XLMXLMStellar$0.212500-2.75%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.7M
Updated19:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 64 trades would have compounded to a final value of $85,429 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 64 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+754.3%
$10,000 →
$85,429
Win Rate
85.9%
55W / 9L
Trades
64
Sharpe
12.32
Alpha vs B&H
+796.87pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-42.58%
Max Drawdown
-2.11%
Avg Drawdown
-4.30%
Sharpe Trend
-5.12
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 64-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.45%
Avg Loss
-1.10%
Best Trade
+17.74%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Bars Held
13.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 36 (56%) Signal flip: 22 (34%) Short signal: 4 (6%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%) Regime exit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +754.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.1%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 64 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.31% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 34 82.4% +2.82% +154.31% 14h
BUBBLE 18 83.3% +3.65% +88.03% 11h
BEAR 7 100.0% +5.22% +42.29% 11h
BULL 5 100.0% +7.31% +41.11% 20h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 64 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 06 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.44 $0.46 +4.80% BUBBLE 1.2d
07 Jan 2025 03:00 07 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.44 $0.45 +1.49% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 07:00 08 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.42 $0.43 +1.27% BUBBLE 5h
08 Jan 2025 18:00 08 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.41 $0.43 +5.04% BUBBLE 5h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.39 $0.41 +3.46% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 22:00 10 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.39 $0.42 +6.57% BUBBLE 21h
11 Jan 2025 07:00 11 Jan 2025 20:00 $0.41 $0.45 +11.34% BULL 14h
13 Jan 2025 09:00 15 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.41 $0.48 +17.74% BULL 2.6d
16 Jan 2025 11:00 16 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.49 $0.50 +2.93% BULL 8h
17 Jan 2025 16:00 17 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.48 $0.49 +1.07% BULL 7h
18 Jan 2025 06:00 18 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.46 $0.49 +6.08% BUBBLE 18h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.45 $0.46 +1.74% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 00:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.44 $0.47 +7.41% BUBBLE 9h
20 Jan 2025 11:00 20 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.47 $0.46 -2.09% BUBBLE 3h
21 Jan 2025 06:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.43 $0.45 +3.05% BUBBLE 12h
23 Jan 2025 09:00 24 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.42 $0.44 +5.42% BUBBLE 1.2d
27 Jan 2025 02:00 27 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.39 $0.38 -4.21% BUBBLE 7h
27 Jan 2025 10:00 28 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.38 $0.42 +10.12% BUBBLE 1.1d
29 Jan 2025 15:00 29 Jan 2025 20:00 $0.39 $0.40 +1.49% BUBBLE 6h
30 Jan 2025 00:00 30 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.39 $0.44 +12.71% BUBBLE 20h
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.33 $0.34 +3.47% BULL 10h
03 Feb 2025 23:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.37 $0.37 -0.46% BULL 3h
04 Feb 2025 08:00 04 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.34 $0.35 +1.78% BUBBLE 4h
05 Feb 2025 19:00 06 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.33 $0.34 +3.46% SIDEWAYS 12h
06 Feb 2025 08:00 06 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.34 $0.34 +0.09% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 06 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.32 $0.32 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Feb 2025 01:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.32 $0.34 +5.42% SIDEWAYS 13h
07 Feb 2025 23:00 08 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.33 $0.33 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Feb 2025 22:00 10 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.31 $0.32 +4.46% SIDEWAYS 16h
10 Feb 2025 15:00 11 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.32 $0.34 +6.03% SIDEWAYS 16h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.32 $0.33 +4.32% SIDEWAYS 1d
13 Feb 2025 03:00 14 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.33 $0.35 +6.54% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
14 Feb 2025 13:00 14 Feb 2025 15:00 $0.35 $0.35 -0.01% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 09:00 18 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.32 $0.33 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.32 $0.34 +4.94% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 22 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.32 $0.34 +3.89% SIDEWAYS 22h
23 Feb 2025 13:00 23 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.33 $0.33 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 5h
25 Feb 2025 09:00 25 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.28 $0.30 +3.98% SIDEWAYS 13h
26 Feb 2025 19:00 27 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.28 $0.29 +3.40% SIDEWAYS 16h
28 Feb 2025 04:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.26 $0.28 +8.17% SIDEWAYS 21h
01 Mar 2025 02:00 01 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.29 $0.30 +4.27% BEAR 7h
01 Mar 2025 10:00 01 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.31 $0.32 +3.07% BEAR 12h
02 Mar 2025 11:00 02 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.32 $0.36 +12.35% BEAR 6h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 04 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.29 $0.30 +3.46% BEAR 19h
04 Mar 2025 21:00 05 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.29 $0.30 +1.59% BEAR 6h
05 Mar 2025 04:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.29 $0.31 +3.65% BEAR 7h
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.08% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Mar 2025 05:00 07 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.29 $0.29 +1.17% SIDEWAYS 4h
10 Mar 2025 00:00 10 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.26 $0.27 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 12h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.23 $0.26 +12.19% SIDEWAYS 18h
11 Mar 2025 20:00 12 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.26 $0.26 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 17h
13 Mar 2025 01:00 13 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.26 $0.28 +5.08% SIDEWAYS 9h
13 Mar 2025 20:00 13 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.27 $0.28 +1.73% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Mar 2025 00:00 14 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 10h
14 Mar 2025 11:00 14 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.28 $0.28 -0.27% SIDEWAYS 6h
16 Mar 2025 12:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.27 $0.28 +3.99% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
17 Mar 2025 20:00 18 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.27 $0.27 -1.93% SIDEWAYS 13h
18 Mar 2025 13:00 19 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.27 $0.29 +9.07% SIDEWAYS 1d
23 Mar 2025 01:00 25 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.27 $0.29 +5.79% SIDEWAYS 2d
25 Mar 2025 02:00 25 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.29 $0.29 +1.11% SIDEWAYS 10h
25 Mar 2025 13:00 26 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.29 $0.30 +1.77% SIDEWAYS 13h
27 Mar 2025 01:00 27 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 9h
27 Mar 2025 14:00 27 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.29 $0.28 -0.55% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 18:00 27 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.28 $0.29 +1.38% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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85.9% Win Rate +754.3% Return -2.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees