BTCBTCBitcoin$64,304.00+1.20%
24h High$64,388.00
24h Low$63,184.21
Volume$634.4M
Updated23:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for BTC - Bitcoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 40 trades would have compounded to a final value of $21,262 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 40 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+112.6%
$10,000 →
$21,262
Win Rate
97.5%
39W / 1L
Trades
40
Sharpe
13.52
Alpha vs B&H
+85.14pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+27.48%
Max Drawdown
-0.08%
Avg Drawdown
-1.52%
Sharpe Trend
-9.77
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — BTC — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for BTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 40-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.41%
Avg Loss
-0.08%
Best Trade
+9.27%
Worst Trade
-0.08%
Avg Bars Held
23.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 27 (68%) Signal flip: 9 (23%) Trailing stop: 2 (5%) Take-profit: 1 (3%) Short signal: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +112.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 97.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.07% on 15 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 100.0% +3.07% +56.24% 19h
BULL 15 93.3% +2.05% +35.32% 1.3d
BUBBLE 10 100.0% +1.72% +18.56% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 40 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $75,126.01 $79,033.11 +4.77% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $76,070.53 $83,204.00 +9.27% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Apr 2025 17:00 12 Apr 2025 20:00 $79,328.01 $85,517.29 +7.69% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
13 Apr 2025 14:00 13 Apr 2025 18:00 $84,093.22 $84,730.00 +0.66% SIDEWAYS 5h
14 Apr 2025 07:00 14 Apr 2025 14:00 $84,580.76 $85,423.60 +0.90% SIDEWAYS 8h
16 Apr 2025 00:00 16 Apr 2025 16:00 $83,146.01 $85,048.55 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 17h
17 Apr 2025 05:00 18 Apr 2025 01:00 $84,391.30 $84,925.58 +0.53% SIDEWAYS 21h
19 Apr 2025 01:00 19 Apr 2025 13:00 $84,544.06 $85,472.54 +1.00% SIDEWAYS 13h
20 Apr 2025 11:00 22 Apr 2025 17:00 $84,129.83 $91,396.14 +8.19% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
23 Apr 2025 15:00 24 Apr 2025 01:00 $93,195.28 $93,489.18 +0.22% SIDEWAYS 11h
24 Apr 2025 14:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $93,101.83 $95,368.00 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 1d
26 Apr 2025 14:00 27 Apr 2025 00:00 $94,240.01 $94,870.01 +0.57% BULL 11h
27 Apr 2025 16:00 28 Apr 2025 11:00 $93,881.82 $95,319.99 +1.43% BULL 20h
29 Apr 2025 00:00 29 Apr 2025 18:00 $95,065.27 $95,391.29 +0.24% BULL 19h
30 Apr 2025 14:00 02 May 2025 14:00 $93,705.04 $97,748.40 +4.21% BULL 2d
05 May 2025 00:00 07 May 2025 00:00 $94,724.11 $97,415.65 +2.42% BULL 2d
07 May 2025 18:00 09 May 2025 02:00 $96,593.59 $102,595.50 +6.11% BULL 1.4d
10 May 2025 01:00 12 May 2025 01:00 $102,987.50 $103,984.14 +0.87% BULL 2d
12 May 2025 19:00 13 May 2025 19:00 $101,860.00 $104,792.22 +2.78% BULL 1d
14 May 2025 09:00 16 May 2025 01:00 $103,485.73 $104,047.61 +0.44% BULL 1.7d
17 May 2025 02:00 17 May 2025 04:00 $103,286.01 $103,658.05 +0.26% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 02:00 19 May 2025 01:00 $103,346.70 $105,059.97 +1.24% BUBBLE 24h
19 May 2025 14:00 20 May 2025 01:00 $104,328.11 $106,450.00 +1.93% BUBBLE 12h
20 May 2025 14:00 21 May 2025 04:00 $104,519.84 $107,287.00 +2.54% BUBBLE 15h
21 May 2025 18:00 22 May 2025 03:00 $106,965.05 $111,780.84 +4.40% BUBBLE 10h
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 17:00 $107,479.24 $108,920.03 +1.24% BUBBLE 17h
25 May 2025 08:00 26 May 2025 21:00 $107,109.41 $109,346.68 +1.99% BUBBLE 1.6d
31 May 2025 02:00 31 May 2025 21:00 $103,189.83 $104,863.16 +1.52% BUBBLE 20h
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 21:00 $104,195.12 $105,496.54 +0.83% BUBBLE 20h
02 Jun 2025 14:00 02 Jun 2025 23:00 $104,176.62 $105,857.99 +1.51% BULL 10h
05 Jun 2025 22:00 08 Jun 2025 09:00 $101,502.61 $105,216.37 +3.51% BULL 2.5d
09 Jun 2025 01:00 09 Jun 2025 21:00 $105,527.71 $109,973.75 +4.11% BULL 21h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 06:00 $103,773.65 $105,251.83 +1.28% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 16:00 $105,481.02 $107,765.99 +1.75% BULL 1.6d
18 Jun 2025 01:00 18 Jun 2025 15:00 $104,776.92 $104,801.01 -0.08% BULL 15h
22 Jun 2025 18:00 24 Jun 2025 01:00 $99,437.42 $105,450.76 +5.94% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Jun 2025 14:00 24 Jun 2025 16:00 $105,517.50 $106,225.26 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Jun 2025 05:00 25 Jun 2025 13:00 $106,213.72 $107,923.21 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 9h
26 Jun 2025 14:00 26 Jun 2025 20:00 $107,436.60 $107,766.29 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 7h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 00:00 $107,307.48 $108,713.81 +0.90% BULL 23h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
97.5% Win Rate +112.6% Return -0.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees