XRPXRPXRP$1.1419+0.92%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$51.7M
Updated19:13 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 70 trades would have compounded to a final value of $75,192 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 70 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

XRP — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
11.53
Alpha vs B&H
+667.32pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-15.41%
Max Drawdown
-0.91%
Avg Drawdown
-4.09%
Sharpe Trend
-13.56
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — XRP — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 70-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.53%
Avg Loss
-0.46%
Best Trade
+22.81%
Worst Trade
-0.97%
Avg Bars Held
12.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 34 (49%) Forward-pred: 32 (46%) Short signal: 2 (3%) Regime exit: 1 (1%) Take-profit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +651.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.9%.
  • Robust sample: 70 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.08% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 39 89.7% +2.57% +162.99% 11h
BULL 5 100.0% +9.08% +52.29% 23h
BUBBLE 16 87.5% +2.69% +51.79% 14h
BEAR 10 100.0% +3.48% +39.79% 10h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 70 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $2.35 $2.44 +3.63% BUBBLE 1.3d
06 Jan 2025 18:00 07 Jan 2025 01:00 $2.42 $2.41 -0.45% BUBBLE 8h
08 Jan 2025 01:00 08 Jan 2025 22:00 $2.31 $2.39 +3.12% BUBBLE 22h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 15:00 $2.27 $2.32 +2.07% BUBBLE 2h
09 Jan 2025 22:00 11 Jan 2025 20:00 $2.26 $2.59 +14.18% BUBBLE 2d
13 Jan 2025 09:00 14 Jan 2025 00:00 $2.44 $2.54 +4.16% BULL 16h
14 Jan 2025 13:00 15 Jan 2025 23:00 $2.55 $3.14 +22.81% BULL 1.5d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 16 Jan 2025 21:00 $3.26 $3.29 +0.75% BULL 7h
17 Jan 2025 18:00 18 Jan 2025 00:00 $3.20 $3.25 +1.49% BULL 7h
18 Jan 2025 11:00 18 Jan 2025 13:00 $3.12 $3.24 +3.61% BUBBLE 3h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $3.10 $3.14 +0.95% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 00:00 20 Jan 2025 11:00 $2.97 $3.33 +11.44% BUBBLE 12h
20 Jan 2025 18:00 20 Jan 2025 20:00 $3.17 $3.15 -0.91% BUBBLE 3h
21 Jan 2025 02:00 22 Jan 2025 11:00 $3.13 $3.23 +3.00% BUBBLE 1.4d
23 Jan 2025 12:00 23 Jan 2025 14:00 $3.07 $3.15 +2.46% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jan 2025 16:00 24 Jan 2025 11:00 $3.17 $3.20 +0.64% BUBBLE 20h
25 Jan 2025 01:00 25 Jan 2025 03:00 $3.11 $3.13 +0.38% BUBBLE 3h
27 Jan 2025 06:00 28 Jan 2025 12:00 $2.93 $3.17 +7.85% BUBBLE 1.3d
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 05:00 $3.06 $3.12 +1.78% BUBBLE 8h
29 Jan 2025 13:00 30 Jan 2025 15:00 $3.06 $3.12 +1.90% BUBBLE 1.1d
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 10:00 $2.34 $2.43 +3.49% BULL 10h
04 Feb 2025 22:00 05 Feb 2025 01:00 $2.46 $2.50 +1.34% BUBBLE 4h
05 Feb 2025 19:00 05 Feb 2025 21:00 $2.38 $2.41 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 01:00 06 Feb 2025 03:00 $2.41 $2.42 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Feb 2025 01:00 07 Feb 2025 03:00 $2.34 $2.35 +0.34% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Feb 2025 07:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $2.30 $2.49 +7.75% SIDEWAYS 7h
07 Feb 2025 23:00 09 Feb 2025 02:00 $2.39 $2.44 +1.89% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
09 Feb 2025 21:00 10 Feb 2025 13:00 $2.41 $2.46 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 17h
10 Feb 2025 15:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $2.44 $2.52 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 15h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 14 Feb 2025 13:00 $2.41 $2.72 +12.45% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
15 Feb 2025 21:00 15 Feb 2025 23:00 $2.74 $2.76 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 01:00 $2.50 $2.70 +7.23% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
23 Feb 2025 16:00 23 Feb 2025 18:00 $2.53 $2.55 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 02:00 25 Feb 2025 12:00 $2.29 $2.27 -0.97% SIDEWAYS 11h
25 Feb 2025 14:00 25 Feb 2025 21:00 $2.24 $2.33 +3.67% SIDEWAYS 8h
27 Feb 2025 01:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $2.18 $2.23 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 9h
28 Feb 2025 09:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $2.01 $2.12 +5.00% SIDEWAYS 16h
01 Mar 2025 02:00 01 Mar 2025 04:00 $2.18 $2.21 +1.37% BEAR 3h
01 Mar 2025 06:00 01 Mar 2025 21:00 $2.19 $2.20 +0.19% BEAR 16h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 15:00 $2.25 $2.60 +14.77% BEAR 14h
02 Mar 2025 18:00 02 Mar 2025 23:00 $2.82 $2.94 +3.79% BEAR 6h
03 Mar 2025 09:00 03 Mar 2025 11:00 $2.57 $2.63 +2.14% BEAR 3h
03 Mar 2025 20:00 04 Mar 2025 18:00 $2.40 $2.49 +3.76% BEAR 23h
04 Mar 2025 20:00 05 Mar 2025 02:00 $2.49 $2.51 +0.46% BEAR 7h
05 Mar 2025 04:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $2.44 $2.51 +2.54% BEAR 7h
05 Mar 2025 14:00 05 Mar 2025 18:00 $2.48 $2.50 +0.80% BEAR 5h
06 Mar 2025 05:00 06 Mar 2025 09:00 $2.53 $2.57 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 03:00 $2.45 $2.47 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Mar 2025 17:00 07 Mar 2025 19:00 $2.42 $2.48 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Mar 2025 12:00 08 Mar 2025 14:00 $2.32 $2.35 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Mar 2025 18:00 09 Mar 2025 20:00 $2.11 $2.19 +3.97% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 02:00 $2.14 $2.18 +1.82% SIDEWAYS 4h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 01:00 $1.92 $2.23 +15.98% SIDEWAYS 1d
12 Mar 2025 03:00 12 Mar 2025 12:00 $2.21 $2.25 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 10h
12 Mar 2025 14:00 13 Mar 2025 02:00 $2.18 $2.24 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 13h
13 Mar 2025 18:00 13 Mar 2025 23:00 $2.25 $2.25 +0.00% SIDEWAYS 6h
14 Mar 2025 01:00 14 Mar 2025 16:00 $2.26 $2.37 +4.44% SIDEWAYS 16h
14 Mar 2025 18:00 15 Mar 2025 00:00 $2.35 $2.38 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 7h
17 Mar 2025 01:00 17 Mar 2025 03:00 $2.32 $2.36 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Mar 2025 06:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $2.33 $2.37 +1.35% SIDEWAYS 13h
18 Mar 2025 13:00 19 Mar 2025 13:00 $2.25 $2.52 +11.58% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 20:00 $2.42 $2.45 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Mar 2025 13:00 21 Mar 2025 17:00 $2.38 $2.40 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Mar 2025 01:00 23 Mar 2025 13:00 $2.37 $2.42 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 13h
23 Mar 2025 19:00 24 Mar 2025 16:00 $2.40 $2.46 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 22h
25 Mar 2025 04:00 25 Mar 2025 09:00 $2.42 $2.44 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 6h
27 Mar 2025 13:00 27 Mar 2025 15:00 $2.34 $2.34 -0.28% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 18:00 27 Mar 2025 22:00 $2.33 $2.35 +0.47% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Mar 2025 17:00 29 Mar 2025 01:00 $2.17 $2.19 +0.87% SIDEWAYS 9h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 04:00 $2.17 $2.18 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.4% Win Rate +651.9% Return -0.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees