RNDRRNDRRender$1.7360+0.29%
24h High$1.78
24h Low$1.70
Volume$3.2M
Updated15:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

RNDR Render Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for RNDR - Render. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 55 trades would have compounded to a final value of $44,557 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 55 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ RNDR Signals →

RNDR — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+345.6%
$10,000 →
$44,557
Win Rate
83.6%
46W / 9L
Trades
55
Sharpe
10.83
Alpha vs B&H
+407.55pp
Risk / Reward
49.60×
B&H Return
-61.98%
Max Drawdown
-6.97%
Avg Drawdown
-5.79%
Sharpe Trend
-11.37
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — RNDR — Q4 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for RNDR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 55-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.40%
Avg Loss
-3.63%
Best Trade
+18.99%
Worst Trade
-13.93%
Avg Bars Held
14.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 31 (56%) Forward-pred: 14 (25%) Trailing stop: 4 (7%) Short signal: 3 (5%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%) Regime exit: 1 (2%) Take-profit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +345.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 55 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.52% on 36 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 36 88.9% +3.52% +230.60% 15h
BEAR 16 75.0% +3.15% +62.41% 14h
BUBBLE 2 100.0% +3.21% +6.50% 18h
BULL 1 0.0% -13.93% -13.93% 4h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 55 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 10:00 $3.48 $3.57 +2.16% BUBBLE 9h
05 Oct 2025 20:00 06 Oct 2025 21:00 $3.47 $3.63 +4.25% BUBBLE 1.1d
10 Oct 2025 18:00 10 Oct 2025 21:00 $3.06 $2.65 -13.93% BULL 4h
11 Oct 2025 11:00 13 Oct 2025 18:00 $2.57 $2.94 +14.23% BULL 2.3d
14 Oct 2025 08:00 15 Oct 2025 02:00 $2.75 $2.84 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 19h
16 Oct 2025 21:00 17 Oct 2025 00:00 $2.53 $2.54 +0.22% SIDEWAYS 4h
19 Oct 2025 11:00 19 Oct 2025 16:00 $2.55 $2.57 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 6h
20 Oct 2025 01:00 20 Oct 2025 04:00 $2.50 $2.59 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Oct 2025 03:00 21 Oct 2025 14:00 $2.51 $2.64 +4.94% SIDEWAYS 12h
21 Oct 2025 16:00 21 Oct 2025 17:00 $2.70 $2.64 -2.34% SIDEWAYS 2h
22 Oct 2025 22:00 24 Oct 2025 03:00 $2.35 $2.45 +3.91% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Oct 2025 17:00 24 Oct 2025 19:00 $2.40 $2.45 +1.85% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Oct 2025 06:00 26 Oct 2025 03:00 $2.41 $2.44 +1.23% SIDEWAYS 22h
26 Oct 2025 05:00 26 Oct 2025 18:00 $2.45 $2.54 +3.29% SIDEWAYS 14h
30 Oct 2025 00:00 30 Oct 2025 02:00 $2.39 $2.43 +1.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Oct 2025 05:00 30 Oct 2025 07:00 $2.34 $2.41 +2.87% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Oct 2025 17:00 01 Nov 2025 06:00 $2.20 $2.24 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
01 Nov 2025 10:00 01 Nov 2025 13:00 $2.29 $2.31 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 4h
01 Nov 2025 15:00 01 Nov 2025 20:00 $2.31 $2.34 +1.06% SIDEWAYS 6h
04 Nov 2025 20:00 06 Nov 2025 01:00 $1.83 $1.99 +8.29% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Nov 2025 13:00 07 Nov 2025 15:00 $1.93 $2.31 +18.99% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
07 Nov 2025 17:00 07 Nov 2025 18:00 $2.44 $2.68 +9.52% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Nov 2025 20:00 08 Nov 2025 09:00 $2.60 $2.37 -9.40% SIDEWAYS 14h
08 Nov 2025 17:00 08 Nov 2025 19:00 $2.28 $2.30 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Nov 2025 04:00 10 Nov 2025 12:00 $2.22 $2.62 +17.85% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
11 Nov 2025 22:00 12 Nov 2025 08:00 $2.35 $2.44 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 11h
12 Nov 2025 10:00 12 Nov 2025 13:00 $2.61 $2.51 -4.14% SIDEWAYS 4h
12 Nov 2025 18:00 13 Nov 2025 03:00 $2.33 $2.36 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 10h
13 Nov 2025 17:00 14 Nov 2025 00:00 $2.27 $2.29 +0.67% SIDEWAYS 8h
14 Nov 2025 11:00 14 Nov 2025 15:00 $2.16 $2.18 +1.00% SIDEWAYS 5h
14 Nov 2025 23:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $2.08 $2.10 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Nov 2025 02:00 15 Nov 2025 07:00 $2.12 $2.19 +2.95% BEAR 6h
15 Nov 2025 12:00 15 Nov 2025 14:00 $2.16 $2.18 +1.06% BEAR 3h
16 Nov 2025 17:00 17 Nov 2025 13:00 $1.98 $1.98 -0.21% BEAR 21h
18 Nov 2025 01:00 18 Nov 2025 18:00 $1.94 $2.11 +8.60% BEAR 18h
18 Nov 2025 21:00 19 Nov 2025 01:00 $2.09 $2.07 -1.12% BEAR 5h
19 Nov 2025 18:00 20 Nov 2025 11:00 $1.94 $2.07 +6.20% BEAR 18h
21 Nov 2025 13:00 21 Nov 2025 15:00 $1.72 $1.71 -1.23% BEAR 3h
22 Nov 2025 01:00 23 Nov 2025 18:00 $1.71 $1.73 +0.86% BEAR 1.8d
24 Nov 2025 01:00 24 Nov 2025 18:00 $1.70 $1.83 +6.77% BEAR 18h
25 Nov 2025 12:00 26 Nov 2025 20:00 $1.79 $1.82 +1.59% BEAR 1.4d
28 Nov 2025 02:00 28 Nov 2025 15:00 $1.76 $1.86 +5.77% BEAR 14h
01 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 22:00 $1.53 $1.72 +12.02% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
03 Dec 2025 00:00 03 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.70 $1.74 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 14h
07 Dec 2025 10:00 07 Dec 2025 18:00 $1.58 $1.64 +3.50% SIDEWAYS 9h
07 Dec 2025 23:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $1.57 $1.76 +11.79% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
11 Dec 2025 17:00 12 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.56 $1.60 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 9h
14 Dec 2025 22:00 15 Dec 2025 01:00 $1.48 $1.51 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Dec 2025 17:00 16 Dec 2025 15:00 $1.40 $1.44 +2.15% SIDEWAYS 23h
17 Dec 2025 10:00 17 Dec 2025 12:00 $1.36 $1.37 +0.18% BEAR 3h
18 Dec 2025 06:00 18 Dec 2025 08:00 $1.27 $1.28 -0.02% BEAR 3h
19 Dec 2025 01:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $1.19 $1.34 +12.51% BEAR 19h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 22 Dec 2025 11:00 $1.25 $1.32 +5.85% BEAR 22h
24 Dec 2025 08:00 25 Dec 2025 16:00 $1.24 $1.28 +3.24% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
31 Dec 2025 11:00 31 Dec 2025 13:00 $1.30 $1.30 -0.26% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → RNDR Signals → View Plans →
83.6% Win Rate +345.6% Return -7.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees