BTCBTCBitcoin$64,304.00+1.20%
24h High$64,388.00
24h Low$63,184.21
Volume$634.4M
Updated23:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for BTC - Bitcoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 33 trades would have compounded to a final value of $21,203 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 33 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+112.0%
$10,000 →
$21,203
Win Rate
97.0%
32W / 1L
Trades
33
Sharpe
13.03
Alpha vs B&H
+120.37pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-8.34%
Max Drawdown
-0.15%
Avg Drawdown
-1.44%
Sharpe Trend
+1.66
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — BTC — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for BTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 33-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.52%
Avg Loss
-0.15%
Best Trade
+8.34%
Worst Trade
-0.15%
Avg Bars Held
24.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 21 (64%) Signal flip: 6 (18%) Short signal: 3 (9%) Trailing stop: 2 (6%) Take-profit: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +112.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 97.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.2%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.71% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 20 100.0% +2.06% +49.91% 20h
BULL 9 88.9% +2.73% +27.06% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 4 100.0% +3.71% +15.50% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 33 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Apr 2024 01:00 08 Apr 2024 10:00 $69,437.02 $72,323.98 +3.73% BUBBLE 10h
10 Apr 2024 01:00 11 Apr 2024 02:00 $69,269.75 $70,995.66 +2.39% BUBBLE 1.1d
13 Apr 2024 21:00 13 Apr 2024 22:00 $62,928.01 $64,293.46 +2.07% BUBBLE 2h
14 Apr 2024 11:00 15 Apr 2024 05:00 $64,166.05 $65,466.74 +1.93% BUBBLE 19h
16 Apr 2024 02:00 16 Apr 2024 21:00 $63,401.55 $64,007.12 +0.85% BUBBLE 20h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 19 Apr 2024 08:00 $60,194.95 $64,639.02 +7.28% BUBBLE 1.7d
21 Apr 2024 10:00 22 Apr 2024 18:00 $64,954.51 $66,331.17 +1.70% BULL 1.4d
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 17:00 $63,861.23 $64,704.00 +1.22% BUBBLE 7h
27 Apr 2024 02:00 27 Apr 2024 04:00 $62,929.97 $63,048.57 +0.09% BUBBLE 3h
27 Apr 2024 17:00 28 Apr 2024 02:00 $63,416.21 $63,950.00 +0.74% BUBBLE 10h
29 Apr 2024 04:00 29 Apr 2024 22:00 $62,542.00 $63,890.00 +2.05% BULL 19h
30 Apr 2024 20:00 01 May 2024 02:00 $59,958.62 $59,927.99 -0.15% BULL 7h
01 May 2024 15:00 03 May 2024 13:00 $56,886.00 $61,689.94 +8.34% BULL 2d
05 May 2024 02:00 05 May 2024 15:00 $63,141.71 $64,428.65 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 May 2024 01:00 09 May 2024 22:00 $61,551.00 $63,280.47 +2.71% BULL 22h
10 May 2024 18:00 14 May 2024 02:00 $60,717.07 $62,541.99 +2.90% BULL 3.4d
14 May 2024 15:00 16 May 2024 09:00 $61,787.61 $66,364.69 +7.30% BULL 1.8d
19 May 2024 20:00 20 May 2024 23:00 $66,163.99 $71,446.62 +7.54% BUBBLE 1.2d
23 May 2024 19:00 26 May 2024 02:00 $67,199.98 $68,936.92 +2.44% BUBBLE 2.3d
26 May 2024 16:00 28 May 2024 00:00 $68,808.62 $69,462.69 +0.81% BUBBLE 1.4d
28 May 2024 13:00 29 May 2024 03:00 $67,792.00 $68,829.42 +1.43% BUBBLE 15h
29 May 2024 16:00 30 May 2024 17:00 $67,555.18 $69,315.10 +2.50% BUBBLE 1.1d
02 Jun 2024 02:00 03 Jun 2024 12:00 $67,733.26 $69,746.23 +2.55% BUBBLE 1.5d
04 Jun 2024 15:00 05 Jun 2024 17:00 $70,445.00 $71,628.98 +1.58% BUBBLE 1.1d
06 Jun 2024 06:00 06 Jun 2024 14:00 $70,887.99 $71,464.57 +0.71% BUBBLE 9h
09 Jun 2024 01:00 09 Jun 2024 18:00 $69,285.00 $69,738.10 +0.55% BUBBLE 18h
11 Jun 2024 13:00 12 Jun 2024 14:00 $66,812.00 $69,960.57 +4.61% BUBBLE 1.1d
16 Jun 2024 03:00 16 Jun 2024 15:00 $66,146.00 $66,712.80 +0.44% BUBBLE 13h
17 Jun 2024 13:00 17 Jun 2024 18:00 $65,200.01 $67,101.48 +2.81% BUBBLE 6h
18 Jun 2024 20:00 19 Jun 2024 06:00 $64,936.51 $65,599.99 +0.92% BUBBLE 11h
21 Jun 2024 14:00 22 Jun 2024 22:00 $64,222.84 $64,315.79 +0.04% BULL 1.4d
24 Jun 2024 21:00 26 Jun 2024 01:00 $60,119.24 $62,090.01 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
26 Jun 2024 19:00 28 Jun 2024 01:00 $61,000.01 $62,091.99 +1.69% SIDEWAYS 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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97.0% Win Rate +112.0% Return -0.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees