ETHETHEthereum$1,730.22+1.49%
24h High$1,749.55
24h Low$1,698.15
Volume$232.5M
Updated17:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ETH - Ethereum. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the February 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 17 trades would have compounded to a final value of $16,730 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+67.3%
$10,000 →
$16,730
Win Rate
94.1%
16W / 1L
Trades
17
Sharpe
15.31
Alpha vs B&H
+86.94pp
Risk / Reward
92.82×
B&H Return
-19.64%
Max Drawdown
-0.73%
Avg Drawdown
-3.25%
Sharpe Trend
-2.41
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — ETH — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+3.1
3
+8.3
4
+1.8
5
—
6
+4.6
7
+3.1
8
—
9
+4.8
10
—
11
—
12
+0.7
13
—
14
+6.9
15
—
16
+1.8
17
—
18
-0.7
19
+1.4
20
+0.9
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
+13.5
26
+1.9
27
—
28
+4.1

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ETH over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 17-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.56%
Avg Loss
-0.73%
Best Trade
+13.54%
Worst Trade
-0.73%
Avg Bars Held
11.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 10 (59%) Short signal: 3 (18%) Signal flip: 3 (18%) Trailing stop: 1 (6%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +67.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 94.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +3.30% on 17 trades, WR 94%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 17 94.1% +3.30% +72.16% 12h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $2,291.29 $2,372.71 +3.13% BEAR 15h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $2,120.65 $2,299.46 +8.32% BEAR 3h
04 Feb 2026 18:00 04 Feb 2026 19:00 $2,147.97 $2,188.27 +1.77% BEAR 2h
06 Feb 2026 00:00 06 Feb 2026 05:00 $1,870.61 $1,958.69 +4.60% BEAR 6h
06 Feb 2026 18:00 07 Feb 2026 02:00 $2,044.61 $2,059.39 +0.62% BEAR 9h
07 Feb 2026 15:00 07 Feb 2026 20:00 $2,052.54 $2,105.32 +2.47% BEAR 6h
09 Feb 2026 11:00 09 Feb 2026 17:00 $2,028.23 $2,127.33 +4.78% BEAR 7h
12 Feb 2026 01:00 12 Feb 2026 09:00 $1,965.94 $1,982.43 +0.74% BEAR 9h
12 Feb 2026 22:00 14 Feb 2026 09:00 $1,942.97 $2,078.24 +6.86% BEAR 1.5d
16 Feb 2026 01:00 16 Feb 2026 12:00 $1,963.06 $2,006.24 +1.78% BEAR 12h
17 Feb 2026 13:00 18 Feb 2026 01:00 $1,990.53 $1,978.07 -0.73% BEAR 13h
18 Feb 2026 20:00 19 Feb 2026 02:00 $1,939.67 $1,968.06 +1.36% BEAR 7h
19 Feb 2026 15:00 20 Feb 2026 11:00 $1,926.30 $1,947.10 +0.94% BEAR 21h
24 Feb 2026 07:00 25 Feb 2026 20:00 $1,825.70 $2,075.00 +13.54% BEAR 1.6d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 26 Feb 2026 23:00 $1,988.43 $2,027.68 +1.87% BEAR 7h
27 Feb 2026 21:00 28 Feb 2026 01:00 $1,921.26 $1,924.61 +0.07% BEAR 5h
28 Feb 2026 14:00 28 Feb 2026 20:00 $1,887.75 $1,965.96 +4.04% BEAR 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
94.1% Win Rate +67.3% Return -0.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees