POLPOLPolygon$0.081290+1.27%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated15:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 45 trades would have compounded to a final value of $63,359 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 45 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

POL — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.12
Alpha vs B&H
+509.65pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+23.94%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-3.08%
Sharpe Trend
-11.37
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — POL — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 45-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.49%
Avg Loss
-1.32%
Best Trade
+22.34%
Worst Trade
-2.40%
Avg Bars Held
22.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 21 (47%) Signal flip: 18 (40%) Short signal: 3 (7%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +533.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.51% on 8 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 100.0% +5.58% +88.89% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 25 84.0% +2.38% +78.20% 17h
BULL 8 100.0% +6.51% +64.21% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 45 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.18 $0.18 +0.68% BULL 1.6d
07 Jul 2025 18:00 11 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.18 $0.23 +22.34% BUBBLE 3.4d
11 Jul 2025 22:00 12 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.89% BUBBLE 10h
12 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.23 $0.24 +6.96% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.22 $0.23 +4.40% BUBBLE 24h
16 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.53% BUBBLE 13h
17 Jul 2025 02:00 18 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.23 $0.25 +8.38% BUBBLE 1.1d
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.24 $0.26 +7.12% BUBBLE 1.3d
22 Jul 2025 09:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.16% BUBBLE 17h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.84% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 27 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.56% BUBBLE 2.8d
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.13% BUBBLE 21h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 22:00 $0.20 $0.21 +8.28% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
05 Aug 2025 00:00 05 Aug 2025 10:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.50% BULL 11h
06 Aug 2025 01:00 09 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.21 $0.25 +18.04% SIDEWAYS 3.5d
11 Aug 2025 12:00 11 Aug 2025 18:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.39% BULL 7h
12 Aug 2025 07:00 14 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.26 +8.68% BULL 1.8d
14 Aug 2025 22:00 15 Aug 2025 04:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.23% BULL 7h
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.25 +5.54% BULL 13h
18 Aug 2025 03:00 19 Aug 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.27 +8.06% BULL 22h
20 Aug 2025 00:00 20 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.25 +4.62% BULL 22h
22 Aug 2025 02:00 22 Aug 2025 20:00 $0.24 $0.25 +6.62% SIDEWAYS 19h
22 Aug 2025 22:00 23 Aug 2025 04:00 $0.26 $0.25 -2.40% SIDEWAYS 7h
24 Aug 2025 07:00 24 Aug 2025 18:00 $0.25 $0.26 +4.42% SIDEWAYS 12h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 27 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.28% SIDEWAYS 14h
28 Aug 2025 17:00 29 Aug 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 8h
29 Aug 2025 09:00 29 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.24 $0.25 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
31 Aug 2025 02:00 31 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.26 $0.28 +9.69% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2025 07:00 01 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +2.45% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Sep 2025 18:00 03 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.28 $0.29 +4.26% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
04 Sep 2025 03:00 05 Sep 2025 07:00 $0.27 $0.29 +5.19% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
07 Sep 2025 01:00 07 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.28 $0.28 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 12h
07 Sep 2025 17:00 07 Sep 2025 19:00 $0.27 $0.28 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Sep 2025 03:00 09 Sep 2025 05:00 $0.27 $0.27 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Sep 2025 17:00 09 Sep 2025 20:00 $0.27 $0.27 -0.52% SIDEWAYS 4h
10 Sep 2025 01:00 13 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +5.53% SIDEWAYS 3.4d
17 Sep 2025 02:00 18 Sep 2025 03:00 $0.26 $0.26 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Sep 2025 05:00 18 Sep 2025 17:00 $0.26 $0.26 -0.11% SIDEWAYS 13h
22 Sep 2025 07:00 23 Sep 2025 08:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
28 Sep 2025 08:00 28 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.23 $0.22 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Sep 2025 14:00 29 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.68% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Sep 2025 13:00 29 Sep 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Sep 2025 17:00 29 Sep 2025 19:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Sep 2025 02:00 30 Sep 2025 05:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.26% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.1% Win Rate +533.6% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees