ADAADACardano$0.160900+0.06%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.2M
Updated19:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the December 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 12 trades would have compounded to a final value of $13,336 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+33.4%
$10,000 →
$13,336
Win Rate
75.0%
9W / 3L
Trades
12
Sharpe
13.89
Alpha vs B&H
+53.13pp
Risk / Reward
46.61×
B&H Return
-19.77%
Max Drawdown
-0.72%
Avg Drawdown
-2.08%
Sharpe Trend
+3.88
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ADA — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+2.0
8
—
9
+11.2
10
—
11
+2.4
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+0.7
16
-0.2
17
-0.5
18
—
19
+6.2
20
—
21
—
22
+4.1
23
-0.3
24
—
25
—
26
+3.5
27
—
28
+5.7
29
+2.4
30
—
31
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 12-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.24%
Avg Loss
-0.34%
Best Trade
+11.19%
Worst Trade
-0.54%
Avg Bars Held
13.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 6 (50%) Signal flip: 5 (42%) Short signal: 1 (8%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +33.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 75.0%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.46% on 8 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 8 87.5% +3.46% +30.69% 13h
BEAR 4 50.0% +2.37% +9.66% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Dec 2025 09:00 07 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.42 $0.43 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 8h
08 Dec 2025 05:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.43 $0.48 +11.19% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
11 Dec 2025 17:00 11 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.41 $0.42 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Dec 2025 21:00 15 Dec 2025 23:00 $0.38 $0.39 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Dec 2025 14:00 16 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.39 $0.39 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Dec 2025 07:00 17 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.38 $0.38 -0.54% BEAR 6h
18 Dec 2025 21:00 19 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.35 $0.38 +6.19% BEAR 23h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 22 Dec 2025 14:00 $0.36 $0.38 +4.14% BEAR 1d
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.36 $0.36 -0.30% BEAR 5h
26 Dec 2025 00:00 26 Dec 2025 12:00 $0.34 $0.36 +3.45% SIDEWAYS 13h
27 Dec 2025 01:00 28 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.35 $0.37 +5.73% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Dec 2025 21:00 29 Dec 2025 01:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.38% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ADA Signals → View Plans →
75.0% Win Rate +33.4% Return -0.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees