POLPOLPolygon$0.080270+1.54%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated19:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 57 trades would have compounded to a final value of $68,563 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 57 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+585.6%
$10,000 →
$68,563
Win Rate
93.0%
53W / 4L
Trades
57
Sharpe
11.83
Alpha vs B&H
+607.03pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-21.40%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-3.18%
Sharpe Trend
-10.84
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — Q1 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 57-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.22%
Avg Loss
-1.79%
Best Trade
+15.91%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
15.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 28 (49%) Signal flip: 12 (21%) Short signal: 10 (18%) Trailing stop: 4 (7%) Stop-loss: 2 (4%) Take-profit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +585.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 57 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.09% on 19 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 38 89.5% +3.16% +219.01% 17h
SIDEWAYS 19 100.0% +5.09% +152.64% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 57 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 05 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.12 $0.12 +5.30% SIDEWAYS 24h
05 Jan 2026 05:00 06 Jan 2026 11:00 $0.12 $0.13 +4.97% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
06 Jan 2026 13:00 06 Jan 2026 14:00 $0.13 $0.13 +2.63% SIDEWAYS 2h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 07 Jan 2026 08:00 $0.13 $0.13 +3.64% SIDEWAYS 15h
07 Jan 2026 10:00 09 Jan 2026 06:00 $0.13 $0.15 +15.67% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
09 Jan 2026 12:00 09 Jan 2026 13:00 $0.14 $0.15 +6.76% SIDEWAYS 2h
09 Jan 2026 20:00 10 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.15 $0.18 +15.91% SIDEWAYS 17h
10 Jan 2026 14:00 10 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.17 $0.18 +0.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Jan 2026 03:00 11 Jan 2026 04:00 $0.17 $0.18 +6.85% SIDEWAYS 2h
11 Jan 2026 15:00 11 Jan 2026 17:00 $0.16 $0.17 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Jan 2026 01:00 14 Jan 2026 05:00 $0.15 $0.16 +7.83% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
16 Jan 2026 16:00 17 Jan 2026 10:00 $0.14 $0.15 +5.79% SIDEWAYS 19h
19 Jan 2026 01:00 19 Jan 2026 03:00 $0.13 $0.14 +3.00% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Jan 2026 14:00 19 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.13 $0.14 +1.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Jan 2026 18:00 21 Jan 2026 15:00 $0.13 $0.14 +6.76% SIDEWAYS 22h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 26 Jan 2026 13:00 $0.12 $0.12 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 18h
27 Jan 2026 11:00 28 Jan 2026 10:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 24h
28 Jan 2026 17:00 28 Jan 2026 19:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.19% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 07:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.20% BEAR 6h
01 Feb 2026 11:00 01 Feb 2026 13:00 $0.11 $0.10 -1.54% BEAR 3h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 18:00 $0.10 $0.12 +10.91% BEAR 18h
02 Feb 2026 22:00 03 Feb 2026 08:00 $0.11 $0.12 +1.60% BEAR 11h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 21:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.38% BEAR 4h
04 Feb 2026 01:00 04 Feb 2026 09:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.69% BEAR 9h
04 Feb 2026 15:00 05 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.18% BEAR 11h
05 Feb 2026 21:00 05 Feb 2026 22:00 $0.09 $0.09 +4.54% BEAR 2h
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 05:00 $0.09 $0.10 +10.32% BEAR 5h
06 Feb 2026 07:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.95% BEAR 10h
09 Feb 2026 11:00 10 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.09 $0.10 +2.50% BEAR 15h
10 Feb 2026 19:00 11 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.36% BEAR 7h
11 Feb 2026 07:00 13 Feb 2026 02:00 $0.09 $0.10 +11.32% BEAR 1.8d
13 Feb 2026 05:00 14 Feb 2026 13:00 $0.10 $0.11 +10.81% BEAR 1.4d
15 Feb 2026 14:00 16 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.10 $0.11 +2.44% BEAR 12h
16 Feb 2026 08:00 18 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.95% BEAR 1.7d
18 Feb 2026 04:00 18 Feb 2026 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.16% BEAR 3h
19 Feb 2026 14:00 21 Feb 2026 14:00 $0.10 $0.11 +6.86% BEAR 2d
23 Feb 2026 02:00 23 Feb 2026 13:00 $0.10 $0.11 +6.85% BEAR 12h
24 Feb 2026 05:00 25 Feb 2026 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +8.71% BEAR 21h
25 Feb 2026 03:00 25 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.12 $0.11 -1.10% BEAR 13h
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 04:00 $0.11 $0.11 +3.96% BEAR 12h
27 Feb 2026 06:00 27 Feb 2026 07:00 $0.11 $0.12 +0.72% BEAR 2h
01 Mar 2026 02:00 01 Mar 2026 06:00 $0.11 $0.11 -2.25% BEAR 5h
01 Mar 2026 20:00 02 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.10 $0.11 +4.03% BEAR 6h
03 Mar 2026 09:00 04 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.10 $0.11 +5.18% BEAR 1.3d
07 Mar 2026 23:00 09 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.09 $0.10 +1.45% BEAR 1.9d
09 Mar 2026 22:00 11 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.49% BEAR 1.3d
11 Mar 2026 06:00 12 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.10 $0.10 +2.07% BEAR 1.2d
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 +3.29% BEAR 1.5d
16 Mar 2026 16:00 16 Mar 2026 17:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.88% BEAR 2h
19 Mar 2026 16:00 20 Mar 2026 16:00 $0.09 $0.10 +6.02% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Mar 2026 19:00 20 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Mar 2026 01:00 24 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.09 $0.10 +2.53% BEAR 1d
24 Mar 2026 03:00 25 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.94% BEAR 1.5d
26 Mar 2026 18:00 26 Mar 2026 22:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.55% BEAR 5h
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.09 $0.09 +3.65% BEAR 9h
30 Mar 2026 19:00 30 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.09 $0.09 +0.69% BEAR 5h
31 Mar 2026 10:00 31 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.09 $0.09 -2.25% BEAR 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
93.0% Win Rate +585.6% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees