ETHETHEthereum$1,741.69+1.78%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,704.06
Volume$277.3M
Updated23:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 111 trades would have compounded to a final value of $126,926 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 111 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+1,169.3%
$10,000 →
$126,926
Win Rate
91.0%
101W / 10L
Trades
111
Sharpe
14.42
Alpha vs B&H
+1,115.30pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+53.96%
Max Drawdown
-2.63%
Avg Drawdown
-2.45%
Sharpe Trend
-0.28
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 111-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.14%
Avg Loss
-1.31%
Best Trade
+22.99%
Worst Trade
-2.63%
Avg Bars Held
20.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 59 (53%) Signal flip: 40 (36%) Trailing stop: 5 (5%) Short signal: 4 (4%) Stop-loss: 3 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,169.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.6%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 111 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.93% on 82 trades, WR 91%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 82 91.5% +2.93% +921.77% 18h
BULL 15 100.0% +2.62% +47.24% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 14 78.6% +1.72% +26.56% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 111 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jan 2024 23:00 09 Jan 2024 03:00 $2,221.97 $2,310.94 +3.46% BULL 1.2d
09 Jan 2024 05:00 09 Jan 2024 14:00 $2,310.31 $2,252.72 -2.63% BUBBLE 10h
09 Jan 2024 16:00 11 Jan 2024 12:00 $2,255.72 $2,647.02 +17.23% BUBBLE 1.9d
11 Jan 2024 21:00 12 Jan 2024 03:00 $2,612.67 $2,589.81 -0.97% BUBBLE 7h
12 Jan 2024 23:00 14 Jan 2024 01:00 $2,519.80 $2,569.40 +1.87% BUBBLE 1.1d
14 Jan 2024 20:00 16 Jan 2024 20:00 $2,510.99 $2,586.87 +2.92% BUBBLE 2d
19 Jan 2024 01:00 20 Jan 2024 01:00 $2,468.35 $2,489.80 +0.77% BULL 1d
23 Jan 2024 14:00 24 Jan 2024 10:00 $2,183.55 $2,256.20 +2.90% SIDEWAYS 21h
24 Jan 2024 12:00 25 Jan 2024 15:00 $2,242.97 $2,189.65 -2.51% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
25 Jan 2024 17:00 26 Jan 2024 07:00 $2,177.72 $2,198.36 +0.81% SIDEWAYS 15h
26 Jan 2024 09:00 26 Jan 2024 16:00 $2,213.73 $2,279.55 +2.87% SIDEWAYS 8h
26 Jan 2024 18:00 27 Jan 2024 00:00 $2,267.35 $2,280.18 +0.47% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Jan 2024 02:00 27 Jan 2024 15:00 $2,272.92 $2,270.18 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 14h
28 Jan 2024 20:00 30 Jan 2024 16:00 $2,250.00 $2,369.25 +5.19% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
01 Feb 2024 02:00 03 Feb 2024 01:00 $2,252.87 $2,325.91 +3.14% BULL 2d
04 Feb 2024 02:00 05 Feb 2024 13:00 $2,304.71 $2,330.45 +0.70% BULL 1.5d
06 Feb 2024 02:00 08 Feb 2024 01:00 $2,317.72 $2,441.89 +5.25% BULL 2d
08 Feb 2024 20:00 10 Feb 2024 10:00 $2,429.31 $2,477.87 +1.86% BULL 1.6d
10 Feb 2024 23:00 11 Feb 2024 13:00 $2,501.60 $2,510.69 +0.26% BULL 15h
11 Feb 2024 21:00 13 Feb 2024 01:00 $2,499.35 $2,677.61 +7.03% BUBBLE 1.2d
13 Feb 2024 04:00 13 Feb 2024 10:00 $2,643.46 $2,668.22 +0.84% BUBBLE 7h
13 Feb 2024 16:00 15 Feb 2024 00:00 $2,626.41 $2,817.94 +7.19% BUBBLE 1.4d
15 Feb 2024 06:00 15 Feb 2024 16:00 $2,774.55 $2,829.61 +1.88% BUBBLE 11h
15 Feb 2024 22:00 16 Feb 2024 01:00 $2,807.75 $2,842.79 +1.15% BUBBLE 4h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 19 Feb 2024 21:00 $2,776.00 $2,967.83 +6.47% BUBBLE 1.8d
20 Feb 2024 01:00 20 Feb 2024 13:00 $2,941.37 $2,997.61 +1.81% BUBBLE 13h
20 Feb 2024 15:00 21 Feb 2024 01:00 $2,922.78 $3,000.45 +2.55% BUBBLE 11h
21 Feb 2024 13:00 22 Feb 2024 08:00 $2,925.01 $3,020.77 +3.17% BUBBLE 20h
22 Feb 2024 10:00 22 Feb 2024 19:00 $3,017.92 $2,987.96 -1.09% BUBBLE 10h
23 Feb 2024 09:00 23 Feb 2024 11:00 $2,926.91 $2,943.63 +0.47% BUBBLE 3h
23 Feb 2024 16:00 23 Feb 2024 18:00 $2,909.67 $2,945.33 +1.12% BUBBLE 3h
24 Feb 2024 00:00 25 Feb 2024 21:00 $2,921.97 $3,109.42 +6.31% BUBBLE 1.9d
26 Feb 2024 10:00 27 Feb 2024 13:00 $3,059.57 $3,267.47 +6.69% BUBBLE 1.2d
27 Feb 2024 18:00 27 Feb 2024 21:00 $3,232.02 $3,248.00 +0.39% BUBBLE 4h
28 Feb 2024 02:00 28 Feb 2024 08:00 $3,236.59 $3,330.83 +2.81% BUBBLE 7h
28 Feb 2024 20:00 29 Feb 2024 11:00 $3,276.61 $3,513.87 +7.13% BUBBLE 16h
29 Feb 2024 23:00 02 Mar 2024 00:00 $3,340.16 $3,457.82 +3.42% BUBBLE 1.1d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 05 Mar 2024 01:00 $3,378.82 $3,642.72 +7.37% BUBBLE 1.8d
05 Mar 2024 20:00 05 Mar 2024 23:00 $3,457.40 $3,553.65 +2.68% BULL 4h
06 Mar 2024 01:00 06 Mar 2024 17:00 $3,553.37 $3,847.05 +8.16% BUBBLE 17h
06 Mar 2024 19:00 07 Mar 2024 18:00 $3,842.77 $3,879.08 +0.84% BUBBLE 24h
07 Mar 2024 20:00 08 Mar 2024 13:00 $3,878.20 $3,971.07 +2.29% BUBBLE 18h
08 Mar 2024 16:00 09 Mar 2024 16:00 $3,828.00 $3,889.94 +1.48% BUBBLE 1d
09 Mar 2024 18:00 10 Mar 2024 08:00 $3,890.41 $3,959.16 +1.67% BUBBLE 15h
10 Mar 2024 14:00 11 Mar 2024 12:00 $3,900.33 $4,054.99 +3.86% BUBBLE 23h
11 Mar 2024 14:00 12 Mar 2024 01:00 $4,048.16 $4,061.84 +0.24% BUBBLE 12h
15 Mar 2024 09:00 15 Mar 2024 18:00 $3,605.05 $3,787.57 +4.96% BUBBLE 10h
15 Mar 2024 21:00 16 Mar 2024 00:00 $3,645.61 $3,759.73 +3.03% BUBBLE 4h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $3,560.10 $3,489.05 -2.50% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 08:00 17 Mar 2024 22:00 $3,465.50 $3,645.49 +5.09% BUBBLE 15h
20 Mar 2024 01:00 20 Mar 2024 11:00 $3,211.90 $3,293.26 +2.43% BUBBLE 11h
20 Mar 2024 13:00 20 Mar 2024 14:00 $3,341.29 $3,385.59 +1.22% BUBBLE 2h
20 Mar 2024 16:00 20 Mar 2024 21:00 $3,300.48 $3,498.53 +5.89% BUBBLE 6h
20 Mar 2024 23:00 21 Mar 2024 01:00 $3,522.94 $3,526.05 -0.01% BUBBLE 3h
21 Mar 2024 03:00 21 Mar 2024 08:00 $3,537.23 $3,569.46 +0.81% BUBBLE 6h
21 Mar 2024 19:00 21 Mar 2024 21:00 $3,433.49 $3,503.75 +1.94% BUBBLE 3h
22 Mar 2024 21:00 23 Mar 2024 14:00 $3,295.92 $3,415.17 +3.51% BUBBLE 18h
23 Mar 2024 16:00 25 Mar 2024 04:00 $3,399.88 $3,489.99 +2.55% BUBBLE 1.5d
25 Mar 2024 06:00 25 Mar 2024 17:00 $3,474.99 $3,638.91 +4.61% BUBBLE 12h
28 Mar 2024 01:00 28 Mar 2024 10:00 $3,515.42 $3,589.75 +2.01% BUBBLE 10h
28 Mar 2024 12:00 28 Mar 2024 14:00 $3,576.31 $3,607.38 +0.77% BUBBLE 3h
31 Mar 2024 02:00 31 Mar 2024 18:00 $3,540.39 $3,629.19 +2.09% BUBBLE 17h
03 Apr 2024 01:00 03 Apr 2024 14:00 $3,267.81 $3,357.65 +2.65% BUBBLE 14h
03 Apr 2024 16:00 04 Apr 2024 01:00 $3,346.05 $3,321.45 -0.83% BUBBLE 10h
04 Apr 2024 03:00 04 Apr 2024 12:00 $3,269.61 $3,347.72 +2.29% BUBBLE 10h
05 Apr 2024 11:00 05 Apr 2024 20:00 $3,270.34 $3,334.41 +1.86% BUBBLE 10h
05 Apr 2024 22:00 06 Apr 2024 22:00 $3,324.22 $3,378.40 +1.53% BUBBLE 1d
07 Apr 2024 00:00 08 Apr 2024 17:00 $3,358.79 $3,668.19 +9.10% BUBBLE 1.8d
10 Apr 2024 01:00 11 Apr 2024 02:00 $3,495.45 $3,566.56 +1.93% BUBBLE 1.1d
12 Apr 2024 19:00 13 Apr 2024 01:00 $3,220.39 $3,160.00 -1.97% BUBBLE 7h
14 Apr 2024 02:00 14 Apr 2024 22:00 $2,984.64 $3,156.69 +5.33% BUBBLE 21h
15 Apr 2024 00:00 15 Apr 2024 07:00 $3,141.40 $3,242.05 +3.10% BUBBLE 8h
16 Apr 2024 05:00 16 Apr 2024 07:00 $3,035.46 $3,107.29 +2.26% BUBBLE 3h
16 Apr 2024 16:00 16 Apr 2024 21:00 $3,015.92 $3,102.49 +2.77% BUBBLE 6h
17 Apr 2024 16:00 19 Apr 2024 19:00 $2,989.37 $3,104.10 +3.73% BUBBLE 2.2d
20 Apr 2024 08:00 21 Apr 2024 12:00 $3,050.59 $3,157.61 +3.40% BULL 1.2d
22 Apr 2024 02:00 23 Apr 2024 04:00 $3,141.40 $3,178.03 +1.02% BULL 1.1d
23 Apr 2024 06:00 24 Apr 2024 01:00 $3,185.61 $3,238.97 +1.57% BUBBLE 20h
25 Apr 2024 11:00 25 Apr 2024 22:00 $3,093.04 $3,159.80 +2.06% BUBBLE 12h
28 Apr 2024 02:00 28 Apr 2024 15:00 $3,268.00 $3,321.01 +1.21% BULL 14h
29 Apr 2024 14:00 30 Apr 2024 00:00 $3,143.60 $3,244.37 +3.10% BULL 11h
01 May 2024 08:00 01 May 2024 18:00 $2,867.54 $2,990.04 +4.17% BULL 11h
02 May 2024 07:00 04 May 2024 05:00 $2,928.00 $3,118.60 +6.40% BULL 2d
05 May 2024 01:00 05 May 2024 20:00 $3,099.62 $3,137.47 +1.12% SIDEWAYS 20h
09 May 2024 01:00 10 May 2024 02:00 $2,995.00 $3,030.84 +1.10% BULL 1.1d
13 May 2024 03:00 13 May 2024 16:00 $2,865.39 $2,976.33 +3.45% BULL 14h
14 May 2024 18:00 16 May 2024 02:00 $2,884.19 $3,003.80 +4.04% BULL 1.4d
16 May 2024 17:00 19 May 2024 00:00 $2,945.97 $3,112.97 +5.56% BULL 2.3d
19 May 2024 13:00 22 May 2024 01:00 $3,077.79 $3,789.05 +22.99% BUBBLE 2.5d
22 May 2024 10:00 22 May 2024 21:00 $3,743.80 $3,774.50 +0.72% BUBBLE 12h
23 May 2024 00:00 23 May 2024 10:00 $3,751.23 $3,828.22 +1.95% BUBBLE 11h
24 May 2024 08:00 25 May 2024 04:00 $3,659.31 $3,769.11 +2.90% BUBBLE 21h
26 May 2024 09:00 26 May 2024 14:00 $3,815.37 $3,862.40 +0.82% BUBBLE 6h
26 May 2024 16:00 27 May 2024 13:00 $3,847.01 $3,930.89 +2.08% BUBBLE 22h
27 May 2024 20:00 27 May 2024 22:00 $3,880.36 $3,887.86 +0.09% BUBBLE 3h
28 May 2024 19:00 28 May 2024 22:00 $3,813.56 $3,863.00 +1.20% BUBBLE 4h
31 May 2024 01:00 31 May 2024 12:00 $3,761.05 $3,825.08 +1.60% BUBBLE 12h
01 Jun 2024 16:00 02 Jun 2024 00:00 $3,801.50 $3,835.30 +0.79% BUBBLE 9h
04 Jun 2024 01:00 06 Jun 2024 01:00 $3,761.01 $3,861.15 +2.56% BUBBLE 2d
09 Jun 2024 02:00 09 Jun 2024 21:00 $3,678.03 $3,714.72 +0.58% BUBBLE 20h
11 Jun 2024 16:00 12 Jun 2024 12:00 $3,475.68 $3,638.40 +4.58% BUBBLE 21h
14 Jun 2024 01:00 14 Jun 2024 12:00 $3,475.03 $3,513.24 +1.00% BUBBLE 12h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 14 Jun 2024 21:00 $3,401.02 $3,504.21 +2.93% BUBBLE 5h
14 Jun 2024 23:00 16 Jun 2024 15:00 $3,472.76 $3,591.88 +3.33% BUBBLE 1.7d
18 Jun 2024 02:00 20 Jun 2024 04:00 $3,405.38 $3,570.90 +4.76% BUBBLE 2.1d
21 Jun 2024 08:00 22 Jun 2024 01:00 $3,482.21 $3,503.02 +0.50% BULL 18h
24 Jun 2024 10:00 25 Jun 2024 15:00 $3,318.21 $3,419.60 +2.63% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Jun 2024 17:00 25 Jun 2024 18:00 $3,396.11 $3,417.77 +0.54% SIDEWAYS 2h
25 Jun 2024 20:00 26 Jun 2024 02:00 $3,412.98 $3,404.51 -0.35% SIDEWAYS 7h
26 Jun 2024 04:00 28 Jun 2024 01:00 $3,389.58 $3,484.23 +2.69% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
28 Jun 2024 19:00 30 Jun 2024 23:00 $3,382.22 $3,438.16 +1.55% SIDEWAYS 2.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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91.0% Win Rate +1,169.3% Return -2.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees