RNDRRNDRRender$1.7180-1.43%
24h High$1.78
24h Low$1.70
Volume$3.1M
Updated17:58 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / RNDR / RNDR — July 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

RNDR Render Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for RNDR - Render. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the July 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 12 trades would have compounded to a final value of $17,831 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.

RNDR — July 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Render (RNDR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.57
Alpha vs B&H
+60.28pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+18.02%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-3.55%
Sharpe Trend
-0.63
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v5.0 (Kairos) is the current production model (live since 11 May 2026); v4.2 (Theros) was the predecessor; v4.0.1 (Pythia) and v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge during 2025; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+82.65%
▼ -4.34
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
14.99
▼ -1.42
Alpha vs B&H
+64.63pp
▼ -4.35
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-3.55%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
11
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+70.20%
▲ +8.11
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.57
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +60.28
Max DD
-5.40%
▲ +5.40
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.55
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 THEROS THIS PAGE
Return
+78.31%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
13.57
Alpha vs B&H
+60.28pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-3.55%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

Day-by-day — RNDR — July 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+1.9
8
9
+7.9
10
11
12
13
14
+7.4
15
16
+8.9
17
+2.4
18
19
+3.2
20
+5.7
21
22
+4.4
23
24
+4.0
25
26
+5.4
27
28
29
+3.0
30
31
+7.3

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for RNDR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 12-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.13%
Avg Loss
0.00%
Best Trade
+8.93%
Worst Trade
1.92%
Avg Bars Held
23.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 6 (50%) Signal flip: 5 (42%) Short signal: 1 (8%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +78.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.88% on 11 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 100.0% +4.88% +68.46% 22h
BULL 1 100.0% +7.89% +7.89% 1.9d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 04:00 07 Jul 2025 01:00 $3.16 $3.23 +1.92% BULL 22h
08 Jul 2025 02:00 09 Jul 2025 22:00 $3.12 $3.38 +7.89% BULL 1.9d
12 Jul 2025 15:00 14 Jul 2025 01:00 $3.54 $3.81 +7.36% BUBBLE 1.5d
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $3.73 $4.08 +8.93% BUBBLE 1.7d
17 Jul 2025 04:00 17 Jul 2025 06:00 $3.95 $4.06 +2.43% BUBBLE 3h
18 Jul 2025 21:00 19 Jul 2025 20:00 $4.05 $4.19 +3.17% BUBBLE 24h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 17:00 $4.14 $4.40 +5.72% BUBBLE 16h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $4.38 $4.59 +4.39% BUBBLE 19h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $4.00 $4.18 +4.03% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 26 Jul 2025 22:00 $4.01 $4.24 +5.41% BUBBLE 1.9d
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $4.06 $4.19 +3.02% BUBBLE 7h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 08:00 $3.75 $4.04 +7.27% BUBBLE 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live RNDR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Render Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time RNDR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +78.3% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees