ACHACHAlchemy Pay$0.00516000+1.57%
24h High$0.01
24h Low$0.01
Volume$380,512
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / ACH
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

ACH Alchemy Pay (ACH) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for ACH - Alchemy Pay. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 1,004 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $131,354. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.00516000 (+1.57%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Alchemy Pay (ACH) is a global on-ramp/off-ramp solution that bridges crypto and fiat payments for merchants and exchanges. ACH price moves with adoption metrics, partnerships and broader payment-rail narratives. Multi-year history makes it a robust training target.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View ACH Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.61
Sortino Ratio
3.38
Profit Factor
1.63
Calmar Ratio
12.86
Win Rate
42.4%
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Avg Drawdown
-19.06%
Alpha vs B&H
+9,202.1pp
Total Trades
1,004
Exposure
60.9%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
ACH

ACH Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-0.3%
10t
+7.1%
42t
+4.7%
43t
+26.3%
46t
+7.4%
48t
+16.6%
43t
+37.0%
45t
+80.4%
39t
+44.5%
45t
 +531.2%
2025
+16.5%
40t
+34.0%
42t
+20.3%
44t
+70.7%
44t
-3.3%
46t
+3.4%
48t
+12.2%
39t
+10.3%
35t
-0.4%
29t
+32.5%
27t
+16.7%
37t
+12.1%
42t
 +584.7%
2026
+26.3%
34t
+7.2%
37t
+2.1%
37t
+32.8%
46t
+0.2%
16t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +84.0%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,213.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -19.1% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 1004 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.73% on 85 trades, WR 68%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.62% on 298 trades, WR 15%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for ACH over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 11 81.8% +2.23% 9.41 12.2
BULL 85 68.2% +2.73% 7.29 14.4
BEAR 445 52.8% +0.70% 2.31 11.4

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+15.6%
Win Rate
52.0%
26W / 24L
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
€10,000 Invested
€11,559
1.2x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
20 May 2026 14:00 20 May 2026 16:00 $0.0069000 $0.0070000 +0.02% BEAR 3 signal
19 May 2026 23:00 20 May 2026 02:00 $0.0069000 $0.0070000 +1.04% BEAR 4 signal
18 May 2026 19:00 18 May 2026 21:00 $0.0070000 $0.0070000 -0.27% BEAR 3 signal
18 May 2026 08:00 18 May 2026 17:00 $0.0071000 $0.0070000 -1.46% BEAR 10 stop
16 May 2026 10:00 18 May 2026 00:00 $0.0073000 $0.0072000 -1.46% BEAR 39 stop
15 May 2026 06:00 16 May 2026 09:00 $0.0076000 $0.0076000 -1.46% BEAR 28 stop
15 May 2026 00:00 15 May 2026 05:00 $0.0078000 $0.0077000 -1.46% BEAR 6 stop
14 May 2026 18:00 14 May 2026 22:00 $0.0079000 $0.0078000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 5 stop
14 May 2026 09:00 14 May 2026 14:00 $0.0079000 $0.0079000 -0.28% BEAR 6 signal
14 May 2026 04:00 14 May 2026 06:00 $0.0080000 $0.0080000 -0.41% BEAR 3 signal
05 May 2026 21:00 06 May 2026 04:00 $0.0079000 $0.0081000 +2.23% NEUTRAL 8 signal
04 May 2026 16:00 05 May 2026 11:00 $0.0077000 $0.0076000 -1.32% BEAR 20 signal
03 May 2026 02:00 03 May 2026 04:00 $0.0079000 $0.0081000 +1.72% BEAR 3 signal
01 May 2026 21:00 02 May 2026 07:00 $0.0072000 $0.0075000 +3.47% BEAR 11 exit_fp
01 May 2026 07:00 01 May 2026 15:00 $0.0073000 $0.0073000 -0.14% BEAR 9 signal
01 May 2026 01:00 01 May 2026 04:00 $0.0073000 $0.0075000 +1.64% BEAR 4 signal
30 Apr 2026 14:00 30 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0075000 $0.0075000 -0.41% BEAR 7 signal
30 Apr 2026 09:00 30 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0075000 $0.0077000 +2.37% BEAR 4 signal
30 Apr 2026 04:00 30 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.0070000 $0.0076000 +7.10% NEUTRAL 4 signal
29 Apr 2026 08:00 29 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0072000 $0.0072000 -0.27% BEAR 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 13:00 27 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0068000 $0.0069000 +0.91% BEAR 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 08:00 27 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0066000 $0.0067000 +0.19% BEAR 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 01:00 27 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0065000 $0.0066000 +1.74% NEUTRAL 6 exit_fp
26 Apr 2026 02:00 26 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.0064000 $0.0065000 +0.84% BEAR 3 signal
25 Apr 2026 18:00 25 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0064000 $0.0064000 -0.25% BEAR 3 signal
25 Apr 2026 07:00 25 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0064000 $0.0065000 +1.15% NEUTRAL 5 signal
23 Apr 2026 18:00 25 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.0061000 $0.0064000 +4.13% BEAR 36 signal
23 Apr 2026 10:00 23 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0061000 $0.0062000 +1.39% BEAR 6 signal
23 Apr 2026 00:00 23 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.0062000 $0.0061000 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
22 Apr 2026 10:00 22 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.0064000 $0.0064000 +0.22% BEAR 8 signal
21 Apr 2026 18:00 22 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0062000 $0.0063000 +1.19% BEAR 9 signal
21 Apr 2026 14:00 21 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0063000 $0.0063000 +0.07% BEAR 3 signal
21 Apr 2026 07:00 21 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0063000 $0.0063000 -0.25% BEAR 4 signal
20 Apr 2026 20:00 21 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.0064000 $0.0064000 -0.57% BEAR 5 signal
20 Apr 2026 13:00 20 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0064000 $0.0065000 +1.00% BEAR 6 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 23:00 20 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0060000 $0.0064000 +5.92% BEAR 14 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 17:00 19 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.0061000 $0.0061000 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
18 Apr 2026 14:00 19 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0063000 $0.0062000 -1.46% CRASH 13 stop
18 Apr 2026 09:00 18 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.0064000 $0.0063000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
18 Apr 2026 01:00 18 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0065000 $0.0066000 +0.51% BEAR 6 signal
15 Apr 2026 16:00 15 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0059000 $0.0060000 +0.26% BEAR 3 signal
13 Apr 2026 16:00 13 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.0060000 $0.0060000 -0.08% CRASH 4 signal
12 Apr 2026 07:00 12 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0058000 $0.0061000 +5.64% BEAR 14 exit_fp
12 Apr 2026 00:00 12 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0059000 $0.0058000 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
11 Apr 2026 16:00 11 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0058000 $0.0059000 +0.79% BEAR 3 signal
11 Apr 2026 04:00 11 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.0058000 $0.0059000 -0.24% BEAR 5 signal
10 Apr 2026 01:00 10 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0058000 $0.0059000 +1.13% BEAR 12 signal
09 Apr 2026 18:00 10 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.0059000 $0.0059000 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
09 Apr 2026 01:00 09 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0058000 $0.0060000 +2.34% BEAR 16 signal
08 Apr 2026 16:00 08 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.0060000 $0.0059000 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop

Start Trading Alchemy Pay Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time ACH signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

Get Started → ACH Signals → View Plans →
42.4% Win Rate Sharpe 2.61 1,004 Trades -19.1% Max Drawdown