ETHETHEthereum$1,741.34+1.76%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,704.06
Volume$278.3M
Updated23:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 58 trades would have compounded to a final value of $46,511 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 58 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+365.1%
$10,000 →
$46,511
Win Rate
91.4%
53W / 5L
Trades
58
Sharpe
15.61
Alpha vs B&H
+415.77pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-50.66%
Max Drawdown
-0.78%
Avg Drawdown
-2.13%
Sharpe Trend
-12.20
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 58-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.56%
Avg Loss
-0.59%
Best Trade
+14.76%
Worst Trade
-1.32%
Avg Bars Held
15.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 34 (59%) Signal flip: 19 (33%) Short signal: 3 (5%) Regime exit: 1 (2%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +365.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.8%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 58 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.38% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 33 90.9% +2.77% +144.00% 15h
BUBBLE 15 93.3% +2.95% +54.00% 14h
BULL 6 100.0% +5.38% +36.55% 22h
BEAR 4 75.0% +4.49% +18.44% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 58 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 11:00 06 Jan 2025 15:00 $3,617.69 $3,714.45 +2.25% BUBBLE 1.2d
08 Jan 2025 18:00 08 Jan 2025 23:00 $3,299.60 $3,327.29 +0.74% BUBBLE 6h
09 Jan 2025 21:00 10 Jan 2025 09:00 $3,210.16 $3,302.45 +2.77% BUBBLE 13h
10 Jan 2025 11:00 10 Jan 2025 17:00 $3,310.04 $3,315.07 +0.05% BUBBLE 7h
10 Jan 2025 19:00 11 Jan 2025 20:00 $3,277.35 $3,299.54 +0.58% BUBBLE 1.1d
12 Jan 2025 10:00 13 Jan 2025 00:00 $3,241.12 $3,308.56 +1.98% BULL 15h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 14 Jan 2025 09:00 $3,075.15 $3,243.89 +5.38% BULL 21h
15 Jan 2025 01:00 15 Jan 2025 21:00 $3,223.19 $3,432.41 +6.38% BULL 21h
16 Jan 2025 15:00 17 Jan 2025 20:00 $3,280.99 $3,514.81 +7.02% BULL 1.3d
19 Jan 2025 11:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $3,173.22 $3,381.16 +6.12% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 06:00 $3,204.90 $3,416.01 +6.48% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $3,255.00 $3,351.00 +2.85% BUBBLE 17h
21 Jan 2025 19:00 22 Jan 2025 00:00 $3,325.22 $3,361.54 +0.99% BUBBLE 6h
23 Jan 2025 02:00 24 Jan 2025 05:00 $3,220.32 $3,409.96 +5.78% BUBBLE 1.2d
24 Jan 2025 07:00 24 Jan 2025 08:00 $3,389.24 $3,401.30 +0.26% BUBBLE 2h
25 Jan 2025 10:00 25 Jan 2025 16:00 $3,283.99 $3,342.27 +1.67% BUBBLE 7h
27 Jan 2025 08:00 28 Jan 2025 02:00 $3,067.01 $3,192.83 +4.00% BUBBLE 19h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 30 Jan 2025 16:00 $3,070.17 $3,278.93 +6.69% BUBBLE 1.8d
30 Jan 2025 18:00 31 Jan 2025 01:00 $3,271.64 $3,270.63 -0.13% BUBBLE 8h
31 Jan 2025 04:00 31 Jan 2025 12:00 $3,228.45 $3,350.69 +3.68% BUBBLE 9h
03 Feb 2025 02:00 03 Feb 2025 18:00 $2,452.71 $2,732.70 +10.96% BULL 17h
04 Feb 2025 23:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $2,721.69 $2,817.88 +3.43% BUBBLE 15h
05 Feb 2025 16:00 06 Feb 2025 01:00 $2,752.90 $2,790.53 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 10h
09 Feb 2025 22:00 10 Feb 2025 17:00 $2,565.19 $2,679.01 +4.33% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 00:00 $2,675.52 $2,705.59 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $2,604.37 $2,745.60 +5.32% SIDEWAYS 22h
13 Feb 2025 17:00 14 Feb 2025 17:00 $2,636.49 $2,773.97 +5.11% SIDEWAYS 1d
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 12:00 $2,693.10 $2,705.87 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 11h
16 Feb 2025 21:00 17 Feb 2025 12:00 $2,665.60 $2,766.22 +3.67% SIDEWAYS 16h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 13:00 $2,643.10 $2,745.91 +3.79% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
20 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 19:00 $2,723.02 $2,747.77 +0.81% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Feb 2025 22:00 23 Feb 2025 09:00 $2,638.00 $2,807.70 +6.33% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
23 Feb 2025 16:00 23 Feb 2025 18:00 $2,794.49 $2,808.89 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 08:00 25 Feb 2025 20:00 $2,388.79 $2,493.37 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 13h
26 Feb 2025 20:00 27 Feb 2025 10:00 $2,289.48 $2,378.17 +3.77% SIDEWAYS 15h
28 Feb 2025 07:00 28 Feb 2025 15:00 $2,121.09 $2,223.01 +4.70% SIDEWAYS 9h
28 Feb 2025 17:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $2,230.53 $2,216.16 -0.78% SIDEWAYS 8h
02 Mar 2025 15:00 02 Mar 2025 22:00 $2,203.04 $2,538.62 +14.76% BEAR 8h
03 Mar 2025 22:00 04 Mar 2025 19:00 $2,130.37 $2,172.65 +1.88% BEAR 22h
04 Mar 2025 21:00 05 Mar 2025 15:00 $2,146.22 $2,194.36 +2.10% BEAR 19h
05 Mar 2025 17:00 06 Mar 2025 00:00 $2,199.80 $2,238.49 +1.66% BEAR 8h
07 Mar 2025 00:00 07 Mar 2025 12:00 $2,205.33 $2,178.42 -1.32% SIDEWAYS 13h
08 Mar 2025 01:00 08 Mar 2025 18:00 $2,144.00 $2,208.69 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 18h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 02:00 $2,018.29 $2,057.91 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 4h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 18:00 $1,794.06 $1,953.13 +8.76% SIDEWAYS 18h
12 Mar 2025 07:00 12 Mar 2025 08:00 $1,896.01 $1,928.10 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 2h
13 Mar 2025 19:00 14 Mar 2025 16:00 $1,852.79 $1,936.44 +4.41% SIDEWAYS 22h
15 Mar 2025 01:00 15 Mar 2025 21:00 $1,917.61 $1,950.84 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 21h
16 Mar 2025 12:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $1,879.83 $1,948.56 +3.23% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
17 Mar 2025 20:00 17 Mar 2025 23:00 $1,938.00 $1,926.31 -0.70% SIDEWAYS 4h
18 Mar 2025 04:00 18 Mar 2025 08:00 $1,906.67 $1,908.60 +0.00% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Mar 2025 12:00 19 Mar 2025 14:00 $1,893.36 $2,030.87 +7.16% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 20:00 $1,970.20 $1,979.43 +0.37% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Mar 2025 13:00 22 Mar 2025 19:00 $1,948.21 $1,995.94 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Mar 2025 00:00 23 Mar 2025 09:00 $1,982.45 $2,014.25 +1.50% SIDEWAYS 10h
23 Mar 2025 18:00 24 Mar 2025 09:00 $1,992.43 $2,094.30 +5.01% SIDEWAYS 16h
26 Mar 2025 19:00 27 Mar 2025 02:00 $1,984.89 $2,030.51 +2.20% SIDEWAYS 8h
30 Mar 2025 17:00 30 Mar 2025 19:00 $1,800.24 $1,814.22 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
91.4% Win Rate +365.1% Return -0.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees