LTCLTCLitecoin$44.0600-0.18%
24h High$44.43
24h Low$43.73
Volume$6.9M
Updated17:33 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 71 trades would have compounded to a final value of $117,104 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 71 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ LTC Signals →

LTC — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+1,071.0%
$10,000 →
$117,104
Win Rate
93.0%
66W / 5L
Trades
71
Sharpe
15.15
Alpha vs B&H
+1,098.65pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-27.61%
Max Drawdown
-3.25%
Avg Drawdown
-3.56%
Sharpe Trend
-3.37
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — LTC — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 71-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.15%
Avg Loss
-1.49%
Best Trade
+18.72%
Worst Trade
-3.25%
Avg Bars Held
13.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 42 (59%) Signal flip: 21 (30%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%) Short signal: 2 (3%) Trailing stop: 2 (3%) Take-profit: 1 (1%) Regime exit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,071.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 71 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.99% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 40 92.5% +3.32% +262.59% 15h
BUBBLE 20 95.0% +4.12% +121.23% 12h
BULL 5 100.0% +6.99% +39.01% 14h
BEAR 6 83.3% +2.70% +16.94% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 71 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 05:00 05 Jan 2025 08:00 $112.39 $110.99 -1.76% BUBBLE 4h
05 Jan 2025 10:00 06 Jan 2025 01:00 $111.20 $116.17 +4.30% BUBBLE 16h
06 Jan 2025 09:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $113.24 $116.01 +2.31% BUBBLE 8h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 15:00 $102.37 $105.17 +2.63% BUBBLE 1.1d
09 Jan 2025 21:00 10 Jan 2025 17:00 $102.50 $106.04 +3.35% BUBBLE 21h
11 Jan 2025 20:00 12 Jan 2025 02:00 $102.49 $104.92 +2.27% BULL 7h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 13 Jan 2025 22:00 $95.58 $98.77 +3.23% BULL 10h
14 Jan 2025 11:00 16 Jan 2025 01:00 $99.63 $118.40 +18.72% BULL 1.6d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 16 Jan 2025 21:00 $123.05 $125.77 +2.11% BULL 7h
18 Jan 2025 08:00 18 Jan 2025 11:00 $125.09 $127.64 +1.94% BUBBLE 4h
18 Jan 2025 21:00 18 Jan 2025 23:00 $124.69 $125.40 +0.47% BUBBLE 3h
19 Jan 2025 11:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $116.29 $122.82 +5.18% BUBBLE 4h
19 Jan 2025 23:00 20 Jan 2025 06:00 $113.59 $122.01 +7.24% BUBBLE 8h
20 Jan 2025 18:00 20 Jan 2025 20:00 $117.54 $120.11 +2.05% BUBBLE 3h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 12:00 $117.38 $121.91 +3.76% BUBBLE 12h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 24 Jan 2025 14:00 $113.67 $122.13 +7.34% BUBBLE 1.4d
24 Jan 2025 21:00 25 Jan 2025 01:00 $116.65 $124.66 +6.76% BUBBLE 5h
25 Jan 2025 03:00 25 Jan 2025 15:00 $123.52 $128.04 +3.56% BUBBLE 13h
27 Jan 2025 09:00 28 Jan 2025 02:00 $109.20 $115.83 +5.97% BUBBLE 18h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 13:00 $110.37 $112.40 +1.70% BUBBLE 16h
29 Jan 2025 15:00 30 Jan 2025 12:00 $112.16 $132.43 +17.95% BUBBLE 22h
30 Jan 2025 21:00 30 Jan 2025 23:00 $128.01 $130.15 +1.57% BUBBLE 3h
31 Jan 2025 03:00 31 Jan 2025 10:00 $126.31 $132.83 +5.06% BUBBLE 8h
03 Feb 2025 02:00 03 Feb 2025 10:00 $91.04 $99.29 +8.62% BULL 9h
04 Feb 2025 09:00 04 Feb 2025 11:00 $99.69 $100.92 +1.04% BUBBLE 3h
05 Feb 2025 11:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $106.08 $105.48 -0.69% SIDEWAYS 3h
05 Feb 2025 23:00 06 Feb 2025 06:00 $103.34 $108.13 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $100.97 $107.17 +6.03% SIDEWAYS 19h
07 Feb 2025 22:00 09 Feb 2025 16:00 $101.32 $108.43 +6.91% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
09 Feb 2025 22:00 10 Feb 2025 20:00 $103.46 $120.20 +16.06% SIDEWAYS 23h
10 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 00:00 $119.42 $122.78 +2.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 05:00 12 Feb 2025 19:00 $117.52 $123.79 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 15h
12 Feb 2025 21:00 13 Feb 2025 00:00 $122.69 $125.77 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 4h
13 Feb 2025 04:00 14 Feb 2025 01:00 $124.67 $127.78 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 22h
17 Feb 2025 21:00 17 Feb 2025 23:00 $121.92 $122.31 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 01:00 18 Feb 2025 12:00 $123.19 $127.59 +3.41% SIDEWAYS 12h
18 Feb 2025 14:00 19 Feb 2025 09:00 $127.41 $136.10 +6.68% SIDEWAYS 20h
19 Feb 2025 15:00 19 Feb 2025 17:00 $135.10 $136.42 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Feb 2025 13:00 21 Feb 2025 00:00 $128.38 $134.74 +4.85% SIDEWAYS 12h
21 Feb 2025 02:00 21 Feb 2025 09:00 $136.45 $134.29 -1.68% SIDEWAYS 8h
21 Feb 2025 20:00 21 Feb 2025 23:00 $125.02 $128.10 +2.36% SIDEWAYS 4h
23 Feb 2025 01:00 23 Feb 2025 09:00 $126.28 $128.43 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 9h
23 Feb 2025 13:00 23 Feb 2025 21:00 $127.64 $128.66 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 9h
25 Feb 2025 05:00 25 Feb 2025 21:00 $113.83 $115.94 +1.75% SIDEWAYS 17h
25 Feb 2025 23:00 26 Feb 2025 09:00 $115.79 $126.78 +9.38% SIDEWAYS 11h
26 Feb 2025 11:00 26 Feb 2025 14:00 $126.50 $127.24 +0.48% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Feb 2025 19:00 26 Feb 2025 22:00 $123.21 $127.80 +3.62% SIDEWAYS 4h
27 Feb 2025 01:00 27 Feb 2025 07:00 $124.04 $129.52 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 7h
28 Feb 2025 05:00 28 Feb 2025 22:00 $119.07 $129.10 +8.32% SIDEWAYS 18h
01 Mar 2025 00:00 01 Mar 2025 02:00 $127.23 $128.53 +0.92% BEAR 3h
02 Mar 2025 03:00 02 Mar 2025 13:00 $123.10 $119.72 -3.25% BEAR 11h
02 Mar 2025 15:00 03 Mar 2025 00:00 $118.72 $128.89 +8.39% BEAR 10h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 04 Mar 2025 18:00 $100.20 $103.92 +3.58% BEAR 6h
04 Mar 2025 20:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $103.15 $105.64 +2.31% BEAR 15h
05 Mar 2025 12:00 06 Mar 2025 02:00 $104.15 $106.98 +2.61% BEAR 15h
06 Mar 2025 21:00 07 Mar 2025 11:00 $103.55 $105.34 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 15h
07 Mar 2025 13:00 07 Mar 2025 18:00 $104.63 $105.31 +0.55% SIDEWAYS 6h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 10:00 $94.88 $97.10 +2.24% SIDEWAYS 12h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 16:00 $83.75 $91.14 +8.72% SIDEWAYS 16h
12 Mar 2025 04:00 12 Mar 2025 08:00 $88.78 $90.40 +1.72% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Mar 2025 14:00 12 Mar 2025 22:00 $89.87 $91.76 +2.00% SIDEWAYS 9h
13 Mar 2025 17:00 14 Mar 2025 16:00 $87.32 $92.47 +5.79% SIDEWAYS 24h
14 Mar 2025 18:00 15 Mar 2025 08:00 $92.08 $92.70 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Mar 2025 12:00 17 Mar 2025 16:00 $89.29 $93.07 +3.81% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Mar 2025 12:00 20 Mar 2025 01:00 $88.51 $93.25 +5.16% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
20 Mar 2025 08:00 21 Mar 2025 15:00 $92.06 $93.41 +1.33% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
22 Mar 2025 00:00 23 Mar 2025 13:00 $91.02 $92.29 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
23 Mar 2025 18:00 25 Mar 2025 04:00 $91.22 $92.81 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Mar 2025 06:00 26 Mar 2025 01:00 $92.82 $95.64 +2.94% SIDEWAYS 20h
26 Mar 2025 03:00 26 Mar 2025 07:00 $93.88 $95.71 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Mar 2025 21:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $86.16 $87.35 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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93.0% Win Rate +1,071.0% Return -3.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees