XRPXRPXRP$1.1419+0.92%
24h High$1.16
24h Low$1.13
Volume$51.7M
Updated19:13 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XRP / XRP — March 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XRP XRP Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XRP - XRP. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the March 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 31 trades would have compounded to a final value of $22,857 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 31 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed for fast and inexpensive cross-border payments. Originally created by Ripple Labs, XRP can settle transactions in 3-5 seconds at minimal cost. After years of regulatory uncertainty with the SEC, XRP gained renewed institutional interest following favorable court rulings. Its price is heavily influenced by regulatory developments and partnership announcements, creating sharp momentum shifts that algorithmic models can capitalize on.

XRP — March 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

XRP (XRP) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
11.53
Alpha vs B&H
+133.68pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-5.12%
Max Drawdown
-0.27%
Avg Drawdown
-3.26%
Sharpe Trend
-8.43
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v5.0 (Kairos) is the current production model (live since 11 May 2026); v4.2 (Theros) was the predecessor; v4.0.1 (Pythia) and v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge during 2025; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+72.05%
▲ +56.51
Win Rate
89.5%
▲ +0.85
Sharpe
9.40
▲ +2.13
Alpha vs B&H
+77.16pp
▲ +56.52
Max DD
-0.97%
▲ +0.70
Avg DD
-2.83%
▼ -0.43
Risk / Reward
74.05×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+79.39%
▲ +49.17
Win Rate
61.9%
▲ +28.42
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +11.53
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +133.68
Max DD
-5.56%
▲ +5.29
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.26
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 THEROS THIS PAGE
Return
+128.56%
Win Rate
90.3%
Sharpe
11.53
Alpha vs B&H
+133.68pp
Max DD
-0.27%
Avg DD
-3.26%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
31

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

Day-by-day — XRP — March 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+19.1
3
+2.1
4
+3.8
5
+3.8
6
+1.7
7
+3.2
8
+1.0
9
+4.0
10
+1.8
11
12
+18.2
13
+2.1
14
+4.4
15
+1.3
16
17
+2.4
18
19
+11.6
20
+0.6
21
+0.7
22
23
+1.6
24
+2.4
25
+0.6
26
27
+0.2
28
29
+0.9
30
-0.1
31

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XRP over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 31-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.10%
Avg Loss
-0.14%
Best Trade
+15.98%
Worst Trade
-0.28%
Avg Bars Held
8.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 18 (58%) Forward-pred: 12 (39%) Take-profit: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +128.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 90.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.3%.
  • Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +4.04% on 7 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 24 87.5% +2.43% +75.23% 9h
BEAR 7 100.0% +4.04% +31.09% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 31 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 15:00 $2.25 $2.60 +14.77% BEAR 14h
02 Mar 2025 18:00 02 Mar 2025 23:00 $2.82 $2.94 +3.79% BEAR 6h
03 Mar 2025 09:00 03 Mar 2025 11:00 $2.57 $2.63 +2.14% BEAR 3h
03 Mar 2025 20:00 04 Mar 2025 18:00 $2.40 $2.49 +3.76% BEAR 23h
04 Mar 2025 20:00 05 Mar 2025 02:00 $2.49 $2.51 +0.46% BEAR 7h
05 Mar 2025 04:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $2.44 $2.51 +2.54% BEAR 7h
05 Mar 2025 14:00 05 Mar 2025 18:00 $2.48 $2.50 +0.80% BEAR 5h
06 Mar 2025 05:00 06 Mar 2025 09:00 $2.53 $2.57 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 03:00 $2.45 $2.47 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Mar 2025 17:00 07 Mar 2025 19:00 $2.42 $2.48 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Mar 2025 12:00 08 Mar 2025 14:00 $2.32 $2.35 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Mar 2025 18:00 09 Mar 2025 20:00 $2.11 $2.19 +3.97% SIDEWAYS 3h
09 Mar 2025 23:00 10 Mar 2025 02:00 $2.14 $2.18 +1.82% SIDEWAYS 4h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 01:00 $1.92 $2.23 +15.98% SIDEWAYS 1d
12 Mar 2025 03:00 12 Mar 2025 12:00 $2.21 $2.25 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 10h
12 Mar 2025 14:00 13 Mar 2025 02:00 $2.18 $2.24 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 13h
13 Mar 2025 18:00 13 Mar 2025 23:00 $2.25 $2.25 +0.00% SIDEWAYS 6h
14 Mar 2025 01:00 14 Mar 2025 16:00 $2.26 $2.37 +4.44% SIDEWAYS 16h
14 Mar 2025 18:00 15 Mar 2025 00:00 $2.35 $2.38 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 7h
17 Mar 2025 01:00 17 Mar 2025 03:00 $2.32 $2.36 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Mar 2025 06:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $2.33 $2.37 +1.35% SIDEWAYS 13h
18 Mar 2025 13:00 19 Mar 2025 13:00 $2.25 $2.52 +11.58% SIDEWAYS 1d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 20:00 $2.42 $2.45 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 4h
21 Mar 2025 13:00 21 Mar 2025 17:00 $2.38 $2.40 +0.69% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Mar 2025 01:00 23 Mar 2025 13:00 $2.37 $2.42 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 13h
23 Mar 2025 19:00 24 Mar 2025 16:00 $2.40 $2.46 +2.41% SIDEWAYS 22h
25 Mar 2025 04:00 25 Mar 2025 09:00 $2.42 $2.44 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 6h
27 Mar 2025 13:00 27 Mar 2025 15:00 $2.34 $2.34 -0.28% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 18:00 27 Mar 2025 22:00 $2.33 $2.35 +0.47% SIDEWAYS 5h
28 Mar 2025 17:00 29 Mar 2025 01:00 $2.17 $2.19 +0.87% SIDEWAYS 9h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 04:00 $2.17 $2.18 -0.15% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XRP signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading XRP Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XRP signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

90.3% Win Rate +128.6% Return -0.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees