RNDRRNDRRender$1.7180-1.43%
24h High$1.78
24h Low$1.70
Volume$3.1M
Updated17:58 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

RNDR Render Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for RNDR - Render. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 64 trades would have compounded to a final value of $161,965 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 64 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

RNDR — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.55
Alpha vs B&H
+1,524.86pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-5.21%
Max Drawdown
-5.33%
Avg Drawdown
-4.99%
Sharpe Trend
-4.26
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — RNDR — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for RNDR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 64-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.65%
Avg Loss
-2.53%
Best Trade
+24.51%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Bars Held
15.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 30 (47%) Signal flip: 18 (28%) Short signal: 12 (19%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%) Trailing stop: 2 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,519.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 89.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 64 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.11% on 26 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 38 86.8% +4.51% +403.66% 17h
SIDEWAYS 26 92.3% +5.11% +253.62% 12h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 64 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 08:00 05 Jan 2026 13:00 $1.82 $2.15 +17.50% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
05 Jan 2026 17:00 06 Jan 2026 11:00 $2.13 $2.55 +19.15% SIDEWAYS 19h
06 Jan 2026 14:00 06 Jan 2026 15:00 $2.47 $2.53 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 2h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 06 Jan 2026 20:00 $2.34 $2.44 +3.91% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Jan 2026 01:00 07 Jan 2026 08:00 $2.31 $2.41 +3.74% SIDEWAYS 8h
08 Jan 2026 10:00 08 Jan 2026 15:00 $2.15 $2.32 +7.82% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Jan 2026 20:00 09 Jan 2026 06:00 $2.17 $2.31 +6.57% SIDEWAYS 11h
09 Jan 2026 08:00 09 Jan 2026 15:00 $2.24 $2.36 +5.37% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Jan 2026 18:00 09 Jan 2026 22:00 $2.30 $2.40 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Jan 2026 04:00 10 Jan 2026 07:00 $2.24 $2.28 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 4h
11 Jan 2026 04:00 11 Jan 2026 19:00 $2.31 $2.66 +14.96% SIDEWAYS 16h
13 Jan 2026 12:00 13 Jan 2026 15:00 $2.33 $2.41 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Jan 2026 01:00 15 Jan 2026 12:00 $2.28 $2.29 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 12h
15 Jan 2026 21:00 15 Jan 2026 23:00 $2.18 $2.22 +1.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Jan 2026 02:00 17 Jan 2026 04:00 $2.21 $2.28 +3.16% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Jan 2026 15:00 18 Jan 2026 17:00 $2.15 $2.17 +0.52% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Jan 2026 00:00 19 Jan 2026 06:00 $1.97 $2.06 +4.19% SIDEWAYS 7h
19 Jan 2026 13:00 19 Jan 2026 19:00 $2.05 $2.08 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 7h
20 Jan 2026 20:00 21 Jan 2026 15:00 $1.92 $2.14 +10.51% SIDEWAYS 20h
21 Jan 2026 17:00 23 Jan 2026 04:00 $1.98 $2.09 +5.59% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Jan 2026 20:00 26 Jan 2026 14:00 $1.84 $1.96 +5.75% SIDEWAYS 19h
27 Jan 2026 11:00 28 Jan 2026 13:00 $1.82 $1.99 +9.23% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
30 Jan 2026 15:00 31 Jan 2026 01:00 $1.68 $1.69 -0.07% SIDEWAYS 11h
01 Feb 2026 06:00 01 Feb 2026 10:00 $1.59 $1.56 -1.92% BEAR 5h
02 Feb 2026 00:00 03 Feb 2026 00:00 $1.52 $1.58 +3.86% BEAR 1d
03 Feb 2026 15:00 03 Feb 2026 18:00 $1.54 $1.48 -4.43% BEAR 4h
03 Feb 2026 20:00 03 Feb 2026 22:00 $1.55 $1.55 +0.17% BEAR 3h
04 Feb 2026 01:00 04 Feb 2026 08:00 $1.58 $1.57 -1.07% BEAR 8h
04 Feb 2026 14:00 04 Feb 2026 19:00 $1.51 $1.56 +2.93% BEAR 6h
06 Feb 2026 00:00 06 Feb 2026 17:00 $1.17 $1.46 +24.51% BEAR 18h
06 Feb 2026 19:00 07 Feb 2026 01:00 $1.42 $1.41 -1.01% BEAR 7h
07 Feb 2026 08:00 08 Feb 2026 12:00 $1.34 $1.40 +3.85% BEAR 1.2d
09 Feb 2026 08:00 09 Feb 2026 10:00 $1.35 $1.30 -3.90% BEAR 3h
09 Feb 2026 12:00 09 Feb 2026 17:00 $1.32 $1.36 +3.39% BEAR 6h
11 Feb 2026 08:00 12 Feb 2026 10:00 $1.26 $1.35 +6.46% BEAR 1.1d
12 Feb 2026 17:00 14 Feb 2026 13:00 $1.27 $1.44 +13.17% BEAR 1.9d
15 Feb 2026 14:00 16 Feb 2026 10:00 $1.41 $1.45 +1.78% BEAR 21h
16 Feb 2026 12:00 16 Feb 2026 14:00 $1.44 $1.45 +0.21% BEAR 3h
16 Feb 2026 16:00 16 Feb 2026 20:00 $1.44 $1.45 +0.63% BEAR 5h
18 Feb 2026 21:00 19 Feb 2026 07:00 $1.41 $1.48 +4.74% BEAR 11h
19 Feb 2026 13:00 20 Feb 2026 08:00 $1.38 $1.49 +7.04% BEAR 20h
20 Feb 2026 10:00 21 Feb 2026 01:00 $1.48 $1.49 +0.30% BEAR 16h
22 Feb 2026 17:00 23 Feb 2026 11:00 $1.40 $1.41 +0.26% BEAR 19h
24 Feb 2026 10:00 25 Feb 2026 21:00 $1.35 $1.54 +14.13% BEAR 1.5d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 08:00 $1.41 $1.49 +5.41% BEAR 16h
01 Mar 2026 20:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.33 $1.42 +6.66% BEAR 20h
03 Mar 2026 09:00 04 Mar 2026 16:00 $1.33 $1.43 +7.23% BEAR 1.3d
05 Mar 2026 16:00 06 Mar 2026 07:00 $1.35 $1.42 +4.99% BEAR 16h
06 Mar 2026 15:00 08 Mar 2026 11:00 $1.35 $1.37 +1.21% BEAR 1.9d
08 Mar 2026 17:00 08 Mar 2026 19:00 $1.36 $1.39 +1.57% BEAR 3h
09 Mar 2026 00:00 09 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.36 $1.39 +1.74% BEAR 16h
10 Mar 2026 01:00 10 Mar 2026 11:00 $1.41 $1.49 +4.84% BEAR 11h
10 Mar 2026 23:00 11 Mar 2026 13:00 $1.46 $1.54 +4.59% BEAR 15h
11 Mar 2026 16:00 13 Mar 2026 06:00 $1.52 $1.86 +21.98% BEAR 1.6d
13 Mar 2026 08:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.78 $1.90 +6.29% BEAR 5h
15 Mar 2026 07:00 16 Mar 2026 07:00 $1.83 $1.87 +1.41% BEAR 1d
16 Mar 2026 09:00 16 Mar 2026 18:00 $1.86 $1.87 +0.02% BEAR 10h
18 Mar 2026 17:00 19 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.71 $1.72 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 9h
19 Mar 2026 12:00 20 Mar 2026 04:00 $1.66 $1.77 +5.88% SIDEWAYS 17h
20 Mar 2026 06:00 20 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.81 $1.72 -5.33% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Mar 2026 01:00 24 Mar 2026 07:00 $1.61 $1.80 +11.28% BEAR 1.3d
24 Mar 2026 14:00 25 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.71 $1.86 +8.07% BEAR 23h
27 Mar 2026 21:00 28 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.66 $1.72 +3.48% BEAR 19h
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.65 $1.75 +5.51% BEAR 14h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

89.1% Win Rate +1,519.7% Return -5.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees