XLMXLMStellar$0.216300-2.79%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$17.0M
Updated15:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 60 trades would have compounded to a final value of $82,132 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 60 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+721.3%
$10,000 →
$82,132
Win Rate
90.0%
54W / 6L
Trades
60
Sharpe
14.33
Alpha vs B&H
+668.32pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+53.00%
Max Drawdown
-1.99%
Avg Drawdown
-2.92%
Sharpe Trend
-13.90
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

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▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 60-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.57%
Avg Loss
-0.94%
Best Trade
+17.28%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Bars Held
16.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 34 (57%) Signal flip: 23 (38%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +721.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.0%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 60 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.31% on 8 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 27 96.3% +4.57% +227.11% 9h
SIDEWAYS 25 84.0% +2.70% +92.47% 20h
BULL 8 87.5% +6.31% +60.82% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 60 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.25 +6.25% BULL 23h
07 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.25 $0.26 +1.33% BUBBLE 12h
07 Jul 2025 19:00 10 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.25 $0.29 +17.28% BUBBLE 2.3d
10 Jul 2025 14:00 10 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.29 $0.30 +4.57% BULL 9h
11 Jul 2025 01:00 11 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.30 $0.34 +14.05% BUBBLE 13h
11 Jul 2025 15:00 11 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.41% BUBBLE 2h
11 Jul 2025 18:00 11 Jul 2025 19:00 $0.38 $0.38 +1.33% BUBBLE 2h
11 Jul 2025 23:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.36 $0.39 +8.68% BUBBLE 5h
12 Jul 2025 06:00 12 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.38 $0.40 +6.39% BUBBLE 4h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 13 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.39 $0.44 +12.63% BUBBLE 17h
13 Jul 2025 10:00 13 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.44 $0.46 +5.95% BUBBLE 6h
13 Jul 2025 17:00 14 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.46 $0.50 +8.85% BUBBLE 8h
14 Jul 2025 12:00 14 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.46 $0.48 +2.17% BUBBLE 2h
14 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.44 $0.46 +4.86% BUBBLE 4h
15 Jul 2025 04:00 15 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.44 $0.45 +0.29% BUBBLE 3h
17 Jul 2025 01:00 18 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.45 $0.52 +13.60% BUBBLE 24h
20 Jul 2025 10:00 20 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.47 $0.47 +0.61% BUBBLE 6h
20 Jul 2025 22:00 21 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.46 $0.48 +3.39% BUBBLE 12h
22 Jul 2025 04:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.46 $0.47 +1.81% BUBBLE 22h
23 Jul 2025 21:00 23 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.42 $0.43 +1.22% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 05:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.42 $0.45 +6.35% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jul 2025 06:00 25 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.07% BUBBLE 4h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 26 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.41 $0.44 +7.85% BUBBLE 14h
26 Jul 2025 06:00 26 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.44 $0.44 -0.95% BUBBLE 11h
29 Jul 2025 02:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.42 $0.43 +3.06% BUBBLE 6h
29 Jul 2025 21:00 29 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.42 $0.42 +0.76% BUBBLE 3h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 30 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.41 $0.41 +1.53% BUBBLE 4h
30 Jul 2025 19:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.40 $0.43 +6.10% BUBBLE 14h
02 Aug 2025 19:00 02 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.37 $0.37 +0.71% BUBBLE 3h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 00:00 $0.37 $0.42 +10.85% SIDEWAYS 23h
04 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 09:00 $0.41 $0.41 +0.66% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Aug 2025 01:00 08 Aug 2025 03:00 $0.39 $0.46 +17.18% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
10 Aug 2025 08:00 11 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.44 $0.45 +2.35% BULL 18h
11 Aug 2025 21:00 13 Aug 2025 10:00 $0.44 $0.46 +3.88% BULL 1.6d
14 Aug 2025 13:00 16 Aug 2025 02:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.50% BULL 1.6d
18 Aug 2025 12:00 18 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.41% BULL 10h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 20 Aug 2025 19:00 $0.39 $0.41 +3.29% BULL 19h
22 Aug 2025 01:00 22 Aug 2025 17:00 $0.39 $0.43 +8.55% SIDEWAYS 17h
22 Aug 2025 19:00 22 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Aug 2025 23:00 23 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.43 $0.42 -1.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 26 Aug 2025 19:00 $0.38 $0.40 +4.61% SIDEWAYS 23h
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.24% SIDEWAYS 11h
28 Aug 2025 17:00 28 Aug 2025 23:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 7h
29 Aug 2025 19:00 29 Aug 2025 22:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Aug 2025 02:00 30 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.36 $0.36 -0.30% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2025 01:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $0.35 $0.36 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 8h
01 Sep 2025 10:00 02 Sep 2025 23:00 $0.36 $0.37 +1.61% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
04 Sep 2025 20:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.35 $0.37 +3.80% SIDEWAYS 17h
05 Sep 2025 14:00 06 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.36 $0.36 -1.80% SIDEWAYS 12h
06 Sep 2025 09:00 06 Sep 2025 14:00 $0.36 $0.36 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 6h
06 Sep 2025 18:00 09 Sep 2025 02:00 $0.36 $0.37 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
09 Sep 2025 04:00 09 Sep 2025 08:00 $0.37 $0.39 +2.81% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Sep 2025 16:00 11 Sep 2025 10:00 $0.37 $0.39 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
11 Sep 2025 13:00 12 Sep 2025 00:00 $0.39 $0.40 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Sep 2025 04:00 12 Sep 2025 06:00 $0.39 $0.40 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Sep 2025 09:00 13 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.39 $0.41 +4.52% SIDEWAYS 1d
15 Sep 2025 13:00 18 Sep 2025 15:00 $0.38 $0.40 +5.60% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
22 Sep 2025 07:00 23 Sep 2025 13:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Sep 2025 04:00 24 Sep 2025 17:00 $0.36 $0.38 +4.92% SIDEWAYS 14h
28 Sep 2025 02:00 30 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.36 $0.37 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
90.0% Win Rate +721.3% Return -2.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees