KNCKNCKyber Network$0.119500+1.27%
24h High$0.12
24h Low$0.12
Volume$79,522
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / KNC
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

KNC Kyber Network (KNC) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for KNC - Kyber Network. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 881 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $70,301. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.119500 (+1.27%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Kyber Network (KNC) is one of the longest-running DeFi protocols, providing on-chain liquidity aggregation across multiple chains via KyberSwap. KNC has full multi-cycle history (since 2020) which makes it a stable training target. Smart routing fees and KyberDAO governance drive token utility.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View KNC Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.29
Sortino Ratio
2.85
Profit Factor
1.59
Calmar Ratio
13.06
Win Rate
43.5%
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Avg Drawdown
-11.91%
Alpha vs B&H
+8,257.7pp
Total Trades
881
Exposure
63.1%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
KNC

KNC Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-3.1%
8t
+9.4%
31t
+42.7%
35t
+26.6%
28t
+7.6%
33t
+23.0%
39t
+11.8%
38t
+59.9%
28t
+44.8%
50t
 +556.4%
2025
+27.8%
40t
+15.9%
40t
+10.8%
41t
+18.3%
36t
+1.1%
42t
+9.6%
27t
+4.5%
39t
+5.9%
32t
-8.5%
24t
+12.9%
34t
+24.1%
44t
-2.2%
35t
 +198.4%
2026
-11.8%
31t
+1.3%
27t
+46.5%
43t
-1.2%
32t
+18.8%
24t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +53.6%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +603.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 881 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.09% on 15 trades, WR 87%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.51% on 247 trades, WR 13%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for KNC over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 15 86.7% +3.09% 20.15 14.9
BULL 59 64.4% +2.35% 6.26 19.2
BEAR 381 49.3% +0.41% 1.69 13.2

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+14.3%
Win Rate
36.0%
18W / 32L
Max Drawdown
-6.9%
€10,000 Invested
€11,435
1.1x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
19 May 2026 20:00 19 May 2026 22:00 $0.14200 $0.14070 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
19 May 2026 12:00 19 May 2026 19:00 $0.14290 $0.14160 -1.46% NEUTRAL 8 stop
19 May 2026 03:00 19 May 2026 11:00 $0.14380 $0.14240 -1.46% BEAR 9 stop
16 May 2026 08:00 19 May 2026 01:00 $0.13940 $0.14410 +2.83% NEUTRAL 66 trail
15 May 2026 21:00 16 May 2026 07:00 $0.14280 $0.14150 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
14 May 2026 04:00 15 May 2026 20:00 $0.14430 $0.14290 -1.46% BEAR 41 stop
13 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 03:00 $0.14560 $0.14420 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
12 May 2026 15:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $0.15200 $0.15060 -1.46% CRASH 25 stop
12 May 2026 12:00 12 May 2026 14:00 $0.15410 $0.15260 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
10 May 2026 08:00 12 May 2026 11:00 $0.15830 $0.15680 -1.46% NEUTRAL 52 stop
09 May 2026 15:00 10 May 2026 02:00 $0.15480 $0.16020 +3.07% BUBBLE 12 signal
06 May 2026 06:00 07 May 2026 06:00 $0.14800 $0.15080 +1.48% BULL 25 signal
05 May 2026 10:00 05 May 2026 15:00 $0.15040 $0.14900 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
04 May 2026 19:00 05 May 2026 09:00 $0.15730 $0.15580 -1.46% CRASH 15 stop
04 May 2026 01:00 04 May 2026 18:00 $0.16010 $0.15860 -1.46% BEAR 18 stop
03 May 2026 23:00 04 May 2026 00:00 $0.16730 $0.16570 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
03 May 2026 17:00 03 May 2026 20:00 $0.16820 $0.16660 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
02 May 2026 23:00 03 May 2026 01:00 $0.16750 $0.17830 +6.01% BEAR 3 signal
02 May 2026 14:00 02 May 2026 20:00 $0.16280 $0.17050 +4.30% BEAR 7 signal
02 May 2026 10:00 02 May 2026 13:00 $0.16520 $0.16360 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
02 May 2026 06:00 02 May 2026 09:00 $0.17860 $0.17690 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
01 May 2026 23:00 02 May 2026 03:00 $0.13800 $0.17680 +27.59% CRASH 5 exit_fp
01 May 2026 08:00 01 May 2026 22:00 $0.13660 $0.13800 +0.52% BEAR 15 trail
29 Apr 2026 19:00 01 May 2026 07:00 $0.13770 $0.13640 -1.46% BEAR 37 stop
28 Apr 2026 16:00 29 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.14280 $0.14150 -1.46% CRASH 27 stop
28 Apr 2026 12:00 28 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.14330 $0.14260 -0.90% BEAR 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 16:00 28 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.14340 $0.14420 +0.15% BEAR 10 signal
27 Apr 2026 06:00 27 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.14480 $0.14340 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
27 Apr 2026 03:00 27 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.14700 $0.14560 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
25 Apr 2026 18:00 25 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.14230 $0.14320 +0.22% BEAR 5 signal
24 Apr 2026 05:00 24 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.14330 $0.14470 +0.56% NEUTRAL 5 signal
23 Apr 2026 20:00 23 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.14150 $0.14200 -0.06% BEAR 3 signal
23 Apr 2026 08:00 23 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.14170 $0.14200 -0.20% CRASH 7 signal
22 Apr 2026 23:00 23 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.14510 $0.14370 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop
20 Apr 2026 01:00 21 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.13480 $0.14150 +4.54% NEUTRAL 35 signal
19 Apr 2026 10:00 20 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.13850 $0.13720 -1.46% CRASH 15 stop
18 Apr 2026 09:00 19 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.14310 $0.14180 -1.46% CRASH 25 stop
17 Apr 2026 18:00 18 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.14390 $0.14700 +1.74% BEAR 14 signal
16 Apr 2026 01:00 16 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.13510 $0.13710 +1.07% NEUTRAL 16 signal
14 Apr 2026 19:00 14 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.13370 $0.13370 -0.41% BEAR 3 signal
14 Apr 2026 11:00 14 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.13460 $0.13550 +0.26% BEAR 4 signal
12 Apr 2026 20:00 14 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.13160 $0.13610 +3.00% BEAR 30 signal
12 Apr 2026 03:00 12 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.13310 $0.13180 -1.46% BEAR 17 stop
12 Apr 2026 01:00 12 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.13550 $0.13420 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
10 Apr 2026 08:00 11 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.13520 $0.13700 +0.78% BEAR 39 trail
10 Apr 2026 01:00 10 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.14080 $0.13950 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
09 Apr 2026 10:00 09 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.13750 $0.13950 +1.04% BEAR 11 signal
09 Apr 2026 08:00 09 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.13880 $0.13750 -1.46% BEAR 1 stop
09 Apr 2026 02:00 09 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.13290 $0.13880 +4.01% BEAR 6 exit_fp
08 Apr 2026 11:00 09 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.13560 $0.13430 -1.46% CRASH 15 stop

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These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time KNC signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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43.5% Win Rate Sharpe 2.29 881 Trades -11.9% Max Drawdown