LTCLTCLitecoin$44.1300-0.02%
24h High$44.43
24h Low$43.73
Volume$7.0M
Updated17:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / LTC / LTC — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

LTC Litecoin Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for LTC - Litecoin. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the March 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 20 trades would have compounded to a final value of $14,316 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 20 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Litecoin (LTC) was created in 2011 by Charlie Lee as a lighter, faster alternative to Bitcoin. With 2.5-minute block times and a supply cap of 84 million, LTC has maintained its position as one of the oldest and most liquid altcoins. Litecoin often leads Bitcoin in halving-cycle price movements and has shown reliable mean-reversion patterns, making it well-suited for systematic trading strategies.

LTC — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Litecoin (LTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.63
Alpha vs B&H
+43.28pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-0.12%
Max Drawdown
-0.10%
Avg Drawdown
-2.23%
Sharpe Trend
-8.60
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — LTC — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+2.3
4
+6.1
5
6
+0.6
7
+0.7
8
9
10
+4.2
11
12
+1.4
13
+3.6
14
+0.6
15
16
+5.5
17
+0.8
18
19
+0.8
20
21
+3.0
22
23
24
+2.1
25
+2.6
26
-0.1
27
+0.3
28
+2.1
29
30
+0.8
31

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for LTC over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 20-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+1.97%
Avg Loss
-0.10%
Best Trade
+6.07%
Worst Trade
-0.10%
Avg Bars Held
19.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 13 (65%) Forward-pred: 5 (25%) Trailing stop: 2 (10%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +43.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 95.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.1%.
  • Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +1.97% on 17 trades, WR 94%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 17 94.1% +1.97% +38.94% 21h
SIDEWAYS 3 100.0% +1.26% +3.81% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 20 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Mar 2026 20:00 03 Mar 2026 03:00 $52.85 $54.33 +2.26% BEAR 1.3d
03 Mar 2026 05:00 04 Mar 2026 19:00 $54.19 $57.57 +6.07% BEAR 1.6d
06 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 22:00 $53.66 $54.04 +0.55% BEAR 5h
07 Mar 2026 07:00 07 Mar 2026 09:00 $53.58 $54.03 +0.71% BEAR 3h
08 Mar 2026 17:00 10 Mar 2026 14:00 $52.59 $54.89 +4.24% BEAR 1.9d
10 Mar 2026 19:00 12 Mar 2026 01:00 $53.85 $54.65 +1.38% BEAR 1.3d
12 Mar 2026 03:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $54.25 $56.25 +3.58% BEAR 1.4d
13 Mar 2026 23:00 14 Mar 2026 02:00 $55.23 $55.59 +0.55% BEAR 4h
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 19:00 $55.15 $58.43 +5.51% BEAR 1.8d
17 Mar 2026 13:00 17 Mar 2026 15:00 $57.50 $58.07 +0.83% BEAR 3h
18 Mar 2026 17:00 19 Mar 2026 00:00 $55.53 $55.82 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 8h
19 Mar 2026 08:00 19 Mar 2026 10:00 $55.12 $55.41 +0.40% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Mar 2026 13:00 21 Mar 2026 00:00 $54.68 $56.41 +3.03% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
22 Mar 2026 13:00 24 Mar 2026 13:00 $54.28 $55.51 +2.12% BEAR 2d
24 Mar 2026 15:00 25 Mar 2026 13:00 $55.62 $56.61 +1.68% BEAR 23h
25 Mar 2026 16:00 25 Mar 2026 22:00 $56.10 $56.67 +0.92% BEAR 7h
26 Mar 2026 20:00 26 Mar 2026 22:00 $54.76 $54.76 -0.10% BEAR 3h
27 Mar 2026 11:00 27 Mar 2026 14:00 $53.84 $54.06 +0.31% BEAR 4h
28 Mar 2026 01:00 28 Mar 2026 13:00 $53.45 $54.61 +2.07% BEAR 13h
29 Mar 2026 23:00 30 Mar 2026 09:00 $53.26 $53.90 +0.79% BEAR 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live LTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Litecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time LTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

95.0% Win Rate +43.2% Return -0.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees