POLPOLPolygon$0.080270+1.54%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated19:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H1-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 90 trades would have compounded to a final value of $117,143 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 90 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+1,071.4%
$10,000 →
$117,143
Win Rate
83.3%
75W / 15L
Trades
90
Sharpe
10.83
Alpha vs B&H
+1,101.79pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-30.36%
Max Drawdown
-3.01%
Avg Drawdown
-3.57%
Sharpe Trend
-0.98
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — H1 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 90-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.10%
Avg Loss
-0.92%
Best Trade
+15.47%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Bars Held
21.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 41 (46%) Forward-pred: 25 (28%) Short signal: 14 (16%) Trailing stop: 6 (7%) Take-profit: 2 (2%) Stop-loss: 2 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,071.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 90 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.80% on 60 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 60 91.7% +3.80% +797.15% 22h
BULL 18 66.7% +1.92% +39.35% 18h
SIDEWAYS 12 66.7% +2.61% +35.33% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 90 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jan 2024 08:00 07 Jan 2024 14:00 $0.84 $0.84 -0.12% BULL 7h
08 Jan 2024 01:00 09 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.78 $0.82 +5.01% BUBBLE 1d
09 Jan 2024 12:00 11 Jan 2024 00:00 $0.81 $0.93 +13.52% BUBBLE 1.5d
11 Jan 2024 02:00 11 Jan 2024 04:00 $0.90 $0.91 -0.23% BUBBLE 3h
11 Jan 2024 07:00 11 Jan 2024 09:00 $0.90 $0.91 +1.13% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jan 2024 22:00 14 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.86 $0.88 +1.62% BUBBLE 1.2d
16 Jan 2024 19:00 17 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.84 $0.84 -0.41% BULL 7h
18 Jan 2024 03:00 18 Jan 2024 09:00 $0.81 $0.81 +0.32% BULL 7h
19 Jan 2024 03:00 19 Jan 2024 14:00 $0.77 $0.78 +0.71% BULL 12h
21 Jan 2024 02:00 21 Jan 2024 11:00 $0.79 $0.79 +0.64% BULL 10h
23 Jan 2024 10:00 24 Jan 2024 10:00 $0.71 $0.74 +3.84% SIDEWAYS 1d
24 Jan 2024 12:00 28 Jan 2024 03:00 $0.74 $0.80 +8.14% SIDEWAYS 3.7d
28 Jan 2024 05:00 28 Jan 2024 08:00 $0.80 $0.81 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 4h
29 Jan 2024 01:00 29 Jan 2024 03:00 $0.79 $0.79 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Jan 2024 09:00 30 Jan 2024 01:00 $0.79 $0.81 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 17h
01 Feb 2024 01:00 02 Feb 2024 08:00 $0.78 $0.82 +3.89% BULL 1.3d
05 Feb 2024 00:00 05 Feb 2024 13:00 $0.78 $0.79 +1.81% BULL 14h
06 Feb 2024 02:00 07 Feb 2024 10:00 $0.79 $0.79 +0.56% BULL 1.4d
07 Feb 2024 23:00 08 Feb 2024 19:00 $0.83 $0.84 +0.35% BULL 21h
12 Feb 2024 03:00 13 Feb 2024 03:00 $0.83 $0.87 +3.62% BUBBLE 1d
13 Feb 2024 05:00 14 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.87 $0.85 -3.01% BUBBLE 20h
14 Feb 2024 02:00 15 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.85 $0.90 +5.20% BUBBLE 23h
15 Feb 2024 02:00 15 Feb 2024 13:00 $0.89 $0.90 +1.19% BUBBLE 12h
15 Feb 2024 22:00 16 Feb 2024 12:00 $0.88 $0.93 +5.52% BUBBLE 15h
16 Feb 2024 14:00 17 Feb 2024 00:00 $0.93 $0.95 +2.73% BUBBLE 11h
17 Feb 2024 15:00 17 Feb 2024 17:00 $0.91 $0.93 +1.85% BUBBLE 3h
18 Feb 2024 02:00 19 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.92 $0.99 +7.21% BUBBLE 24h
20 Feb 2024 04:00 20 Feb 2024 06:00 $0.98 $0.99 +0.66% BUBBLE 3h
20 Feb 2024 10:00 20 Feb 2024 22:00 $0.98 $1.03 +4.67% BUBBLE 13h
21 Feb 2024 00:00 21 Feb 2024 02:00 $1.03 $1.01 -2.33% BUBBLE 3h
21 Feb 2024 18:00 22 Feb 2024 20:00 $0.92 $1.02 +10.90% BUBBLE 1.1d
23 Feb 2024 13:00 24 Feb 2024 07:00 $0.97 $1.02 +4.53% BUBBLE 19h
25 Feb 2024 22:00 27 Feb 2024 01:00 $0.98 $1.07 +8.23% BUBBLE 1.2d
28 Feb 2024 12:00 28 Feb 2024 16:00 $1.04 $1.06 +2.00% BUBBLE 5h
28 Feb 2024 18:00 29 Feb 2024 06:00 $0.99 $1.04 +4.19% BUBBLE 13h
29 Feb 2024 22:00 02 Mar 2024 12:00 $1.01 $1.08 +7.39% BUBBLE 1.6d
03 Mar 2024 08:00 04 Mar 2024 22:00 $1.04 $1.15 +9.25% BUBBLE 1.6d
05 Mar 2024 20:00 07 Mar 2024 17:00 $1.01 $1.17 +15.47% BULL 1.9d
08 Mar 2024 16:00 10 Mar 2024 17:00 $1.10 $1.23 +11.94% BUBBLE 2.1d
11 Mar 2024 05:00 11 Mar 2024 09:00 $1.20 $1.22 +1.59% BUBBLE 5h
12 Mar 2024 15:00 13 Mar 2024 12:00 $1.18 $1.27 +6.63% BUBBLE 22h
14 Mar 2024 18:00 14 Mar 2024 23:00 $1.21 $1.22 +0.90% BUBBLE 6h
15 Mar 2024 12:00 16 Mar 2024 05:00 $1.11 $1.13 +2.02% BUBBLE 18h
17 Mar 2024 02:00 17 Mar 2024 06:00 $1.05 $1.04 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
17 Mar 2024 08:00 18 Mar 2024 01:00 $1.03 $1.08 +3.94% BUBBLE 18h
19 Mar 2024 09:00 21 Mar 2024 11:00 $0.93 $1.00 +6.88% BUBBLE 2.1d
22 Mar 2024 21:00 23 Mar 2024 23:00 $0.96 $0.98 +1.38% BUBBLE 1.1d
24 Mar 2024 01:00 25 Mar 2024 17:00 $0.99 $1.05 +6.35% BUBBLE 1.7d
02 Apr 2024 14:00 03 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.90 $0.92 +1.36% BUBBLE 19h
05 Apr 2024 12:00 06 Apr 2024 13:00 $0.87 $0.89 +2.01% BUBBLE 1.1d
06 Apr 2024 15:00 07 Apr 2024 22:00 $0.90 $0.91 +1.11% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Apr 2024 01:00 08 Apr 2024 18:00 $0.91 $0.94 +3.97% BUBBLE 18h
12 Apr 2024 20:00 12 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.76 $0.77 +0.52% BUBBLE 4h
14 Apr 2024 02:00 15 Apr 2024 09:00 $0.64 $0.74 +15.02% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Apr 2024 01:00 16 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.70 $0.72 +1.66% BUBBLE 8h
16 Apr 2024 14:00 17 Apr 2024 04:00 $0.70 $0.71 +0.87% BUBBLE 15h
18 Apr 2024 01:00 18 Apr 2024 14:00 $0.67 $0.69 +1.53% BULL 14h
19 Apr 2024 03:00 21 Apr 2024 02:00 $0.65 $0.74 +13.92% BULL 2d
22 Apr 2024 01:00 23 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.72 $0.75 +3.87% BULL 24h
25 Apr 2024 09:00 26 Apr 2024 03:00 $0.70 $0.72 +2.16% BUBBLE 19h
28 Apr 2024 02:00 28 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.74 $0.74 -1.11% BULL 7h
30 Apr 2024 18:00 03 May 2024 00:00 $0.66 $0.72 +9.77% BULL 2.3d
03 May 2024 02:00 04 May 2024 01:00 $0.73 $0.73 -0.56% SIDEWAYS 24h
05 May 2024 03:00 05 May 2024 16:00 $0.72 $0.74 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 May 2024 11:00 09 May 2024 20:00 $0.68 $0.69 +1.70% BULL 10h
11 May 2024 01:00 11 May 2024 14:00 $0.68 $0.68 -0.54% BULL 14h
13 May 2024 04:00 13 May 2024 10:00 $0.65 $0.67 +2.83% BULL 7h
14 May 2024 18:00 17 May 2024 20:00 $0.65 $0.71 +8.64% BULL 3.1d
20 May 2024 01:00 21 May 2024 00:00 $0.68 $0.75 +10.31% BUBBLE 24h
22 May 2024 12:00 23 May 2024 14:00 $0.72 $0.73 +1.13% BUBBLE 1.1d
23 May 2024 19:00 23 May 2024 23:00 $0.72 $0.74 +3.05% BUBBLE 5h
24 May 2024 07:00 25 May 2024 13:00 $0.71 $0.72 +0.54% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 May 2024 01:00 27 May 2024 17:00 $0.72 $0.75 +3.92% BUBBLE 17h
01 Jun 2024 00:00 05 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.69 $0.71 +1.87% BUBBLE 4.6d
05 Jun 2024 15:00 06 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.71 $0.73 +1.29% BUBBLE 11h
06 Jun 2024 09:00 06 Jun 2024 14:00 $0.72 $0.74 +2.18% BUBBLE 6h
07 Jun 2024 19:00 07 Jun 2024 21:00 $0.66 $0.67 +0.49% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jun 2024 02:00 09 Jun 2024 21:00 $0.65 $0.66 +0.45% BUBBLE 20h
10 Jun 2024 08:00 10 Jun 2024 10:00 $0.64 $0.65 +0.68% BUBBLE 3h
11 Jun 2024 17:00 12 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.62 $0.65 +4.78% BUBBLE 1d
12 Jun 2024 19:00 13 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.65 $0.64 -1.81% BUBBLE 7h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 15 Jun 2024 23:00 $0.58 $0.62 +5.81% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Jun 2024 01:00 16 Jun 2024 15:00 $0.62 $0.63 +1.58% BUBBLE 15h
18 Jun 2024 02:00 20 Jun 2024 09:00 $0.54 $0.59 +9.09% BUBBLE 2.3d
21 Jun 2024 01:00 21 Jun 2024 07:00 $0.57 $0.57 -0.13% BULL 7h
22 Jun 2024 01:00 22 Jun 2024 07:00 $0.56 $0.57 +0.00% BULL 7h
24 Jun 2024 06:00 25 Jun 2024 15:00 $0.55 $0.57 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
27 Jun 2024 01:00 27 Jun 2024 20:00 $0.55 $0.57 +3.68% SIDEWAYS 20h
27 Jun 2024 22:00 28 Jun 2024 12:00 $0.57 $0.56 -1.09% SIDEWAYS 15h
28 Jun 2024 22:00 29 Jun 2024 18:00 $0.55 $0.55 -0.73% SIDEWAYS 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +1,071.4% Return -3.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees