MOVRMOVRMoonriver$1.2780-1.24%
24h High$1.31
24h Low$1.24
Volume$438,344
Updated18:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for MOVR - Moonriver. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the February 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 15 trades would have compounded to a final value of $16,823 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+68.2%
$10,000 →
$16,823
Win Rate
86.7%
13W / 2L
Trades
15
Sharpe
15.39
Alpha vs B&H
+100.02pp
Risk / Reward
52.44×
B&H Return
-31.79%
Max Drawdown
-1.30%
Avg Drawdown
-3.16%
Sharpe Trend
-0.81
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — MOVR — February 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
+1.6
2
+3.9
3
+1.9
4
—
5
—
6
+9.8
7
—
8
—
9
+3.1
10
—
11
—
12
+6.9
13
—
14
+6.6
15
—
16
—
17
+1.4
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+1.8
22
—
23
—
24
+3.7
25
+6.3
26
—
27
+4.6
28
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for MOVR over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 15-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.20%
Avg Loss
-1.36%
Best Trade
+9.80%
Worst Trade
-2.60%
Avg Bars Held
16.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 8 (53%) Short signal: 5 (33%) Trailing stop: 1 (7%) Stop-loss: 1 (7%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +68.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 86.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +3.46% on 15 trades, WR 87%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 15 86.7% +3.46% +65.43% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 09:00 $1.86 $1.90 +1.63% BEAR 8h
02 Feb 2026 04:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $1.79 $1.86 +3.94% BEAR 12h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 22:00 $1.74 $1.78 +1.88% BEAR 5h
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 22:00 $1.46 $1.61 +9.80% BEAR 22h
09 Feb 2026 01:00 09 Feb 2026 05:00 $1.50 $1.51 -0.11% BEAR 5h
09 Feb 2026 09:00 09 Feb 2026 18:00 $1.47 $1.52 +3.22% BEAR 10h
11 Feb 2026 11:00 12 Feb 2026 09:00 $1.43 $1.53 +6.94% BEAR 23h
13 Feb 2026 05:00 14 Feb 2026 04:00 $1.45 $1.49 +2.44% BEAR 24h
14 Feb 2026 06:00 14 Feb 2026 18:00 $1.47 $1.53 +4.10% BEAR 13h
16 Feb 2026 16:00 17 Feb 2026 02:00 $1.46 $1.48 +1.44% BEAR 11h
18 Feb 2026 22:00 21 Feb 2026 04:00 $1.38 $1.41 +1.75% BEAR 2.3d
24 Feb 2026 06:00 24 Feb 2026 16:00 $1.23 $1.28 +3.73% BEAR 11h
24 Feb 2026 18:00 25 Feb 2026 03:00 $1.27 $1.24 -2.60% BEAR 10h
25 Feb 2026 05:00 25 Feb 2026 19:00 $1.24 $1.36 +9.17% BEAR 15h
26 Feb 2026 13:00 27 Feb 2026 08:00 $1.27 $1.33 +4.58% BEAR 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
86.7% Win Rate +68.2% Return -1.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees