XRPXRPXRP$1.1419+0.92%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$51.7M
Updated19:13 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the YTD 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 93 trades would have compounded to a final value of $44,356 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 93 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XRP Signals →

XRP — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — year-to-date paper-trade 2026-01-01 → 2026-05-01, single OOS window, model trained on data up to 2025-12-31. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

YTD Return
+343.6%
$10,000 →
$44,356
Win Rate
80.7%
75W / 18L
Trades
93
Sharpe
13.08
Alpha vs B&H
+374.44pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-30.88%
Max Drawdown
-3.20%
Avg Drawdown
-2.31%
Sharpe Trend
-4.49
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XRP — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 93-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.78%
Avg Loss
-0.88%
Best Trade
+25.76%
Worst Trade
-2.34%
Avg Bars Held
12.4h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 55 (59%) Signal flip: 34 (37%) Stop-loss: 2 (2%) Short signal: 1 (1%) Trailing stop: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +343.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 80.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 93 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.36% on 53 trades, WR 77%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 53 77.4% +2.36% +231.22% 15h
SIDEWAYS 40 85.0% +1.69% +93.71% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 93 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 04 Jan 2026 12:00 $2.04 $2.12 +3.63% SIDEWAYS 11h
04 Jan 2026 14:00 05 Jan 2026 01:00 $2.10 $2.16 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 12h
05 Jan 2026 05:00 05 Jan 2026 23:00 $2.13 $2.35 +9.68% SIDEWAYS 19h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 06 Jan 2026 23:00 $2.24 $2.30 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Jan 2026 10:00 08 Jan 2026 15:00 $2.09 $2.13 +1.25% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Jan 2026 01:00 12 Jan 2026 02:00 $2.07 $2.10 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 2h
12 Jan 2026 09:00 12 Jan 2026 15:00 $2.05 $2.09 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 7h
12 Jan 2026 22:00 14 Jan 2026 01:00 $2.06 $2.17 +5.41% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
14 Jan 2026 14:00 14 Jan 2026 16:00 $2.13 $2.16 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jan 2026 21:00 15 Jan 2026 23:00 $2.07 $2.08 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Jan 2026 16:00 16 Jan 2026 20:00 $2.04 $2.08 +1.64% SIDEWAYS 5h
19 Jan 2026 01:00 19 Jan 2026 16:00 $1.95 $2.02 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 16h
19 Jan 2026 23:00 20 Jan 2026 01:00 $1.99 $1.97 -1.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Jan 2026 21:00 21 Jan 2026 15:00 $1.90 $1.96 +2.64% SIDEWAYS 19h
21 Jan 2026 17:00 21 Jan 2026 19:00 $1.88 $1.97 +4.76% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Jan 2026 16:00 22 Jan 2026 18:00 $1.91 $1.92 +0.20% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Jan 2026 00:00 24 Jan 2026 02:00 $1.92 $1.92 -0.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 26 Jan 2026 15:00 $1.82 $1.93 +5.57% SIDEWAYS 20h
27 Jan 2026 10:00 27 Jan 2026 20:00 $1.89 $1.92 +1.53% SIDEWAYS 11h
27 Jan 2026 22:00 28 Jan 2026 06:00 $1.92 $1.92 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 9h
31 Jan 2026 17:00 31 Jan 2026 23:00 $1.56 $1.65 +5.24% SIDEWAYS 7h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 12:00 $1.59 $1.65 +3.39% BEAR 12h
02 Feb 2026 14:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $1.63 $1.64 +0.44% BEAR 2h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $1.55 $1.62 +3.76% BEAR 3h
05 Feb 2026 21:00 06 Feb 2026 14:00 $1.17 $1.48 +25.76% BEAR 18h
07 Feb 2026 11:00 07 Feb 2026 21:00 $1.39 $1.43 +2.19% BEAR 11h
08 Feb 2026 01:00 08 Feb 2026 12:00 $1.43 $1.46 +1.28% BEAR 12h
09 Feb 2026 09:00 09 Feb 2026 16:00 $1.41 $1.45 +2.79% BEAR 8h
11 Feb 2026 16:00 12 Feb 2026 10:00 $1.37 $1.40 +2.28% BEAR 19h
12 Feb 2026 12:00 12 Feb 2026 16:00 $1.40 $1.37 -2.34% BEAR 5h
12 Feb 2026 21:00 14 Feb 2026 21:00 $1.35 $1.50 +10.38% BEAR 2d
15 Feb 2026 21:00 16 Feb 2026 09:00 $1.47 $1.50 +2.02% BEAR 13h
16 Feb 2026 11:00 16 Feb 2026 12:00 $1.48 $1.50 +1.55% BEAR 2h
16 Feb 2026 14:00 17 Feb 2026 01:00 $1.50 $1.48 -1.65% BEAR 12h
17 Feb 2026 10:00 17 Feb 2026 18:00 $1.46 $1.48 +1.21% BEAR 9h
17 Feb 2026 22:00 18 Feb 2026 01:00 $1.48 $1.47 -1.23% BEAR 4h
18 Feb 2026 21:00 19 Feb 2026 03:00 $1.42 $1.43 +0.17% BEAR 7h
19 Feb 2026 05:00 20 Feb 2026 13:00 $1.41 $1.39 -2.31% BEAR 1.4d
20 Feb 2026 15:00 21 Feb 2026 13:00 $1.41 $1.45 +2.44% BEAR 23h
23 Feb 2026 02:00 23 Feb 2026 09:00 $1.34 $1.39 +3.54% BEAR 8h
24 Feb 2026 04:00 25 Feb 2026 17:00 $1.33 $1.47 +10.33% BEAR 1.6d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 01:00 $1.39 $1.41 +0.64% BEAR 9h
28 Feb 2026 07:00 28 Feb 2026 20:00 $1.31 $1.38 +4.88% BEAR 14h
01 Mar 2026 02:00 01 Mar 2026 04:00 $1.42 $1.41 -0.91% BEAR 3h
01 Mar 2026 21:00 02 Mar 2026 16:00 $1.35 $1.41 +3.89% BEAR 20h
02 Mar 2026 18:00 03 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.40 $1.38 -1.86% BEAR 8h
03 Mar 2026 09:00 04 Mar 2026 09:00 $1.36 $1.42 +4.03% BEAR 1d
04 Mar 2026 11:00 04 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.41 $1.46 +3.33% BEAR 5h
07 Mar 2026 01:00 07 Mar 2026 09:00 $1.37 $1.37 -0.35% BEAR 9h
08 Mar 2026 23:00 10 Mar 2026 09:00 $1.35 $1.42 +4.73% BEAR 1.5d
11 Mar 2026 06:00 11 Mar 2026 18:00 $1.38 $1.40 +1.55% BEAR 13h
11 Mar 2026 20:00 11 Mar 2026 22:00 $1.39 $1.39 -0.25% BEAR 3h
12 Mar 2026 04:00 12 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.38 $1.39 +0.63% BEAR 7h
12 Mar 2026 14:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.39 $1.43 +3.06% BEAR 23h
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 21:00 $1.42 $1.53 +7.52% BEAR 1.8d
17 Mar 2026 13:00 17 Mar 2026 18:00 $1.51 $1.54 +1.45% BEAR 6h
17 Mar 2026 20:00 18 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.53 $1.52 -1.25% BEAR 6h
18 Mar 2026 17:00 19 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.44 $1.46 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 9h
19 Mar 2026 16:00 20 Mar 2026 22:00 $1.43 $1.45 +0.99% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
22 Mar 2026 11:00 22 Mar 2026 13:00 $1.39 $1.40 +0.39% BEAR 3h
22 Mar 2026 22:00 23 Mar 2026 14:00 $1.38 $1.46 +5.26% BEAR 17h
24 Mar 2026 03:00 24 Mar 2026 06:00 $1.41 $1.42 +0.08% BEAR 4h
24 Mar 2026 14:00 25 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.40 $1.42 +1.31% BEAR 21h
26 Mar 2026 19:00 27 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.35 $1.37 +1.43% BEAR 7h
28 Mar 2026 01:00 28 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.32 $1.35 +2.07% BEAR 15h
29 Mar 2026 20:00 30 Mar 2026 08:00 $1.32 $1.36 +2.70% BEAR 13h
30 Mar 2026 10:00 30 Mar 2026 13:00 $1.35 $1.35 -0.63% BEAR 4h
30 Mar 2026 21:00 01 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.33 $1.35 +0.89% BEAR 1.7d
02 Apr 2026 13:00 03 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.29 $1.32 +1.85% BEAR 1d
05 Apr 2026 06:00 06 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.30 $1.35 +3.91% BEAR 1.2d
06 Apr 2026 11:00 06 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.35 $1.35 -0.57% BEAR 3h
06 Apr 2026 23:00 07 Apr 2026 22:00 $1.32 $1.37 +3.92% BEAR 24h
09 Apr 2026 02:00 09 Apr 2026 07:00 $1.33 $1.33 -0.38% BEAR 6h
09 Apr 2026 12:00 09 Apr 2026 15:00 $1.33 $1.35 +1.45% BEAR 4h
09 Apr 2026 17:00 09 Apr 2026 20:00 $1.36 $1.36 -0.34% BEAR 4h
10 Apr 2026 01:00 10 Apr 2026 20:00 $1.35 $1.36 +1.02% BEAR 20h
12 Apr 2026 13:00 14 Apr 2026 07:00 $1.33 $1.37 +2.56% BEAR 1.8d
14 Apr 2026 19:00 16 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.36 $1.45 +6.69% BEAR 2.2d
17 Apr 2026 02:00 17 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.43 $1.49 +3.70% SIDEWAYS 12h
18 Apr 2026 19:00 18 Apr 2026 21:00 $1.43 $1.44 +0.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Apr 2026 00:00 20 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.40 $1.42 +0.95% SIDEWAYS 10h
20 Apr 2026 11:00 20 Apr 2026 12:00 $1.42 $1.42 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 2h
20 Apr 2026 14:00 20 Apr 2026 15:00 $1.42 $1.43 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 2h
20 Apr 2026 18:00 20 Apr 2026 20:00 $1.43 $1.43 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Apr 2026 02:00 21 Apr 2026 05:00 $1.42 $1.43 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Apr 2026 20:00 21 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.42 $1.43 +0.37% SIDEWAYS 4h
22 Apr 2026 02:00 22 Apr 2026 04:00 $1.43 $1.44 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Apr 2026 03:00 23 Apr 2026 07:00 $1.42 $1.42 +0.11% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Apr 2026 09:00 23 Apr 2026 14:00 $1.41 $1.43 +0.91% SIDEWAYS 6h
23 Apr 2026 16:00 23 Apr 2026 17:00 $1.43 $1.44 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 2h
23 Apr 2026 19:00 23 Apr 2026 20:00 $1.43 $1.43 -0.05% SIDEWAYS 2h
23 Apr 2026 22:00 23 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.44 $1.44 -0.06% SIDEWAYS 2h
24 Apr 2026 10:00 24 Apr 2026 11:00 $1.42 $1.44 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 2h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XRP Signals → View Plans →
80.7% Win Rate +343.6% Return -3.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees