BTCBTCBitcoin$64,300.01+1.19%
24h High$64,388.00
24h Low$63,184.21
Volume$626.8M
Updated23:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for BTC - Bitcoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the March 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 16 trades would have compounded to a final value of $13,606 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+36.1%
$10,000 →
$13,606
Win Rate
81.3%
13W / 3L
Trades
16
Sharpe
9.82
Alpha vs B&H
+33.67pp
Risk / Reward
15.99×
B&H Return
+2.39%
Max Drawdown
-2.25%
Avg Drawdown
-2.59%
Sharpe Trend
-20.53
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — BTC — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-2.3
2
+4.8
3
+2.5
4
+3.7
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+4.7
10
+2.8
11
—
12
—
13
+4.5
14
—
15
—
16
+4.2
17
—
18
—
19
+0.5
20
-0.5
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+3.4
25
+2.2
26
+0.3
27
—
28
+0.7
29
—
30
+2.4
31
-2.1

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for BTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 16-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.84%
Avg Loss
-1.60%
Best Trade
+4.82%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
16.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 8 (50%) Short signal: 3 (19%) Stop-loss: 2 (13%) Signal flip: 2 (13%) Trailing stop: 1 (6%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +36.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 81.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +2.29% on 14 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 14 85.7% +2.29% +36.91% 18h
SIDEWAYS 2 50.0% +0.01% +0.01% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Mar 2026 13:00 01 Mar 2026 20:00 $66,934.79 $65,766.64 -2.25% BEAR 8h
02 Mar 2026 09:00 02 Mar 2026 16:00 $66,168.62 $69,428.62 +4.82% BEAR 8h
03 Mar 2026 10:00 03 Mar 2026 18:00 $66,860.30 $68,628.49 +2.54% BEAR 9h
04 Mar 2026 08:00 04 Mar 2026 18:00 $71,011.40 $73,693.50 +3.67% BEAR 11h
08 Mar 2026 23:00 09 Mar 2026 14:00 $65,971.20 $69,151.50 +4.72% BEAR 16h
10 Mar 2026 03:00 10 Mar 2026 14:00 $69,429.85 $71,467.81 +2.83% BEAR 12h
11 Mar 2026 03:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $69,551.91 $72,784.73 +4.54% BEAR 2.4d
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 22:00 $71,450.53 $74,772.66 +4.22% BEAR 1.9d
19 Mar 2026 17:00 19 Mar 2026 19:00 $69,854.16 $70,271.99 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Mar 2026 08:00 20 Mar 2026 22:00 $71,042.23 $70,767.85 -0.49% SIDEWAYS 15h
22 Mar 2026 20:00 24 Mar 2026 01:00 $68,176.46 $70,623.11 +3.44% BEAR 1.3d
24 Mar 2026 14:00 25 Mar 2026 10:00 $69,869.93 $71,501.39 +2.23% BEAR 21h
26 Mar 2026 19:00 26 Mar 2026 23:00 $68,534.36 $68,820.31 +0.32% BEAR 5h
28 Mar 2026 02:00 28 Mar 2026 07:00 $66,053.20 $66,561.48 +0.67% BEAR 6h
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 12:00 $66,010.93 $67,899.59 +2.44% BEAR 14h
31 Mar 2026 01:00 31 Mar 2026 09:00 $67,938.54 $66,626.38 -2.07% BEAR 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
81.3% Win Rate +36.1% Return -2.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees