ETHETHEthereum$1,726.23+1.25%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,698.15
Volume$232.4M
Updated17:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — April 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the April 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 12 trades would have compounded to a final value of $17,156 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — April 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+71.6%
$10,000 →
$17,156
Win Rate
100.0%
12W / 0L
Trades
12
Sharpe
17.01
Alpha vs B&H
+72.30pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-0.74%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-2.31%
Sharpe Trend
+9.03
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v5.0 (Kairos) is the current production model (live since 11 May 2026); v4.2 (Theros) was the predecessor; v4.0.1 (Pythia) and v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge during 2025; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+69.25%
▲ +2.31
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
16.78
▲ +0.23
Alpha vs B&H
+69.98pp
▲ +2.32
Max DD
0.00%
≈
Avg DD
-2.31%
≈
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+62.87%
▲ +8.69
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +17.01
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +72.30
Max DD
-2.95%
▲ +2.95
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.31
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 THEROS THIS PAGE
Return
+71.56%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
17.01
Alpha vs B&H
+72.30pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-2.31%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

Day-by-day — ETH — April 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+7.1
8
—
9
+16.5
10
—
11
—
12
+5.6
13
—
14
+5.4
15
—
16
—
17
+1.7
18
—
19
+2.1
20
—
21
+4.2
22
+11.8
23
—
24
—
25
+4.1
26
—
27
+2.7
28
+2.8
29
+1.7
30
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 12-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.48%
Avg Loss
0.00%
Best Trade
+16.49%
Worst Trade
1.70%
Avg Bars Held
21.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 8 (67%) Signal flip: 3 (25%) Take-profit: 1 (8%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +71.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +6.51% on 9 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 100.0% +6.51% +74.99% 1.1d
BULL 3 100.0% +2.41% +7.41% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $1,460.15 $1,569.62 +7.06% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $1,435.30 $1,673.63 +16.49% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 12 Apr 2025 09:00 $1,510.73 $1,597.50 +5.64% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 10:00 $1,590.76 $1,678.83 +5.43% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Apr 2025 10:00 17 Apr 2025 17:00 $1,581.62 $1,610.04 +1.70% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
18 Apr 2025 06:00 19 Apr 2025 18:00 $1,581.04 $1,615.19 +2.06% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 21 Apr 2025 07:00 $1,572.62 $1,645.92 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 21h
22 Apr 2025 00:00 22 Apr 2025 23:00 $1,568.93 $1,756.26 +11.83% SIDEWAYS 24h
24 Apr 2025 08:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $1,734.91 $1,808.34 +4.13% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
26 Apr 2025 12:00 27 Apr 2025 00:00 $1,791.70 $1,842.03 +2.71% BULL 13h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 10:00 $1,763.89 $1,815.39 +2.82% BULL 10h
28 Apr 2025 23:00 29 Apr 2025 08:00 $1,799.88 $1,832.50 +1.71% BULL 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +71.6% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees