RNDRRNDRRender$1.7180-1.43%
24h High$1.78
24h Low$1.70
Volume$3.1M
Updated17:58 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

RNDR Render Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for RNDR - Render. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 118 trades would have compounded to a final value of $1,500,005 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 118 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

RNDR — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.81
Alpha vs B&H
+14,960.21pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-60.16%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-5.12%
Sharpe Trend
-1.25
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — RNDR — H1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for RNDR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 118-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.21%
Avg Loss
-1.26%
Best Trade
+18.74%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
16.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 50 (42%) Forward-pred: 41 (35%) Short signal: 17 (14%) Take-profit: 5 (4%) Trailing stop: 3 (3%) Regime exit: 1 (1%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +14,900.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 92.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • Robust sample: 118 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.97% on 20 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 67 88.1% +4.18% +1,373.66% 15h
BUBBLE 27 100.0% +5.11% +281.19% 16h
BULL 20 100.0% +5.97% +212.21% 23h
BEAR 4 75.0% +4.73% +19.88% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 118 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jan 2025 01:00 06 Jan 2025 19:00 $8.11 $8.91 +9.48% BUBBLE 19h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $7.04 $7.34 +3.80% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 01:00 10 Jan 2025 07:00 $7.09 $7.59 +6.72% BUBBLE 7h
10 Jan 2025 09:00 10 Jan 2025 10:00 $7.52 $7.62 +1.02% BUBBLE 2h
11 Jan 2025 01:00 12 Jan 2025 02:00 $7.24 $7.35 +1.36% BULL 1.1d
13 Jan 2025 11:00 14 Jan 2025 09:00 $6.52 $7.24 +10.83% BULL 23h
15 Jan 2025 01:00 16 Jan 2025 02:00 $6.95 $7.50 +7.62% BULL 1.1d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 17 Jan 2025 18:00 $7.35 $7.86 +6.68% BULL 1.2d
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $7.02 $7.33 +4.05% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 19:00 $6.58 $6.80 +2.96% BUBBLE 19h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 22:00 $6.67 $7.24 +8.13% BUBBLE 22h
23 Jan 2025 09:00 24 Jan 2025 10:00 $6.91 $7.24 +4.53% BUBBLE 1.1d
25 Jan 2025 01:00 26 Jan 2025 09:00 $6.86 $7.03 +2.31% BUBBLE 1.4d
27 Jan 2025 11:00 27 Jan 2025 15:00 $5.92 $6.36 +7.25% BUBBLE 5h
27 Jan 2025 18:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $6.02 $6.17 +2.31% BUBBLE 8h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 07:00 $5.52 $5.93 +7.15% BUBBLE 10h
29 Jan 2025 17:00 29 Jan 2025 20:00 $5.44 $5.70 +4.50% BUBBLE 4h
30 Jan 2025 01:00 31 Jan 2025 04:00 $5.52 $5.81 +5.12% BUBBLE 1.2d
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 21:00 $4.42 $5.09 +14.70% BULL 21h
04 Feb 2025 09:00 04 Feb 2025 12:00 $4.53 $4.80 +5.55% BUBBLE 4h
07 Feb 2025 00:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $4.24 $4.46 +4.84% SIDEWAYS 14h
07 Feb 2025 20:00 09 Feb 2025 08:00 $4.14 $4.42 +6.24% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
09 Feb 2025 19:00 10 Feb 2025 13:00 $4.24 $4.50 +6.04% SIDEWAYS 19h
10 Feb 2025 15:00 11 Feb 2025 03:00 $4.43 $4.51 +1.64% SIDEWAYS 13h
12 Feb 2025 02:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $4.43 $4.72 +6.14% SIDEWAYS 24h
13 Feb 2025 11:00 14 Feb 2025 17:00 $4.48 $4.81 +7.02% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
15 Feb 2025 21:00 15 Feb 2025 23:00 $4.55 $4.58 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 08:00 16 Feb 2025 10:00 $4.52 $4.56 +0.52% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 21:00 17 Feb 2025 12:00 $4.47 $4.58 +2.22% SIDEWAYS 16h
18 Feb 2025 15:00 20 Feb 2025 21:00 $4.12 $4.36 +5.65% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 22 Feb 2025 17:00 $4.13 $4.34 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 22h
22 Feb 2025 19:00 22 Feb 2025 21:00 $4.32 $4.28 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 16:00 $3.59 $3.79 +5.48% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
26 Feb 2025 18:00 27 Feb 2025 02:00 $3.72 $3.76 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 9h
27 Feb 2025 20:00 27 Feb 2025 22:00 $3.66 $3.74 +2.13% SIDEWAYS 3h
28 Feb 2025 02:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $3.58 $3.78 +5.17% SIDEWAYS 23h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $3.82 $3.76 -2.25% BEAR 13h
02 Mar 2025 16:00 03 Mar 2025 01:00 $3.99 $4.36 +8.75% BEAR 10h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $3.39 $3.65 +7.23% BEAR 1.1d
05 Mar 2025 16:00 06 Mar 2025 07:00 $3.63 $3.90 +7.16% BEAR 16h
06 Mar 2025 19:00 07 Mar 2025 07:00 $3.81 $3.75 -1.64% SIDEWAYS 13h
07 Mar 2025 17:00 07 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.65 $3.74 +2.29% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Mar 2025 17:00 08 Mar 2025 21:00 $3.46 $3.51 +1.34% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $3.04 $3.13 +2.61% SIDEWAYS 12h
10 Mar 2025 19:00 10 Mar 2025 21:00 $2.69 $2.78 +2.96% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 11:00 $2.56 $2.92 +13.89% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 13:00 11 Mar 2025 19:00 $2.79 $3.05 +9.15% SIDEWAYS 7h
11 Mar 2025 21:00 12 Mar 2025 12:00 $3.01 $3.15 +4.56% SIDEWAYS 16h
12 Mar 2025 15:00 13 Mar 2025 00:00 $2.92 $3.08 +5.42% SIDEWAYS 10h
13 Mar 2025 19:00 15 Mar 2025 03:00 $2.91 $3.24 +11.20% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
15 Mar 2025 05:00 15 Mar 2025 10:00 $3.23 $3.23 -0.19% SIDEWAYS 6h
16 Mar 2025 20:00 17 Mar 2025 17:00 $3.13 $3.29 +4.62% SIDEWAYS 22h
18 Mar 2025 07:00 19 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.14 $3.33 +5.69% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.26 $3.30 +0.85% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 13:00 23 Mar 2025 17:00 $3.19 $3.29 +2.82% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
23 Mar 2025 19:00 24 Mar 2025 07:00 $3.34 $3.72 +11.12% SIDEWAYS 13h
24 Mar 2025 09:00 24 Mar 2025 16:00 $3.79 $3.83 +0.83% SIDEWAYS 8h
25 Mar 2025 01:00 25 Mar 2025 13:00 $3.81 $4.04 +5.88% SIDEWAYS 13h
28 Mar 2025 20:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $3.63 $3.73 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 04:00 $3.50 $3.54 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 06:00 30 Mar 2025 13:00 $3.52 $3.48 -1.48% SIDEWAYS 8h
30 Mar 2025 17:00 30 Mar 2025 19:00 $3.46 $3.53 +1.47% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 23:00 31 Mar 2025 02:00 $3.43 $3.48 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 4h
31 Mar 2025 04:00 31 Mar 2025 06:00 $3.44 $3.50 +1.55% SIDEWAYS 3h
31 Mar 2025 09:00 01 Apr 2025 15:00 $3.32 $3.76 +13.13% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
02 Apr 2025 06:00 02 Apr 2025 08:00 $3.46 $3.51 +1.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
02 Apr 2025 13:00 02 Apr 2025 15:00 $3.51 $3.72 +5.70% SIDEWAYS 3h
03 Apr 2025 09:00 04 Apr 2025 06:00 $3.30 $3.24 -2.06% SIDEWAYS 22h
04 Apr 2025 11:00 04 Apr 2025 16:00 $3.16 $3.23 +2.08% SIDEWAYS 6h
05 Apr 2025 22:00 06 Apr 2025 00:00 $3.12 $3.16 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Apr 2025 21:00 06 Apr 2025 23:00 $2.78 $2.78 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Apr 2025 01:00 08 Apr 2025 04:00 $2.81 $3.14 +11.52% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
08 Apr 2025 06:00 08 Apr 2025 09:00 $3.09 $3.05 -1.42% SIDEWAYS 4h
08 Apr 2025 23:00 10 Apr 2025 06:00 $2.82 $3.34 +18.10% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
10 Apr 2025 08:00 10 Apr 2025 10:00 $3.34 $3.40 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Apr 2025 14:00 12 Apr 2025 01:00 $3.37 $3.77 +11.74% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
12 Apr 2025 03:00 12 Apr 2025 13:00 $3.76 $3.86 +2.44% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 14:00 $3.79 $3.99 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 19h
14 Apr 2025 17:00 14 Apr 2025 20:00 $3.86 $3.97 +2.38% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Apr 2025 21:00 16 Apr 2025 16:00 $3.74 $3.73 -0.44% SIDEWAYS 20h
16 Apr 2025 18:00 17 Apr 2025 17:00 $3.68 $4.08 +10.62% SIDEWAYS 24h
19 Apr 2025 00:00 20 Apr 2025 01:00 $3.90 $4.32 +10.44% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 20 Apr 2025 19:00 $4.27 $4.38 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 9h
21 Apr 2025 13:00 23 Apr 2025 04:00 $4.40 $4.63 +5.06% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
23 Apr 2025 07:00 23 Apr 2025 09:00 $4.50 $4.58 +1.38% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Apr 2025 04:00 24 Apr 2025 14:00 $4.31 $4.63 +7.29% SIDEWAYS 11h
24 Apr 2025 16:00 25 Apr 2025 08:00 $4.63 $4.62 -0.58% SIDEWAYS 17h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 01:00 $4.21 $4.55 +7.59% BULL 1d
30 Apr 2025 14:00 02 May 2025 13:00 $4.22 $4.72 +11.43% BULL 2d
05 May 2025 01:00 05 May 2025 10:00 $4.31 $4.37 +1.03% BULL 10h
06 May 2025 14:00 07 May 2025 00:00 $4.25 $4.39 +2.97% BULL 11h
07 May 2025 16:00 09 May 2025 14:00 $4.13 $4.91 +18.74% BULL 2d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 08:00 $5.16 $5.39 +4.13% BULL 19h
13 May 2025 02:00 13 May 2025 19:00 $4.94 $5.36 +8.21% BULL 18h
15 May 2025 09:00 15 May 2025 16:00 $4.86 $4.99 +2.36% BULL 8h
16 May 2025 09:00 16 May 2025 15:00 $4.88 $4.91 +0.43% BULL 7h
17 May 2025 02:00 17 May 2025 06:00 $4.43 $4.58 +3.15% BUBBLE 5h
17 May 2025 13:00 18 May 2025 16:00 $4.54 $4.81 +5.82% BUBBLE 1.2d
18 May 2025 20:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $4.42 $4.68 +5.73% BUBBLE 4h
19 May 2025 07:00 20 May 2025 01:00 $4.39 $4.65 +5.82% BUBBLE 19h
20 May 2025 13:00 21 May 2025 16:00 $4.55 $4.84 +6.24% BUBBLE 1.2d
21 May 2025 18:00 22 May 2025 18:00 $4.67 $5.21 +11.42% BUBBLE 1d
25 May 2025 09:00 26 May 2025 12:00 $4.54 $4.90 +7.44% BUBBLE 1.2d
26 May 2025 23:00 27 May 2025 11:00 $4.71 $4.86 +2.59% BUBBLE 13h
28 May 2025 15:00 29 May 2025 01:00 $4.32 $4.46 +3.13% BUBBLE 11h
31 May 2025 01:00 01 Jun 2025 04:00 $3.71 $3.99 +7.32% BUBBLE 1.2d
01 Jun 2025 10:00 03 Jun 2025 07:00 $3.82 $4.01 +4.85% BUBBLE 1.9d
08 Jun 2025 09:00 08 Jun 2025 22:00 $3.80 $3.86 +1.19% BULL 14h
09 Jun 2025 12:00 09 Jun 2025 18:00 $3.94 $3.99 +0.80% BULL 7h
10 Jun 2025 06:00 10 Jun 2025 11:00 $3.96 $4.10 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 6h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 11:00 $3.31 $3.43 +3.34% BUBBLE 1.5d
14 Jun 2025 17:00 14 Jun 2025 22:00 $3.34 $3.39 +1.09% BUBBLE 6h
18 Jun 2025 11:00 19 Jun 2025 00:00 $3.15 $3.29 +4.28% BULL 14h
22 Jun 2025 16:00 22 Jun 2025 23:00 $2.69 $2.80 +3.55% SIDEWAYS 8h
23 Jun 2025 01:00 23 Jun 2025 22:00 $2.78 $3.17 +13.48% SIDEWAYS 22h
24 Jun 2025 00:00 24 Jun 2025 05:00 $3.21 $3.29 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 6h
26 Jun 2025 17:00 27 Jun 2025 16:00 $2.96 $3.20 +7.88% SIDEWAYS 24h
28 Jun 2025 05:00 29 Jun 2025 11:00 $3.19 $3.27 +2.26% BULL 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

92.4% Win Rate +14,900.1% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees