp
11 Dec 2025 15:00 11 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.02590 $0.02650 +1.90% SIDEWAYS 6 exit_fp
10 Dec 2025 13:00 10 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.02730 $0.02810 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 7 exit_fp
09 Dec 2025 07:00 09 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.02740 $0.02880 +4.68% SIDEWAYS 9 exit_fp
07 Dec 2025 15:00 08 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.02730 $0.02820 +2.87% SIDEWAYS 22 exit_fp
06 Dec 2025 01:00 06 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.02700 $0.02800 +3.28% SIDEWAYS 17 exit_fp
02 Dec 2025 09:00 02 Dec 2025 22:00 $0.02630 $0.02850 +7.92% SIDEWAYS 14 exit_fp
12 Nov 2025 09:00 12 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.03850 $0.03970 +2.70% SIDEWAYS 6 exit_fp
09 Nov 2025 04:00 09 Nov 2025 13:00 $0.03670 $0.03990 +8.27% SIDEWAYS 10 exit_fp
07 Nov 2025 01:00 07 Nov 2025 14:00 $0.03550 $0.03770 +5.76% SIDEWAYS 14 exit_fp
06 Nov 2025 03:00 06 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.03340 $0.03550 +5.85% SIDEWAYS 6 exit_fp
05 Nov 2025 01:00 05 Nov 2025 07:00 $0.03250 $0.03530 +8.17% SIDEWAYS 7 exit_fp
31 Oct 2025 01:00 01 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.03750 $0.04010 +6.50% SIDEWAYS 41 exit_fp
25 Oct 2025 19:00 26 Oct 2025 22:00 $0.04280 $0.04370 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 28 exit_fp
23 Oct 2025 10:00 25 Oct 2025 04:00 $0.04100 $0.04190 +1.78% SIDEWAYS 43 signal
21 Oct 2025 14:00 21 Oct 2025 15:00 $0.04400 $0.04450 +0.72% SIDEWAYS 2 exit_fp
17 Oct 2025 09:00 18 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.04250 $0.04570 +7.09% SIDEWAYS 30 exit_fp
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.04560 $0.04900 +7.02% SIDEWAYS 24 exit_fp
11 Oct 2025 23:00 13 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.04230 $0.04910 +15.60% SIDEWAYS 35 exit_fp
10 Oct 2025 23:00 11 Oct 2025 10:00 $0.03780 $0.04280 +12.76% BULL 12 exit_fp
09 Oct 2025 14:00 10 Oct 2025 10:00 $0.05850 $0.06140 +4.53% BULL 21 short_signal
08 Oct 2025 00:00 08 Oct 2025 16:00 $0.05970 $0.06300 +5.10% BUBBLE 17 exit_fp
06 Oct 2025 12:00 06 Oct 2025 19:00 $0.06180 $0.06250 +0.72% BUBBLE 8 signal
05 Oct 2025 21:00 05 Oct 2025 23:00 $0.05940 $0.05940 -0.41% BUBBLE 3 signal
05 Oct 2025 01:00 05 Oct 2025 02:00 $0.06040 $0.06150 +1.40% BUBBLE 2 exit_fp
30 Sep 2025 17:00 02 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.05730 $0.06260 +8.80% SIDEWAYS 40 take_profit
28 Sep 2025 13:00 28 Sep 2025 22:00 $0.06030 $0.06200 +2.40% SIDEWAYS 10 exit_fp
26 Sep 2025 17:00 27 Sep 2025 16:00 $0.06030 $0.06060 +0.09% SIDEWAYS 24 signal
24 Sep 2025 05:00 24 Sep 2025 16:00 $0.06090 $0.06330 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 12 exit_fp

Start Trading NFP Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time NFP signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

85.1% Win Rate Sharpe 9.87 315 Trades -14.8% Max Drawdown