DIADIADIA$0.120200+1.86%
24h High$0.12
24h Low$0.12
Volume$91,355
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / DIA
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

DIA DIA (DIA) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for DIA - DIA. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 793 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $114,431. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.120200 (+1.86%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

DIA (DIA) is an open-source oracle network providing transparent, customizable price and data feeds across multiple chains. Listed since 2020, DIA has full multi-cycle history. Price tends to track oracle-sector rotations alongside Chainlink and competing protocols, with periodic catalysts from new chain integrations.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View DIA Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.97
Sortino Ratio
3.60
Profit Factor
1.74
Calmar Ratio
19.49
Win Rate
42.4%
Max Drawdown
-11.4%
Avg Drawdown
-11.44%
Alpha vs B&H
+7,510.5pp
Total Trades
793
Exposure
56.8%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
DIA

DIA Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-0.2%
6t
+2.6%
30t
+26.4%
39t
+11.0%
27t
+12.4%
32t
+11.2%
26t
+25.2%
32t
+39.8%
37t
+37.7%
41t
 +332.7%
2025 +22.4%
27t
 		+53.9%
31t
 		+19.6%
35t
 		+26.6%
25t
 		-9.9%
35t
 		+3.4%
25t
 		+40.2%
25t
 		+3.5%
36t
 		-1.5%
31t
 		+28.4%
24t
 		+17.4%
40t
 		+6.7%
36t
 		+510.8%
2026 +6.0%
22t
 		+29.7%
35t
 		+7.5%
41t
 		+59.6%
34t
+8.7%
21t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +156.3%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,044.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 793 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.23% on 49 trades, WR 67%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.33% on 239 trades, WR 16%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for DIA over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 49 67.4% +2.23% 7.40 10.3
BULL 97 44.3% +0.90% 2.18 12.5
BEAR 311 55.3% +0.84% 2.43 14.5

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+30.8%
Win Rate
50.0%
25W / 25L
Max Drawdown
-4.2%
€10,000 Invested
€13,082
1.3x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
17 May 2026 18:00 17 May 2026 23:00 $0.18070 $0.17900 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
16 May 2026 10:00 17 May 2026 17:00 $0.17810 $0.18110 +1.13% BEAR 32 trail
15 May 2026 14:00 16 May 2026 09:00 $0.18950 $0.18770 -1.46% CRASH 20 stop
14 May 2026 23:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.19910 $0.19720 -1.46% CRASH 15 stop
14 May 2026 08:00 14 May 2026 22:00 $0.19600 $0.20060 +1.80% BEAR 15 trail
13 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 07:00 $0.19900 $0.19710 -1.46% BEAR 16 stop
13 May 2026 13:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $0.20740 $0.20540 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
12 May 2026 14:00 13 May 2026 12:00 $0.21120 $0.20920 -1.46% BEAR 23 stop
12 May 2026 02:00 12 May 2026 08:00 $0.21440 $0.21450 -0.36% BULL 7 signal
11 May 2026 00:00 11 May 2026 03:00 $0.21520 $0.21320 -1.46% BULL 4 stop
10 May 2026 20:00 10 May 2026 23:00 $0.21670 $0.21470 -1.46% BULL 4 stop
10 May 2026 06:00 10 May 2026 17:00 $0.21220 $0.21850 +2.55% NEUTRAL 12 signal
09 May 2026 14:00 10 May 2026 05:00 $0.20460 $0.21690 +5.45% BEAR 16 trail
08 May 2026 13:00 08 May 2026 17:00 $0.20480 $0.21040 +2.31% NEUTRAL 5 signal
07 May 2026 11:00 07 May 2026 14:00 $0.20700 $0.20480 -1.47% NEUTRAL 4 signal
07 May 2026 02:00 07 May 2026 09:00 $0.19970 $0.20730 +3.38% NEUTRAL 8 exit_fp
07 May 2026 00:00 07 May 2026 01:00 $0.20280 $0.20090 -1.46% BULL 2 stop
05 May 2026 23:00 06 May 2026 01:00 $0.19300 $0.19460 +0.42% NEUTRAL 3 signal
03 May 2026 12:00 05 May 2026 21:00 $0.18940 $0.19340 +1.69% NEUTRAL 58 signal
02 May 2026 13:00 02 May 2026 15:00 $0.18950 $0.19130 +0.54% BEAR 3 signal
30 Apr 2026 05:00 02 May 2026 07:00 $0.18170 $0.19070 +4.52% BEAR 51 signal
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.18600 $0.18420 -1.46% CRASH 13 stop
29 Apr 2026 06:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.19130 $0.18950 -1.46% BEAR 10 stop
27 Apr 2026 08:00 29 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.18810 $0.19030 +0.64% NEUTRAL 44 trail
26 Apr 2026 20:00 27 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.19560 $0.19380 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
26 Apr 2026 11:00 26 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.19840 $0.19650 -1.46% NEUTRAL 9 stop
25 Apr 2026 05:00 26 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.20240 $0.20050 -1.46% NEUTRAL 30 stop
25 Apr 2026 00:00 25 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.19890 $0.20460 +2.45% BEAR 4 signal
24 Apr 2026 11:00 24 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.20030 $0.20260 +0.73% BEAR 4 signal
22 Apr 2026 21:00 23 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.19120 $0.19660 +2.40% NEUTRAL 25 signal
21 Apr 2026 20:00 22 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.18750 $0.19120 +1.46% NEUTRAL 25 trail
21 Apr 2026 00:00 21 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.18990 $0.18810 -1.46% BEAR 20 stop
20 Apr 2026 14:00 20 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.19220 $0.19370 +0.37% BEAR 7 signal
20 Apr 2026 06:00 20 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.19430 $0.19250 -1.46% BEAR 8 stop
19 Apr 2026 14:00 20 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.18440 $0.19500 +5.32% CRASH 14 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 03:00 19 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.19020 $0.19910 +4.25% CRASH 8 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 01:00 19 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.20040 $0.19850 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
18 Apr 2026 07:00 18 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.19260 $0.20630 +6.68% BEAR 6 exit_fp
18 Apr 2026 01:00 18 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.19670 $0.22570 +14.27% NEUTRAL 5 exit_fp
17 Apr 2026 05:00 17 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.18240 $0.20300 +10.84% CRASH 3 signal
14 Apr 2026 13:00 16 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.17660 $0.18270 +3.03% BEAR 51 signal
13 Apr 2026 19:00 14 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.17340 $0.17710 +1.62% BEAR 18 trail
12 Apr 2026 05:00 13 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.17800 $0.17630 -1.46% CRASH 38 stop
10 Apr 2026 04:00 12 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.17960 $0.17790 -1.46% CRASH 49 stop
07 Apr 2026 10:00 10 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.18150 $0.17980 -1.46% BEAR 66 stop
06 Apr 2026 23:00 07 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.18620 $0.18440 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
06 Apr 2026 18:00 06 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.18810 $0.18770 -0.62% BEAR 4 signal
06 Apr 2026 10:00 06 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.18580 $0.18810 +0.82% BEAR 8 exit_fp
05 Apr 2026 22:00 06 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.17490 $0.18580 +5.80% BEAR 12 exit_fp
05 Apr 2026 07:00 05 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.17820 $0.17650 -1.46% BEAR 15 stop

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42.4% Win Rate Sharpe 2.97 793 Trades -11.4% Max Drawdown