POLPOLPolygon$0.080270+1.54%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated19:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 102 trades would have compounded to a final value of $211,126 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 102 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+2,011.3%
$10,000 →
$211,126
Win Rate
87.3%
89W / 13L
Trades
102
Sharpe
11.58
Alpha vs B&H
+2,054.67pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-43.40%
Max Drawdown
-5.42%
Avg Drawdown
-4.08%
Sharpe Trend
-6.22
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — H2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 102-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.86%
Avg Loss
-1.61%
Best Trade
+22.34%
Worst Trade
-9.67%
Avg Bars Held
19.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 42 (41%) Signal flip: 42 (41%) Short signal: 7 (7%) Take-profit: 4 (4%) Trailing stop: 3 (3%) Stop-loss: 2 (2%) Regime exit: 2 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +2,011.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 102 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +5.20% on 14 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 63 84.1% +2.71% +423.47% 18h
BUBBLE 14 100.0% +5.20% +99.92% 1.2d
BULL 10 80.0% +4.18% +47.41% 24h
BEAR 15 93.3% +2.47% +43.47% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 102 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 16:00 $0.18 $0.18 +0.68% BULL 1.6d
07 Jul 2025 18:00 11 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.18 $0.23 +22.34% BUBBLE 3.4d
11 Jul 2025 22:00 12 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.89% BUBBLE 10h
12 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.23 $0.24 +6.96% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.22 $0.23 +4.40% BUBBLE 24h
16 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.53% BUBBLE 13h
17 Jul 2025 02:00 18 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.23 $0.25 +8.38% BUBBLE 1.1d
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.24 $0.26 +7.12% BUBBLE 1.3d
22 Jul 2025 09:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.16% BUBBLE 17h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.84% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 27 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.56% BUBBLE 2.8d
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.13% BUBBLE 21h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 22:00 $0.20 $0.21 +8.28% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
05 Aug 2025 00:00 05 Aug 2025 10:00 $0.21 $0.22 +3.50% BULL 11h
06 Aug 2025 01:00 09 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.21 $0.25 +18.04% SIDEWAYS 3.5d
11 Aug 2025 12:00 11 Aug 2025 18:00 $0.24 $0.24 +1.39% BULL 7h
12 Aug 2025 07:00 14 Aug 2025 01:00 $0.24 $0.26 +8.68% BULL 1.8d
14 Aug 2025 22:00 15 Aug 2025 04:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.23% BULL 7h
17 Aug 2025 02:00 17 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.25 +5.54% BULL 13h
18 Aug 2025 03:00 19 Aug 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.27 +8.06% BULL 22h
20 Aug 2025 00:00 20 Aug 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.25 +4.62% BULL 22h
22 Aug 2025 02:00 22 Aug 2025 20:00 $0.24 $0.25 +6.62% SIDEWAYS 19h
22 Aug 2025 22:00 23 Aug 2025 04:00 $0.26 $0.25 -2.40% SIDEWAYS 7h
24 Aug 2025 07:00 24 Aug 2025 18:00 $0.25 $0.26 +4.42% SIDEWAYS 12h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 27 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.28% SIDEWAYS 14h
28 Aug 2025 17:00 29 Aug 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 8h
29 Aug 2025 09:00 29 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.24 $0.25 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
31 Aug 2025 02:00 31 Aug 2025 11:00 $0.26 $0.28 +9.69% SIDEWAYS 10h
01 Sep 2025 07:00 01 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +2.45% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Sep 2025 18:00 03 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.28 $0.29 +4.26% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
04 Sep 2025 03:00 05 Sep 2025 07:00 $0.27 $0.29 +5.19% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
07 Sep 2025 01:00 07 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.28 $0.28 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 12h
07 Sep 2025 17:00 07 Sep 2025 19:00 $0.27 $0.28 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Sep 2025 03:00 09 Sep 2025 05:00 $0.27 $0.27 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Sep 2025 17:00 09 Sep 2025 20:00 $0.27 $0.27 -0.52% SIDEWAYS 4h
10 Sep 2025 01:00 13 Sep 2025 09:00 $0.27 $0.28 +5.53% SIDEWAYS 3.4d
17 Sep 2025 02:00 18 Sep 2025 03:00 $0.26 $0.26 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Sep 2025 05:00 18 Sep 2025 17:00 $0.26 $0.26 -0.11% SIDEWAYS 13h
22 Sep 2025 07:00 23 Sep 2025 08:00 $0.23 $0.23 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
28 Sep 2025 08:00 28 Sep 2025 12:00 $0.23 $0.22 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Sep 2025 14:00 29 Sep 2025 01:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.68% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Sep 2025 13:00 29 Sep 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Sep 2025 17:00 29 Sep 2025 19:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Sep 2025 02:00 30 Sep 2025 05:00 $0.22 $0.23 +0.26% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Sep 2025 16:00 02 Oct 2025 01:00 $0.22 $0.24 +8.04% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
02 Oct 2025 03:00 03 Oct 2025 05:00 $0.24 $0.24 -0.70% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
03 Oct 2025 16:00 03 Oct 2025 23:00 $0.24 $0.24 -1.55% SIDEWAYS 8h
04 Oct 2025 18:00 05 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 16h
06 Oct 2025 01:00 06 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.24 $0.25 +3.37% BUBBLE 13h
08 Oct 2025 04:00 09 Oct 2025 02:00 $0.24 $0.24 -0.62% BUBBLE 23h
10 Oct 2025 18:00 10 Oct 2025 21:00 $0.23 $0.21 -9.67% BULL 4h
12 Oct 2025 02:00 13 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.18 $0.20 +11.30% BULL 1.3d
13 Oct 2025 10:00 13 Oct 2025 16:00 $0.20 $0.21 +0.81% SIDEWAYS 7h
14 Oct 2025 06:00 15 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.20 $0.20 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Oct 2025 21:00 17 Oct 2025 00:00 $0.19 $0.19 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Oct 2025 07:00 19 Oct 2025 18:00 $0.18 $0.20 +8.16% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
19 Oct 2025 20:00 20 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.20 $0.20 +2.74% SIDEWAYS 11h
21 Oct 2025 05:00 21 Oct 2025 11:00 $0.19 $0.20 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Oct 2025 19:00 25 Oct 2025 20:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.88% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
26 Oct 2025 02:00 26 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.19 $0.20 +2.76% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Oct 2025 01:00 29 Oct 2025 11:00 $0.19 $0.20 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 11h
30 Oct 2025 18:00 31 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.18 $0.19 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 21h
31 Oct 2025 16:00 02 Nov 2025 05:00 $0.19 $0.19 +3.53% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
03 Nov 2025 21:00 04 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.17 $0.17 +2.78% SIDEWAYS 4h
04 Nov 2025 09:00 04 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.17 $0.17 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 3h
04 Nov 2025 20:00 05 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.16 $0.17 +6.53% SIDEWAYS 21h
06 Nov 2025 13:00 07 Nov 2025 21:00 $0.17 $0.18 +10.43% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
09 Nov 2025 03:00 10 Nov 2025 13:00 $0.17 $0.18 +5.45% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
10 Nov 2025 17:00 10 Nov 2025 22:00 $0.18 $0.18 +3.29% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Nov 2025 01:00 12 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.17 $0.17 -0.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Nov 2025 17:00 13 Nov 2025 08:00 $0.17 $0.18 +3.90% SIDEWAYS 16h
14 Nov 2025 23:00 15 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.15 $0.15 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 2h
15 Nov 2025 02:00 15 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.15 $0.16 +1.66% BEAR 16h
17 Nov 2025 19:00 18 Nov 2025 16:00 $0.14 $0.15 +4.69% BEAR 22h
19 Nov 2025 17:00 20 Nov 2025 12:00 $0.14 $0.15 +7.14% BEAR 20h
23 Nov 2025 02:00 23 Nov 2025 11:00 $0.14 $0.13 -0.92% BEAR 10h
24 Nov 2025 01:00 24 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.13 $0.14 +4.25% BEAR 17h
25 Nov 2025 15:00 26 Nov 2025 00:00 $0.13 $0.14 +1.91% BEAR 10h
26 Nov 2025 05:00 27 Nov 2025 03:00 $0.13 $0.14 +0.99% BEAR 23h
27 Nov 2025 05:00 27 Nov 2025 17:00 $0.14 $0.14 +0.39% BEAR 13h
01 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 15:00 $0.12 $0.13 +12.25% SIDEWAYS 23h
02 Dec 2025 17:00 02 Dec 2025 18:00 $0.13 $0.13 -1.09% SIDEWAYS 2h
05 Dec 2025 17:00 06 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.12 $0.12 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 1d
07 Dec 2025 14:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.99% SIDEWAYS 4h
07 Dec 2025 19:00 07 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.56% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 08 Dec 2025 22:00 $0.12 $0.12 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Dec 2025 01:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.12 $0.13 +4.67% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Dec 2025 04:00 11 Dec 2025 06:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 15:00 11 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.09% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Dec 2025 01:00 12 Dec 2025 03:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.08% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Dec 2025 16:00 13 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.12 $0.12 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 17h
13 Dec 2025 10:00 13 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Dec 2025 05:00 16 Dec 2025 14:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.92% SIDEWAYS 10h
16 Dec 2025 16:00 16 Dec 2025 18:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Dec 2025 21:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.11 $0.11 +3.12% BEAR 17h
19 Dec 2025 01:00 20 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +8.25% BEAR 1.3d
22 Dec 2025 03:00 22 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.83% BEAR 11h
23 Dec 2025 13:00 23 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.44% BEAR 4h
23 Dec 2025 18:00 23 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.72% BEAR 3h
26 Dec 2025 00:00 27 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
27 Dec 2025 11:00 28 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +3.80% SIDEWAYS 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
87.3% Win Rate +2,011.3% Return -5.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees