LTCLTCLitecoin$44.3500-0.22%
24h High$44.59
24h Low$43.73
Volume$7.4M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 52 trades would have compounded to a final value of $46,998 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 52 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
14.68
Alpha vs B&H
+346.41pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+23.57%
Max Drawdown
-0.39%
Avg Drawdown
-2.78%
Sharpe Trend
-3.06
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — LTC — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 52-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.02%
Avg Loss
-0.44%
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-0.78%
Avg Bars Held
21.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 33 (63%) Signal flip: 17 (33%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Short signal: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +370.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 96.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • Robust sample: 52 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.82% on 17 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 17 100.0% +3.82% +87.85% 22h
SIDEWAYS 27 92.6% +2.22% +79.58% 21h
BULL 8 100.0% +3.15% +27.95% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 52 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2025 17:00 11 Jul 2025 01:00 $85.79 $94.95 +10.22% BUBBLE 3.4d
12 Jul 2025 14:00 13 Jul 2025 17:00 $92.99 $96.14 +3.22% BUBBLE 1.2d
13 Jul 2025 22:00 14 Jul 2025 08:00 $94.34 $96.33 +1.98% BUBBLE 11h
15 Jul 2025 03:00 16 Jul 2025 09:00 $91.89 $97.59 +6.07% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Jul 2025 11:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $97.33 $99.28 +1.90% BUBBLE 7h
16 Jul 2025 19:00 18 Jul 2025 03:00 $98.48 $107.79 +9.34% BUBBLE 1.4d
18 Jul 2025 05:00 18 Jul 2025 08:00 $108.28 $108.64 +0.23% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 08:00 $110.81 $119.16 +7.10% BUBBLE 7h
20 Jul 2025 10:00 21 Jul 2025 06:00 $117.72 $120.70 +2.37% BUBBLE 21h
22 Jul 2025 01:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $113.41 $119.65 +5.37% BUBBLE 23h
24 Jul 2025 05:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $110.15 $114.83 +4.14% BUBBLE 10h
24 Jul 2025 20:00 25 Jul 2025 09:00 $113.44 $114.54 +0.87% BUBBLE 14h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 27 Jul 2025 02:00 $111.43 $115.21 +3.29% BUBBLE 1.5d
27 Jul 2025 09:00 28 Jul 2025 01:00 $112.93 $114.09 +0.93% BUBBLE 17h
29 Jul 2025 03:00 29 Jul 2025 06:00 $108.97 $110.15 +0.98% BUBBLE 4h
30 Jul 2025 01:00 31 Jul 2025 00:00 $108.10 $111.16 +2.73% BUBBLE 24h
01 Aug 2025 08:00 02 Aug 2025 07:00 $103.92 $108.34 +4.15% BUBBLE 24h
03 Aug 2025 11:00 04 Aug 2025 19:00 $109.35 $119.82 +9.13% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
04 Aug 2025 21:00 05 Aug 2025 05:00 $120.52 $124.06 +2.77% SIDEWAYS 9h
06 Aug 2025 09:00 07 Aug 2025 04:00 $117.60 $121.23 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 20h
07 Aug 2025 17:00 08 Aug 2025 13:00 $121.60 $123.59 +1.53% BULL 21h
10 Aug 2025 01:00 11 Aug 2025 03:00 $120.98 $125.89 +3.95% BULL 1.1d
12 Aug 2025 01:00 13 Aug 2025 00:00 $120.31 $130.91 +8.70% BULL 24h
15 Aug 2025 14:00 16 Aug 2025 00:00 $119.61 $120.71 +0.82% BULL 11h
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 09:00 $119.91 $122.21 +1.50% BULL 8h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 21 Aug 2025 01:00 $113.38 $116.98 +3.01% BULL 1d
21 Aug 2025 14:00 23 Aug 2025 06:00 $115.63 $122.45 +5.76% BULL 1.7d
23 Aug 2025 16:00 24 Aug 2025 00:00 $120.42 $121.86 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 9h
24 Aug 2025 13:00 24 Aug 2025 17:00 $119.09 $121.59 +2.00% SIDEWAYS 5h
24 Aug 2025 21:00 24 Aug 2025 23:00 $119.00 $118.19 -0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 27 Aug 2025 03:00 $107.29 $114.31 +6.44% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 04:00 $112.88 $113.99 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 4h
28 Aug 2025 06:00 28 Aug 2025 09:00 $113.29 $113.30 -0.09% SIDEWAYS 4h
28 Aug 2025 17:00 28 Aug 2025 23:00 $112.25 $113.64 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 7h
30 Aug 2025 01:00 30 Aug 2025 16:00 $109.94 $110.37 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 16h
01 Sep 2025 03:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $107.62 $111.26 +2.96% SIDEWAYS 6h
01 Sep 2025 16:00 04 Sep 2025 01:00 $109.26 $112.94 +3.20% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
04 Sep 2025 14:00 05 Sep 2025 09:00 $110.08 $113.33 +2.82% SIDEWAYS 20h
05 Sep 2025 11:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $112.98 $114.09 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Sep 2025 15:00 05 Sep 2025 19:00 $112.53 $113.24 +0.53% SIDEWAYS 5h
05 Sep 2025 22:00 08 Sep 2025 01:00 $112.15 $113.95 +1.50% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
08 Sep 2025 07:00 08 Sep 2025 15:00 $112.84 $113.45 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 9h
08 Sep 2025 18:00 09 Sep 2025 08:00 $112.73 $114.36 +1.34% SIDEWAYS 15h
09 Sep 2025 16:00 11 Sep 2025 07:00 $111.32 $117.25 +5.22% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
11 Sep 2025 15:00 13 Sep 2025 09:00 $113.88 $120.11 +5.37% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
14 Sep 2025 15:00 14 Sep 2025 18:00 $114.35 $115.03 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Sep 2025 13:00 18 Sep 2025 01:00 $113.30 $117.37 +3.43% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
18 Sep 2025 03:00 19 Sep 2025 00:00 $117.77 $119.16 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 22h
22 Sep 2025 13:00 24 Sep 2025 01:00 $106.41 $107.54 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
24 Sep 2025 04:00 24 Sep 2025 06:00 $105.35 $106.92 +1.39% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Sep 2025 02:00 29 Sep 2025 02:00 $103.84 $106.79 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 1d
29 Sep 2025 04:00 30 Sep 2025 01:00 $106.44 $106.95 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

96.2% Win Rate +370.0% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees