XLMXLMStellar$0.212500-2.75%
24h High$0.22
24h Low$0.21
Volume$15.7M
Updated19:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / XLM / XLM — October 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

XLM Stellar Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for XLM - Stellar. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the October 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 22 trades would have compounded to a final value of $17,087 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 22 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Stellar (XLM) is an open-source network for cross-border payments and asset tokenization, originally forked from Ripple. With partnerships including MoneyGram and various central banks exploring CBDCs, XLM price responds to payments industry developments. Its lower volatility compared to other altcoins provides steadier trading patterns with reliable mean-reversion characteristics.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XLM Signals →

XLM — October 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Stellar (XLM) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+70.9%
$10,000 →
$17,087
Win Rate
86.4%
19W / 3L
Trades
22
Sharpe
14.73
Alpha vs B&H
+92.59pp
Risk / Reward
28.80×
B&H Return
-21.72%
Max Drawdown
-2.46%
Avg Drawdown
-2.61%
Sharpe Trend
+5.59
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — XLM — October 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+0.8
6
+2.3
7
—
8
+1.6
9
-2.5
10
+1.7
11
+7.3
12
—
13
+12.5
14
—
15
+2.3
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+4.2
21
+4.6
22
—
23
+3.3
24
+1.6
25
+2.6
26
+1.5
27
+0.3
28
+3.7
29
+0.8
30
—
31
+5.2

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for XLM over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 22-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.14%
Avg Loss
-1.92%
Best Trade
+12.12%
Worst Trade
-2.48%
Avg Bars Held
14.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 13 (59%) Signal flip: 6 (27%) Short signal: 2 (9%) Stop-loss: 1 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +70.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 86.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.84% on 15 trades, WR 93%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 93.3% +2.84% +51.21% 15h
BULL 3 66.7% +2.19% +6.46% 12h
BUBBLE 4 75.0% +1.18% +4.71% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 22 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Oct 2025 02:00 05 Oct 2025 07:00 $0.39 $0.41 +3.37% BUBBLE 6h
05 Oct 2025 09:00 05 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.41 $0.40 -2.48% BUBBLE 6h
05 Oct 2025 16:00 06 Oct 2025 22:00 $0.40 $0.41 +2.25% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Oct 2025 04:00 08 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.38 $0.39 +1.59% BUBBLE 14h
08 Oct 2025 19:00 09 Oct 2025 02:00 $0.39 $0.38 -2.46% BUBBLE 8h
09 Oct 2025 17:00 10 Oct 2025 10:00 $0.38 $0.38 +1.69% BULL 18h
10 Oct 2025 23:00 11 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.31 $0.34 +7.33% BULL 10h
11 Oct 2025 21:00 13 Oct 2025 08:00 $0.31 $0.35 +12.12% BULL 1.5d
13 Oct 2025 10:00 13 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.35 $0.35 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 8h
14 Oct 2025 07:00 15 Oct 2025 05:00 $0.33 $0.34 +2.29% SIDEWAYS 23h
19 Oct 2025 02:00 20 Oct 2025 09:00 $0.31 $0.33 +4.17% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
21 Oct 2025 09:00 21 Oct 2025 15:00 $0.31 $0.33 +4.63% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Oct 2025 22:00 23 Oct 2025 17:00 $0.30 $0.32 +3.32% SIDEWAYS 20h
24 Oct 2025 05:00 24 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.32 $0.32 +1.64% SIDEWAYS 9h
24 Oct 2025 15:00 25 Oct 2025 14:00 $0.32 $0.33 +3.49% SIDEWAYS 24h
25 Oct 2025 16:00 25 Oct 2025 19:00 $0.33 $0.33 -0.83% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Oct 2025 00:00 26 Oct 2025 22:00 $0.33 $0.33 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 23h
27 Oct 2025 00:00 27 Oct 2025 01:00 $0.33 $0.33 +0.28% SIDEWAYS 2h
28 Oct 2025 00:00 28 Oct 2025 06:00 $0.32 $0.34 +3.69% SIDEWAYS 7h
29 Oct 2025 04:00 29 Oct 2025 07:00 $0.32 $0.32 +0.75% SIDEWAYS 4h
30 Oct 2025 20:00 31 Oct 2025 13:00 $0.29 $0.31 +4.90% SIDEWAYS 18h
31 Oct 2025 17:00 31 Oct 2025 20:00 $0.30 $0.30 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live XLM signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Stellar Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XLM signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XLM Signals → View Plans →
86.4% Win Rate +70.9% Return -2.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees