POLPOLPolygon$0.080140+1.38%
24h High$0.08
24h Low$0.08
Volume$4.2M
Updated19:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / POL / POL — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

POL Polygon Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for POL - Polygon. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the December 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 18 trades would have compounded to a final value of $12,498 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+25.0%
$10,000 →
$12,498
Win Rate
88.9%
16W / 2L
Trades
18
Sharpe
11.39
Alpha vs B&H
+43.85pp
Risk / Reward
33.89×
B&H Return
-18.87%
Max Drawdown
-0.74%
Avg Drawdown
-1.85%
Sharpe Trend
-0.39
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — POL — December 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+2.6
8
+2.2
9
+4.7
10
—
11
+0.6
12
-0.1
13
+2.7
14
—
15
—
16
+1.0
17
—
18
+3.1
19
—
20
+8.3
21
—
22
+1.8
23
+1.2
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
+1.1
28
+3.8
29
—
30
—
31
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for POL over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 18-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.11%
Avg Loss
-0.41%
Best Trade
+8.25%
Worst Trade
-0.74%
Avg Bars Held
12.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 9 (50%) Forward-pred: 7 (39%) Regime exit: 1 (6%) Trailing stop: 1 (6%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +25.0%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.55% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +1.47% +18.98% 12h
BEAR 6 100.0% +2.55% +16.05% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Dec 2025 14:00 07 Dec 2025 17:00 $0.12 $0.12 +1.99% SIDEWAYS 4h
07 Dec 2025 19:00 07 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.56% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Dec 2025 22:00 08 Dec 2025 22:00 $0.12 $0.12 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Dec 2025 01:00 09 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.12 $0.13 +4.67% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Dec 2025 04:00 11 Dec 2025 06:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.51% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Dec 2025 15:00 11 Dec 2025 19:00 $0.12 $0.12 +0.09% SIDEWAYS 5h
12 Dec 2025 01:00 12 Dec 2025 03:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.08% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Dec 2025 16:00 13 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.12 $0.12 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 17h
13 Dec 2025 10:00 13 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.12 $0.12 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Dec 2025 05:00 16 Dec 2025 14:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.92% SIDEWAYS 10h
16 Dec 2025 16:00 16 Dec 2025 18:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Dec 2025 21:00 18 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.11 $0.11 +3.12% BEAR 17h
19 Dec 2025 01:00 20 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +8.25% BEAR 1.3d
22 Dec 2025 03:00 22 Dec 2025 13:00 $0.11 $0.11 +1.83% BEAR 11h
23 Dec 2025 13:00 23 Dec 2025 16:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.44% BEAR 4h
23 Dec 2025 18:00 23 Dec 2025 20:00 $0.11 $0.11 +0.72% BEAR 3h
26 Dec 2025 00:00 27 Dec 2025 09:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
27 Dec 2025 11:00 28 Dec 2025 08:00 $0.10 $0.11 +3.80% SIDEWAYS 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
88.9% Win Rate +25.0% Return -0.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees