POLPOLPolygon$0.080140+1.38%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated19:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 45 trades would have compounded to a final value of $25,757 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 45 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

POL — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
11.01
Alpha vs B&H
+194.25pp
Risk / Reward
48.35×
B&H Return
-36.69%
Max Drawdown
-3.26%
Avg Drawdown
-3.16%
Sharpe Trend
-3.59
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — POL — Q2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 45-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.60%
Avg Loss
-1.04%
Best Trade
+18.56%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Bars Held
19.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 19 (42%) Forward-pred: 11 (24%) Short signal: 11 (24%) Stop-loss: 2 (4%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +157.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 75.6%.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.84% on 26 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 26 88.5% +2.84% +102.44% 20h
BULL 11 45.5% +1.86% +21.75% 15h
SIDEWAYS 8 75.0% +2.10% +17.57% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 45 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2024 02:00 07 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.90 $0.91 +0.33% BUBBLE 22h
08 Apr 2024 01:00 08 Apr 2024 17:00 $0.91 $0.94 +3.68% BUBBLE 17h
11 Apr 2024 15:00 12 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.87 $0.88 +0.74% BUBBLE 11h
12 Apr 2024 20:00 12 Apr 2024 23:00 $0.76 $0.77 +0.52% BUBBLE 4h
13 Apr 2024 22:00 15 Apr 2024 07:00 $0.63 $0.75 +18.56% BUBBLE 1.4d
16 Apr 2024 01:00 16 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.70 $0.72 +1.66% BUBBLE 8h
16 Apr 2024 13:00 17 Apr 2024 01:00 $0.70 $0.70 +0.06% BUBBLE 13h
18 Apr 2024 01:00 18 Apr 2024 14:00 $0.67 $0.69 +1.53% BULL 14h
21 Apr 2024 02:00 21 Apr 2024 08:00 $0.74 $0.73 -1.53% BULL 7h
22 Apr 2024 01:00 23 Apr 2024 00:00 $0.72 $0.75 +3.87% BULL 24h
25 Apr 2024 02:00 26 Apr 2024 03:00 $0.71 $0.72 +1.39% BUBBLE 1.1d
27 Apr 2024 01:00 28 Apr 2024 02:00 $0.69 $0.75 +7.56% BUBBLE 1.1d
29 Apr 2024 22:00 30 Apr 2024 04:00 $0.70 $0.70 -0.59% BULL 7h
30 Apr 2024 18:00 03 May 2024 00:00 $0.66 $0.72 +9.77% BULL 2.3d
03 May 2024 02:00 04 May 2024 00:00 $0.73 $0.73 -0.23% SIDEWAYS 23h
04 May 2024 08:00 04 May 2024 11:00 $0.73 $0.73 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 May 2024 03:00 05 May 2024 17:00 $0.72 $0.74 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 15h
09 May 2024 11:00 09 May 2024 21:00 $0.68 $0.69 +1.62% BULL 11h
11 May 2024 05:00 11 May 2024 14:00 $0.68 $0.68 -0.41% BULL 10h
13 May 2024 03:00 13 May 2024 09:00 $0.65 $0.68 +4.33% BULL 7h
14 May 2024 13:00 14 May 2024 20:00 $0.66 $0.66 -0.50% BULL 8h
15 May 2024 09:00 17 May 2024 20:00 $0.66 $0.71 +8.55% BULL 2.5d
20 May 2024 01:00 21 May 2024 00:00 $0.68 $0.75 +10.31% BUBBLE 24h
22 May 2024 10:00 22 May 2024 12:00 $0.73 $0.71 -3.26% BUBBLE 3h
22 May 2024 14:00 23 May 2024 15:00 $0.72 $0.74 +2.08% BUBBLE 1.1d
23 May 2024 18:00 24 May 2024 00:00 $0.72 $0.75 +4.16% BUBBLE 7h
24 May 2024 09:00 26 May 2024 01:00 $0.72 $0.73 +1.86% BUBBLE 1.7d
27 May 2024 01:00 27 May 2024 17:00 $0.72 $0.75 +3.92% BUBBLE 17h
02 Jun 2024 02:00 02 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.70 $0.69 -1.76% BUBBLE 16h
02 Jun 2024 19:00 03 Jun 2024 12:00 $0.69 $0.71 +2.67% BUBBLE 18h
03 Jun 2024 14:00 06 Jun 2024 09:00 $0.71 $0.72 +0.43% BUBBLE 2.8d
06 Jun 2024 11:00 06 Jun 2024 14:00 $0.72 $0.74 +2.41% BUBBLE 4h
07 Jun 2024 19:00 07 Jun 2024 22:00 $0.66 $0.67 +0.55% BUBBLE 4h
09 Jun 2024 01:00 09 Jun 2024 21:00 $0.65 $0.66 +0.23% BUBBLE 21h
11 Jun 2024 23:00 12 Jun 2024 17:00 $0.62 $0.65 +4.41% BUBBLE 19h
12 Jun 2024 19:00 13 Jun 2024 01:00 $0.65 $0.64 -1.81% BUBBLE 7h
14 Jun 2024 17:00 15 Jun 2024 23:00 $0.58 $0.62 +5.81% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Jun 2024 02:00 16 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.61 $0.62 +1.59% BUBBLE 12h
18 Jun 2024 02:00 20 Jun 2024 08:00 $0.54 $0.59 +9.35% BUBBLE 2.3d
21 Jun 2024 01:00 21 Jun 2024 07:00 $0.57 $0.57 -0.13% BULL 7h
22 Jun 2024 01:00 22 Jun 2024 07:00 $0.56 $0.57 +0.00% BULL 7h
24 Jun 2024 06:00 25 Jun 2024 10:00 $0.55 $0.58 +3.86% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
25 Jun 2024 12:00 25 Jun 2024 14:00 $0.57 $0.57 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Jun 2024 01:00 28 Jun 2024 11:00 $0.55 $0.57 +3.04% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
28 Jun 2024 18:00 29 Jun 2024 13:00 $0.56 $0.56 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

75.6% Win Rate +157.6% Return -3.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees