POLPOLPolygon$0.080270+1.54%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated19:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 63 trades would have compounded to a final value of $44,391 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 63 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+343.9%
$10,000 →
$44,391
Win Rate
84.1%
53W / 10L
Trades
63
Sharpe
10.73
Alpha vs B&H
+405.83pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-61.92%
Max Drawdown
-2.42%
Avg Drawdown
-4.60%
Sharpe Trend
-17.92
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 63-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.44%
Avg Loss
-0.98%
Best Trade
+13.96%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
15.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 32 (51%) Forward-pred: 24 (38%) Short signal: 5 (8%) Regime exit: 1 (2%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +343.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 84.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.4%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 63 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.20% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 36 86.1% +2.76% +161.55% 18h
BUBBLE 19 78.9% +2.01% +45.32% 9h
BULL 3 100.0% +6.20% +19.25% 1.3d
BEAR 5 80.0% +3.32% +17.39% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 63 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 05 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.51 $0.52 +1.13% BUBBLE 13h
06 Jan 2025 01:00 06 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.51 $0.53 +3.38% BUBBLE 15h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.13% BUBBLE 11h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 10 Jan 2025 10:00 $0.45 $0.46 +2.30% BUBBLE 6h
13 Jan 2025 11:00 16 Jan 2025 02:00 $0.42 $0.48 +13.96% BULL 2.7d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 16 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.47 $0.48 +0.37% BULL 7h
19 Jan 2025 11:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.45 $0.48 +6.62% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.44 $0.47 +6.83% BUBBLE 6h
20 Jan 2025 11:00 20 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.46 $0.46 -0.67% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 18:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.45 $0.46 +2.52% BUBBLE 24h
21 Jan 2025 20:00 21 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.46 $0.45 -1.11% BUBBLE 4h
23 Jan 2025 13:00 23 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.43 $0.44 +1.81% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jan 2025 20:00 23 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.44 $0.44 +1.01% BUBBLE 4h
24 Jan 2025 03:00 24 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.43 $0.44 +1.68% BUBBLE 3h
25 Jan 2025 01:00 25 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.43 $0.44 +1.00% BUBBLE 3h
25 Jan 2025 09:00 25 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.43 $0.43 +0.26% BUBBLE 4h
27 Jan 2025 08:00 27 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.40 $0.42 +3.74% BUBBLE 16h
29 Jan 2025 01:00 29 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.39 $0.40 +1.82% BUBBLE 7h
29 Jan 2025 13:00 30 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.39 $0.42 +5.83% BUBBLE 1.2d
30 Jan 2025 18:00 31 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.42 $0.41 -1.74% BUBBLE 14h
31 Jan 2025 09:00 31 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.41 $0.42 +1.98% BUBBLE 3h
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.32 $0.33 +4.26% BULL 19h
04 Feb 2025 20:00 05 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.31 $0.32 +3.36% BUBBLE 18h
06 Feb 2025 17:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.30 $0.32 +4.88% SIDEWAYS 21h
07 Feb 2025 21:00 09 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.30 $0.32 +6.70% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.29 $0.33 +9.79% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Feb 2025 01:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.31 $0.33 +5.95% SIDEWAYS 22h
13 Feb 2025 00:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.33 $0.33 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 2h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 15 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.31 $0.33 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
15 Feb 2025 12:00 15 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.32 $0.32 -0.72% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.32 $0.33 +2.55% SIDEWAYS 16h
16 Feb 2025 19:00 16 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.32 $0.33 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Feb 2025 08:00 17 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.32 $0.33 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 19:00 17 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.31 $0.32 +2.31% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.30 $0.30 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
21 Feb 2025 03:00 21 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.30 $0.31 +0.67% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Feb 2025 16:00 23 Feb 2025 18:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.26 $0.28 +6.18% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
26 Feb 2025 18:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +4.40% SIDEWAYS 16h
28 Feb 2025 04:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.26 $0.27 +3.37% SIDEWAYS 21h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.28 $0.30 +7.40% BEAR 15h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 04 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.25 $0.25 -2.23% BEAR 5h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.24 $0.26 +6.98% BEAR 22h
05 Mar 2025 12:00 05 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.25 $0.26 +1.09% BEAR 9h
05 Mar 2025 22:00 06 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.26 $0.26 -0.02% BEAR 6h
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.23% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Mar 2025 10:00 09 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.97% SIDEWAYS 16h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 13h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.19 $0.22 +11.65% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Mar 2025 18:00 15 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
16 Mar 2025 14:00 16 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.21 $0.21 +1.11% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Mar 2025 19:00 17 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.21 $0.22 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 19h
17 Mar 2025 15:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.21 $0.22 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 4h
18 Mar 2025 04:00 18 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.79% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Mar 2025 11:00 19 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.21 $0.22 +4.84% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.21 $0.21 +0.30% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Mar 2025 11:00 24 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.21 $0.22 +6.55% SIDEWAYS 3.4d
25 Mar 2025 01:00 26 Mar 2025 07:00 $0.22 $0.24 +9.82% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Mar 2025 15:00 27 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.23 $0.24 +1.55% SIDEWAYS 13h
27 Mar 2025 11:00 27 Mar 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.23% SIDEWAYS 5h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.21 $0.20 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 15h
30 Mar 2025 18:00 31 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.20 $0.20 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 9h
31 Mar 2025 09:00 31 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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84.1% Win Rate +343.9% Return -2.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees