ETHETHEthereum$1,730.22+1.49%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,698.15
Volume$232.5M
Updated17:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 48 trades would have compounded to a final value of $32,366 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 48 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+223.7%
$10,000 →
$32,366
Win Rate
87.5%
42W / 6L
Trades
48
Sharpe
13.05
Alpha vs B&H
+238.03pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-14.36%
Max Drawdown
-2.07%
Avg Drawdown
-2.13%
Sharpe Trend
-4.15
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — Q3 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 48-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.36%
Avg Loss
-0.67%
Best Trade
+12.67%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Bars Held
22.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 31 (65%) Signal flip: 11 (23%) Trailing stop: 3 (6%) Take-profit: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +223.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.94% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 42 85.7% +2.92% +228.81% 23h
BUBBLE 4 100.0% +2.22% +9.16% 13h
BULL 2 100.0% +2.94% +5.90% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 48 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jul 2024 01:00 08 Jul 2024 08:00 $2,845.97 $3,057.26 +6.98% SIDEWAYS 8h
08 Jul 2024 10:00 11 Jul 2024 12:00 $3,066.38 $3,192.50 +4.01% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
11 Jul 2024 22:00 13 Jul 2024 22:00 $3,099.95 $3,191.92 +2.86% SIDEWAYS 2d
14 Jul 2024 01:00 15 Jul 2024 22:00 $3,176.64 $3,472.74 +9.21% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
16 Jul 2024 07:00 17 Jul 2024 02:00 $3,411.06 $3,477.94 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 20h
17 Jul 2024 12:00 17 Jul 2024 14:00 $3,457.40 $3,456.85 -0.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Jul 2024 14:00 21 Jul 2024 22:00 $3,499.67 $3,533.49 +0.55% BULL 9h
23 Jul 2024 01:00 23 Jul 2024 08:00 $3,484.05 $3,521.47 +0.97% BUBBLE 8h
23 Jul 2024 17:00 23 Jul 2024 21:00 $3,414.94 $3,467.25 +1.43% BUBBLE 5h
25 Jul 2024 19:00 27 Jul 2024 12:00 $3,118.62 $3,287.87 +5.32% BULL 1.8d
28 Jul 2024 01:00 29 Jul 2024 08:00 $3,250.81 $3,373.07 +3.66% BULL 1.3d
01 Aug 2024 16:00 01 Aug 2024 22:00 $3,117.93 $3,209.21 +2.82% BUBBLE 7h
05 Aug 2024 13:00 05 Aug 2024 14:00 $2,222.40 $2,403.57 +7.71% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Aug 2024 16:00 05 Aug 2024 17:00 $2,478.85 $2,469.62 -0.47% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Aug 2024 19:00 05 Aug 2024 22:00 $2,371.47 $2,452.79 +3.33% SIDEWAYS 4h
06 Aug 2024 00:00 06 Aug 2024 09:00 $2,474.25 $2,463.50 -0.53% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Aug 2024 21:00 08 Aug 2024 21:00 $2,341.58 $2,640.90 +12.67% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Aug 2024 16:00 10 Aug 2024 09:00 $2,572.41 $2,632.60 +2.24% SIDEWAYS 18h
10 Aug 2024 11:00 11 Aug 2024 02:00 $2,632.94 $2,624.93 -0.40% SIDEWAYS 16h
12 Aug 2024 00:00 13 Aug 2024 01:00 $2,573.33 $2,733.41 +6.11% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
13 Aug 2024 08:00 14 Aug 2024 09:00 $2,654.19 $2,721.72 +2.44% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
15 Aug 2024 20:00 16 Aug 2024 09:00 $2,540.46 $2,626.22 +3.27% SIDEWAYS 14h
18 Aug 2024 03:00 18 Aug 2024 12:00 $2,619.21 $2,666.81 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 10h
19 Aug 2024 00:00 20 Aug 2024 05:00 $2,626.40 $2,684.01 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
20 Aug 2024 16:00 22 Aug 2024 14:00 $2,578.18 $2,604.56 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 2d
22 Aug 2024 16:00 24 Aug 2024 00:00 $2,600.23 $2,757.93 +5.96% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
27 Aug 2024 23:00 29 Aug 2024 12:00 $2,457.31 $2,572.91 +4.60% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
30 Aug 2024 15:00 30 Aug 2024 18:00 $2,469.34 $2,535.79 +2.59% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Aug 2024 20:00 31 Aug 2024 01:00 $2,510.63 $2,525.70 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 6h
01 Sep 2024 23:00 02 Sep 2024 20:00 $2,410.89 $2,554.14 +5.51% SIDEWAYS 22h
02 Sep 2024 22:00 03 Sep 2024 00:00 $2,543.41 $2,534.65 -0.44% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Sep 2024 01:00 04 Sep 2024 15:00 $2,343.00 $2,455.40 +4.69% SIDEWAYS 15h
04 Sep 2024 18:00 04 Sep 2024 21:00 $2,454.48 $2,463.13 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 4h
06 Sep 2024 21:00 07 Sep 2024 08:00 $2,192.41 $2,296.14 +4.63% SIDEWAYS 12h
07 Sep 2024 10:00 07 Sep 2024 14:00 $2,284.92 $2,294.79 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Sep 2024 16:00 08 Sep 2024 10:00 $2,298.19 $2,303.95 +0.15% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Sep 2024 12:00 08 Sep 2024 15:00 $2,298.20 $2,253.81 -2.07% SIDEWAYS 4h
08 Sep 2024 17:00 09 Sep 2024 08:00 $2,261.62 $2,326.41 +2.76% SIDEWAYS 16h
09 Sep 2024 10:00 10 Sep 2024 22:00 $2,317.63 $2,390.56 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
11 Sep 2024 05:00 12 Sep 2024 01:00 $2,323.44 $2,372.99 +2.03% SIDEWAYS 21h
12 Sep 2024 03:00 13 Sep 2024 21:00 $2,366.99 $2,446.74 +3.27% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
16 Sep 2024 01:00 18 Sep 2024 00:00 $2,285.08 $2,334.32 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 2d
18 Sep 2024 02:00 20 Sep 2024 03:00 $2,328.39 $2,520.56 +8.15% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
20 Sep 2024 05:00 22 Sep 2024 00:00 $2,544.72 $2,620.57 +2.88% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
22 Sep 2024 10:00 24 Sep 2024 00:00 $2,579.83 $2,631.24 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
24 Sep 2024 02:00 25 Sep 2024 01:00 $2,614.57 $2,649.52 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 24h
25 Sep 2024 16:00 26 Sep 2024 18:00 $2,599.19 $2,659.99 +2.24% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
26 Sep 2024 20:00 27 Sep 2024 15:00 $2,650.74 $2,683.62 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
87.5% Win Rate +223.7% Return -2.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees