GASGASGas$1.1240+2.37%
24h High$1.12
24h Low$1.09
Volume$109,251
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / GAS
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

GAS Gas (GAS) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for GAS - Gas. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 737 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $282,250. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 1 Walk-Forward Cycle Apr 2024 – May 2026 $1.1240 (+2.37%)
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Gas (GAS) is the utility token of the Neo blockchain, used to pay for transactions, smart contract deployment, and storage on the network. While smaller in market cap, GAS exhibits high volatility and strong momentum patterns. Its lower liquidity compared to large-cap assets means larger percentage swings, which our model exploits through careful position sizing and regime-aware entry timing.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.18
Sortino Ratio
3.30
Profit Factor
1.97
Calmar Ratio
22.46
Win Rate
50.1%
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Avg Drawdown
-17.74%
Alpha vs B&H
+9,950.7pp
Total Trades
737
Exposure
41.0%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
GAS

GAS Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
-4.2%
6t
+21.4%
23t
+11.4%
36t
+32.0%
29t
+5.7%
43t
+9.5%
30t
+21.4%
19t
+16.8%
16t
+25.9%
37t
+253.0%
2025 +26.4%
37t
+34.5%
32t
+7.0%
43t
+74.4%
32t
-6.9%
41t
+21.3%
29t
+3.1%
17t
+16.2%
17t
+3.3%
22t
+21.4%
24t
+4.9%
38t
+5.6%
30t
+496.1%
2026 +13.4%
25t
+56.3%
48t
+9.8%
33t
+14.9%
19t
-2.6%
11t
+117.8%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +2,722.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Large drawdown: -17.7% — expect volatility on capital.
  • Robust sample: 737 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.09% on 21 trades, WR 76%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for GAS over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 4 75.0% +1.99% 42.95 22.2
BULL 21 76.2% +2.09% 7.72 21.2
BEAR 177 50.3% +0.80% 2.23 12.9

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
18 May 2026 00:00 19 May 2026 22:00 $1.542 $1.558 +0.80% NEUTRAL 47 trail
16 May 2026 07:00 17 May 2026 23:00 $1.574 $1.557 -1.33% BEAR 41 stop
16 May 2026 01:00 16 May 2026 06:00 $1.620 $1.603 -1.33% BEAR 6 stop
15 May 2026 20:00 15 May 2026 22:00 $1.608 $1.616 +0.31% CRASH 3 signal
15 May 2026 14:00 15 May 2026 17:00 $1.601 $1.628 +1.49% CRASH 4 signal
13 May 2026 14:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $1.684 $1.666 -1.33% CRASH 48 stop
13 May 2026 12:00 13 May 2026 13:00 $1.720 $1.702 -1.37% BEAR 2 stop
12 May 2026 10:00 12 May 2026 17:00 $1.722 $1.704 -1.33% BEAR 8 stop
07 May 2026 02:00 07 May 2026 04:00 $1.644 $1.660 +0.78% NEUTRAL 3 signal
02 May 2026 05:00 04 May 2026 21:00 $1.609 $1.621 +0.55% BEAR 65 signal
29 Apr 2026 20:00 02 May 2026 04:00 $1.603 $1.611 +0.24% BEAR 57 trail
29 Apr 2026 16:00 29 Apr 2026 19:00 $1.621 $1.604 -1.33% CRASH 4 stop
28 Apr 2026 15:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $1.646 $1.628 -1.33% BEAR 25 stop
23 Apr 2026 20:00 25 Apr 2026 12:00 $1.633 $1.664 +1.70% NEUTRAL 41 signal
23 Apr 2026 05:00 23 Apr 2026 19:00 $1.653 $1.635 -1.33% BEAR 15 stop
23 Apr 2026 00:00 23 Apr 2026 04:00 $1.673 $1.655 -1.33% CRASH 5 stop
21 Apr 2026 19:00 21 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.679 $1.693 +0.64% NEUTRAL 5 signal
19 Apr 2026 23:00 21 Apr 2026 06:00 $1.656 $1.688 +1.66% NEUTRAL 32 trail
19 Apr 2026 09:00 19 Apr 2026 22:00 $1.680 $1.662 -1.33% BEAR 14 stop
19 Apr 2026 01:00 19 Apr 2026 04:00 $1.681 $1.685 +0.05% CRASH 4 signal
18 Apr 2026 17:00 18 Apr 2026 22:00 $1.720 $1.714 -0.54% CRASH 6 signal
18 Apr 2026 10:00 18 Apr 2026 16:00 $1.746 $1.727 -1.33% CRASH 7 stop
15 Apr 2026 09:00 16 Apr 2026 06:00 $1.655 $1.696 +2.28% NEUTRAL 22 signal
07 Apr 2026 22:00 09 Apr 2026 03:00 $1.703 $1.703 -0.19% NEUTRAL 30 signal
07 Apr 2026 14:00 07 Apr 2026 21:00 $1.648 $1.703 +3.14% BEAR 8 exit_fp
07 Apr 2026 05:00 07 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.657 $1.648 -0.73% CRASH 9 signal
05 Apr 2026 14:00 05 Apr 2026 16:00 $1.729 $1.773 +2.35% BEAR 3 signal
03 Apr 2026 01:00 03 Apr 2026 05:00 $1.571 $1.703 +8.20% NEUTRAL 5 exit_fp
01 Apr 2026 03:00 01 Apr 2026 15:00 $1.565 $1.651 +5.30% BEAR 13 exit_fp
31 Mar 2026 22:00 01 Apr 2026 01:00 $1.584 $1.567 -1.33% CRASH 4 stop
31 Mar 2026 09:00 31 Mar 2026 13:00 $1.546 $1.558 +0.58% CRASH 5 signal
31 Mar 2026 04:00 31 Mar 2026 08:00 $1.568 $1.551 -1.33% BEAR 5 stop
29 Mar 2026 13:00 29 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.516 $1.524 +0.34% CRASH 3 signal
28 Mar 2026 07:00 29 Mar 2026 11:00 $1.571 $1.554 -1.33% CRASH 29 stop
27 Mar 2026 16:00 27 Mar 2026 18:00 $1.528 $1.523 -0.52% CRASH 3 signal
27 Mar 2026 12:00 27 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.529 $1.528 -0.26% CRASH 4 signal
25 Mar 2026 07:00 25 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.598 $1.605 +0.28% CRASH 4 signal
23 Mar 2026 11:00 24 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.522 $1.621 +6.33% NEUTRAL 24 exit_fp
23 Mar 2026 02:00 23 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.512 $1.496 -1.31% CRASH 9 stop
22 Mar 2026 09:00 23 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.540 $1.524 -1.33% BEAR 17 stop
19 Mar 2026 14:00 22 Mar 2026 08:00 $1.570 $1.553 -1.31% CRASH 67 stop
18 Mar 2026 18:00 18 Mar 2026 21:00 $1.590 $1.585 -0.47% CRASH 4 signal
18 Mar 2026 13:00 18 Mar 2026 17:00 $1.590 $1.590 -0.16% CRASH 5 signal
18 Mar 2026 10:00 18 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.627 $1.609 -1.31% CRASH 3 stop
17 Mar 2026 09:00 17 Mar 2026 11:00 $1.637 $1.641 +0.08% CRASH 3 signal
17 Mar 2026 06:00 17 Mar 2026 08:00 $1.632 $1.637 +0.15% CRASH 3 signal
15 Mar 2026 01:00 15 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.522 $1.637 +7.38% NEUTRAL 10 exit_fp
14 Mar 2026 10:00 14 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.532 $1.525 -0.62% CRASH 3 signal
13 Mar 2026 18:00 14 Mar 2026 09:00 $1.566 $1.549 -1.31% CRASH 16 stop
12 Mar 2026 02:00 13 Mar 2026 01:00 $1.542 $1.562 +1.14% BEAR 24 signal

Start Trading Gas Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time GAS signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

50.1% Win Rate Sharpe 3.18 737 Trades -17.7% Max Drawdown