XLMXLMStellar$0.215300-3.24%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$17.2M
Updated15:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 88 trades would have compounded to a final value of $310,407 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 88 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+3,004.1%
$10,000 →
$310,407
Win Rate
88.6%
78W / 10L
Trades
88
Sharpe
13.94
Alpha vs B&H
+2,723.77pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+280.30%
Max Drawdown
-1.26%
Avg Drawdown
-4.97%
Sharpe Trend
-0.38
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 88-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.26%
Avg Loss
-0.26%
Best Trade
+22.65%
Worst Trade
-1.21%
Avg Bars Held
12.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 48 (55%) Signal flip: 39 (44%) Short signal: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +3,004.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.3%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 88 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +16.68% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 75 88.0% +4.18% +1,895.97% 9h
BULL 5 100.0% +16.68% +115.53% 1.2d
SIDEWAYS 8 87.5% +1.36% +11.32% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 88 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Oct 2024 02:00 07 Oct 2024 04:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
08 Oct 2024 00:00 08 Oct 2024 02:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Oct 2024 08:00 08 Oct 2024 11:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 4h
08 Oct 2024 19:00 08 Oct 2024 21:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.26% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Oct 2024 23:00 12 Oct 2024 13:00 $0.09 $0.09 +2.59% SIDEWAYS 3.6d
12 Oct 2024 17:00 12 Oct 2024 23:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.19% SIDEWAYS 7h
13 Oct 2024 15:00 15 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +3.69% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
15 Oct 2024 12:00 17 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.10 +3.36% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
17 Oct 2024 12:00 18 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.09 $0.10 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Oct 2024 18:00 19 Oct 2024 00:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.63% BUBBLE 7h
19 Oct 2024 11:00 19 Oct 2024 14:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.31% BUBBLE 4h
20 Oct 2024 03:00 20 Oct 2024 07:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.10% BUBBLE 5h
20 Oct 2024 11:00 21 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.62% BUBBLE 15h
22 Oct 2024 02:00 22 Oct 2024 06:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.22% BUBBLE 5h
22 Oct 2024 10:00 22 Oct 2024 12:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.41% BUBBLE 3h
23 Oct 2024 17:00 25 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.10 +2.57% BUBBLE 1.4d
26 Oct 2024 01:00 27 Oct 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.02% BUBBLE 1d
27 Oct 2024 13:00 27 Oct 2024 15:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.12% BUBBLE 3h
27 Oct 2024 19:00 27 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.34% BUBBLE 4h
28 Oct 2024 04:00 28 Oct 2024 08:00 $0.09 $0.09 -0.30% BUBBLE 5h
28 Oct 2024 13:00 29 Oct 2024 22:00 $0.09 $0.10 +2.89% BUBBLE 1.4d
01 Nov 2024 02:00 02 Nov 2024 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.99% BUBBLE 24h
03 Nov 2024 14:00 04 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.69% BUBBLE 24h
04 Nov 2024 15:00 08 Nov 2024 00:00 $0.09 $0.10 +11.44% BUBBLE 3.4d
08 Nov 2024 20:00 09 Nov 2024 06:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.48% BULL 11h
10 Nov 2024 01:00 10 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.10 $0.11 +7.83% BUBBLE 13h
10 Nov 2024 21:00 11 Nov 2024 03:00 $0.11 $0.11 +5.13% BUBBLE 7h
11 Nov 2024 05:00 12 Nov 2024 08:00 $0.11 $0.13 +16.50% BUBBLE 1.2d
12 Nov 2024 12:00 12 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.12 $0.14 +15.51% BUBBLE 10h
13 Nov 2024 10:00 13 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.12 $0.13 +5.25% BUBBLE 5h
13 Nov 2024 21:00 14 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.12 $0.14 +12.01% BUBBLE 1d
15 Nov 2024 01:00 15 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.13 $0.14 +7.35% BUBBLE 12h
15 Nov 2024 14:00 15 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.14 $0.15 +2.11% BUBBLE 10h
16 Nov 2024 01:00 16 Nov 2024 13:00 $0.14 $0.17 +20.20% BUBBLE 13h
18 Nov 2024 03:00 18 Nov 2024 08:00 $0.22 $0.25 +12.69% BUBBLE 6h
18 Nov 2024 10:00 18 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.00% BUBBLE 6h
18 Nov 2024 20:00 18 Nov 2024 22:00 $0.23 $0.24 +4.03% BUBBLE 3h
19 Nov 2024 08:00 19 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.23 $0.23 +2.97% BULL 5h
20 Nov 2024 13:00 20 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.24 $0.26 +5.34% BUBBLE 2h
21 Nov 2024 04:00 21 Nov 2024 18:00 $0.24 $0.25 +6.97% BUBBLE 15h
21 Nov 2024 21:00 22 Nov 2024 12:00 $0.24 $0.30 +22.65% BUBBLE 16h
23 Nov 2024 03:00 23 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.44 $0.51 +17.12% BULL 13h
24 Nov 2024 15:00 24 Nov 2024 18:00 $0.46 $0.54 +17.83% BUBBLE 4h
24 Nov 2024 20:00 24 Nov 2024 21:00 $0.55 $0.57 +2.51% BUBBLE 2h
25 Nov 2024 02:00 25 Nov 2024 04:00 $0.52 $0.53 +2.41% BUBBLE 3h
25 Nov 2024 16:00 25 Nov 2024 18:00 $0.50 $0.51 +0.89% BUBBLE 3h
26 Nov 2024 12:00 26 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.44 $0.45 +2.66% BUBBLE 3h
27 Nov 2024 01:00 27 Nov 2024 09:00 $0.43 $0.52 +20.67% BUBBLE 9h
27 Nov 2024 12:00 27 Nov 2024 15:00 $0.48 $0.51 +4.55% BUBBLE 4h
29 Nov 2024 00:00 29 Nov 2024 06:00 $0.51 $0.53 +3.63% BUBBLE 7h
29 Nov 2024 08:00 29 Nov 2024 10:00 $0.51 $0.54 +5.28% BUBBLE 3h
29 Nov 2024 12:00 29 Nov 2024 14:00 $0.53 $0.54 +2.73% BUBBLE 3h
29 Nov 2024 16:00 29 Nov 2024 23:00 $0.53 $0.55 +4.00% BUBBLE 8h
01 Dec 2024 02:00 02 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.50 $0.57 +13.73% BUBBLE 24h
02 Dec 2024 09:00 02 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.52 $0.58 +10.92% BUBBLE 7h
03 Dec 2024 02:00 03 Dec 2024 03:00 $0.52 $0.55 +4.04% BUBBLE 2h
03 Dec 2024 08:00 03 Dec 2024 10:00 $0.54 $0.53 -1.21% BUBBLE 3h
03 Dec 2024 15:00 03 Dec 2024 18:00 $0.51 $0.51 -0.06% BUBBLE 4h
04 Dec 2024 01:00 04 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.51 $0.51 +0.99% BUBBLE 9h
04 Dec 2024 17:00 04 Dec 2024 19:00 $0.48 $0.50 +3.17% BUBBLE 3h
04 Dec 2024 23:00 05 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.49 $0.49 -0.16% BUBBLE 7h
05 Dec 2024 23:00 06 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.47 $0.48 +2.42% BUBBLE 7h
06 Dec 2024 09:00 07 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.47 $0.50 +6.06% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Dec 2024 09:00 08 Dec 2024 11:00 $0.48 $0.49 +2.47% BUBBLE 3h
08 Dec 2024 17:00 08 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.49 $0.49 +1.31% BUBBLE 7h
09 Dec 2024 21:00 09 Dec 2024 23:00 $0.40 $0.41 +2.87% BUBBLE 3h
10 Dec 2024 03:00 10 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.39 $0.41 +6.72% BUBBLE 7h
10 Dec 2024 13:00 10 Dec 2024 21:00 $0.40 $0.43 +7.22% BUBBLE 9h
10 Dec 2024 23:00 11 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.43 $0.44 +1.08% BUBBLE 17h
11 Dec 2024 17:00 11 Dec 2024 21:00 $0.43 $0.44 +2.01% BUBBLE 5h
13 Dec 2024 01:00 13 Dec 2024 16:00 $0.42 $0.44 +3.49% BUBBLE 16h
13 Dec 2024 18:00 14 Dec 2024 02:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.06% BUBBLE 9h
15 Dec 2024 02:00 15 Dec 2024 11:00 $0.43 $0.43 +1.18% BUBBLE 10h
15 Dec 2024 13:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $0.43 $0.43 +0.45% BUBBLE 12h
16 Dec 2024 12:00 16 Dec 2024 16:00 $0.41 $0.43 +5.21% BUBBLE 5h
17 Dec 2024 01:00 17 Dec 2024 10:00 $0.41 $0.46 +11.45% BUBBLE 10h
18 Dec 2024 09:00 18 Dec 2024 10:00 $0.42 $0.44 +3.16% BUBBLE 2h
19 Dec 2024 02:00 19 Dec 2024 04:00 $0.38 $0.40 +5.80% BUBBLE 3h
19 Dec 2024 20:00 19 Dec 2024 22:00 $0.36 $0.38 +5.78% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 10:00 21 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.33 $0.39 +17.20% BUBBLE 20h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 22 Dec 2024 09:00 $0.35 $0.37 +2.99% BUBBLE 8h
23 Dec 2024 01:00 23 Dec 2024 03:00 $0.35 $0.36 +3.60% BUBBLE 3h
23 Dec 2024 05:00 24 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.36 $0.40 +11.10% BUBBLE 1.5d
27 Dec 2024 17:00 27 Dec 2024 19:00 $0.35 $0.35 +1.43% BUBBLE 3h
28 Dec 2024 03:00 28 Dec 2024 05:00 $0.35 $0.35 -0.04% BUBBLE 3h
28 Dec 2024 07:00 28 Dec 2024 15:00 $0.35 $0.35 -0.11% BUBBLE 9h
29 Dec 2024 23:00 30 Dec 2024 01:00 $0.34 $0.34 +2.17% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 11:00 30 Dec 2024 18:00 $0.33 $0.34 +1.72% BUBBLE 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
88.6% Win Rate +3,004.1% Return -1.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees