LTCLTCLitecoin$44.4400+0.84%
24h High$44.63
24h Low$43.77
Volume$7.0M
Updated23:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the December 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 17 trades would have compounded to a final value of $13,131 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 17 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.93
Alpha vs B&H
+37.83pp
Risk / Reward
98.83×
B&H Return
-6.52%
Max Drawdown
-0.32%
Avg Drawdown
-2.67%
Sharpe Trend
-2.94
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — LTC — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+1.3
8
+4.1
9
+4.9
10
11
12
+2.5
13
14
15
+3.3
16
+3.2
17
-0.3
18
19
20
+6.6
21
22
+2.4
23
+1.0
24
25
+1.7
26
27
+5.2
28
29
30
31
-0.1

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 17-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.41%
Avg Loss
-0.21%
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-0.32%
Avg Bars Held
16.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 9 (53%) Signal flip: 4 (24%) Regime exit: 2 (12%) Trailing stop: 2 (12%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +31.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 88.2% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.3%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.29% on 10 trades, WR 90%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +2.29% +25.24% 17h
BEAR 7 85.7% +1.83% +13.46% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Dec 2025 02:00 07 Dec 2025 06:00 $82.11 $82.69 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 5h
07 Dec 2025 08:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $82.07 $83.04 +1.02% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 08 Dec 2025 21:00 $80.91 $84.32 +4.08% SIDEWAYS 24h
09 Dec 2025 06:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $82.85 $87.06 +4.94% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Dec 2025 09:00 12 Dec 2025 03:00 $80.86 $82.93 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 19h
14 Dec 2025 22:00 15 Dec 2025 05:00 $78.59 $81.16 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 8h
15 Dec 2025 07:00 15 Dec 2025 09:00 $80.83 $81.02 +0.13% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Dec 2025 17:00 16 Dec 2025 15:00 $76.84 $79.44 +3.24% SIDEWAYS 23h
16 Dec 2025 17:00 17 Dec 2025 00:00 $79.28 $79.14 -0.32% SIDEWAYS 8h
18 Dec 2025 20:00 20 Dec 2025 03:00 $73.51 $77.08 +4.71% BEAR 1.3d
20 Dec 2025 05:00 20 Dec 2025 17:00 $76.46 $77.00 +0.57% BEAR 13h
20 Dec 2025 20:00 20 Dec 2025 22:00 $77.37 $78.39 +1.22% BEAR 3h
21 Dec 2025 14:00 22 Dec 2025 13:00 $75.99 $78.11 +2.37% BEAR 24h
23 Dec 2025 15:00 23 Dec 2025 19:00 $76.29 $77.23 +1.04% BEAR 5h
24 Dec 2025 16:00 25 Dec 2025 18:00 $75.92 $77.35 +1.72% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
25 Dec 2025 23:00 27 Dec 2025 23:00 $76.24 $80.33 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 2d
30 Dec 2025 15:00 31 Dec 2025 00:00 $78.10 $78.10 -0.10% SIDEWAYS 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

88.2% Win Rate +31.3% Return -0.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees