LSKLisk$0.092000+4.55%

24h High$0.09

24h Low$0.09

Volume$240,303

Updated15:38 UTC

Modelv6.2 Pythia

OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

Lisk (LSK) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for LSK - Lisk. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from May 2020 → May 2026 across 2 walk-forward cycles (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 1,945 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $334,615,297. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 2 Walk-Forward Cycles • May 2020 – May 2026 • $0.092000 (+4.55%)

✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

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LINK — Chainlink

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Lisk (LSK) is one of the oldest blockchain platforms, originally launched in 2016 as a JavaScript-developer-focused chain and migrated to an Ethereum L2 architecture in 2024. Long-history asset with multi-cycle data including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action reflects developer-ecosystem narratives and the recent L2-migration catalyst.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Per-Cycle Trade Log All Backtests View LSK Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio

3.64

Sortino Ratio

4.39

Profit Factor

2.22

Calmar Ratio

34.41

Win Rate

42.0%

Max Drawdown

-14.2%

Avg Drawdown

-13.72%

Alpha vs B&H

+3,863,713.9pp

Total Trades

973

Exposure

55.7%

Beats B&H

2/2

Sharpe Trend

-0.71

LSK Monthly Returns

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year Σ
2020	—	—	—	—	+16.3% 8t	+22.8% 13t	+14.5% 11t	+22.1% 6t	+3.2% 21t	-1.1% 25t	+32.9% 23t	+40.8% 19t	+281.6%
2021	+73.0% 29t	+164.8% 21t	+52.2% 12t	+135.8% 33t	+205.7% 41t	+147.3% 41t	+79.7% 30t	+35.6% 37t	+58.1% 44t	+37.5% 30t	+84.0% 39t	+19.3% 33t	+144,501.7%
2022	+9.1% 22t	+35.9% 24t	+14.7% 15t	+29.4% 37t	+66.8% 32t	+29.6% 35t	+10.7% 24t	+10.7% 20t	+11.6% 23t	+0.8% 20t	+43.0% 24t	+7.0% 30t	+903.5%
2023	+1.2% 7t	+9.2% 16t	-0.6% 16t	+10.4% 12t	-5.7% 19t	+15.9% 24t	+10.1% 16t	+1.9% 17t	+4.6% 15t	+11.9% 18t	+12.9% 9t	+3.5% 9t	+103.0%
2024	+41.8% 34t	+11.0% 11t	+37.4% 15t	+58.1% 21t	+7.2% 28t	+19.8% 40t	+21.1% 37t	+12.8% 30t	+18.3% 33t	+3.4% 32t	+77.5% 25t	+35.8% 35t	+1,668.6%
2025	+55.8% 42t	+23.7% 43t	+16.2% 34t	+30.1% 28t	-1.8% 38t	+14.4% 30t	+36.7% 37t	+7.1% 41t	-7.0% 26t	+12.5% 29t	+202.1% 54t	+38.5% 54t	+1,995.8%
2026	+16.5% 28t	+27.4% 42t	-1.5% 34t	-2.5% 26t	+1.3% 18t	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	+44.5%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights

↑ Exceptional return: +33.46K× — compound across the full walk-forward window.
↑ Robust sample: 973 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +7.32% on 45 trades, WR 89%.
↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.07% on 692 trades, WR 21%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for LSK over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…

▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime	Trades	Win Rate	Avg PnL	Profit Factor	Avg Bars
BUBBLE	45	89.6%	+5.98%	75.57	15.4
BULL	216	69.9%	+3.45%	9.51	17.1
BEAR	738	45.7%	+0.88%	2.25	17.4

Per-Cycle Resultsv6.2 Pythia

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle	Period	Sharpe	Return	MaxDD	Win Rate	Trades	B&H
1	May '20 – Apr '24	3.99	820.9x	-13.2%	40.5%	1075	Yes
2	Apr '24 – May '26	3.28	39.7x	-14.2%	43.6%	870	Yes

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Mar 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return

-1.4%

Win Rate

34.0%

17W / 33L

Max Drawdown

-10.2%

€10,000 Invested

€9,864

1.0x return

Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

Entry	Exit	Entry Price	Exit Price	PnL	Regime	Bars	Exit Reason
17 May 2026 16:00	18 May 2026 01:00	$0.12100	$0.11990	-1.46%	CRASH	10	stop
15 May 2026 14:00	17 May 2026 14:00	$0.12200	$0.12080	-1.46%	BEAR	49	stop
15 May 2026 06:00	15 May 2026 13:00	$0.12700	$0.12580	-1.46%	CRASH	8	stop
14 May 2026 16:00	15 May 2026 05:00	$0.13200	$0.13080	-1.46%	CRASH	14	stop
14 May 2026 09:00	14 May 2026 15:00	$0.12700	$0.13200	+3.51%	BEAR	7	exit_fp
13 May 2026 16:00	14 May 2026 08:00	$0.12900	$0.12780	-1.46%	BEAR	17	stop
13 May 2026 13:00	13 May 2026 15:00	$0.13300	$0.13170	-1.46%	CRASH	3	stop
12 May 2026 15:00	13 May 2026 12:00	$0.13500	$0.13370	-1.46%	NEUTRAL	22	stop
12 May 2026 11:00	12 May 2026 14:00	$0.13600	$0.13470	-1.46%	CRASH	4	stop
10 May 2026 12:00	12 May 2026 10:00	$0.13900	$0.13770	-1.46%	BEAR	47	stop
08 May 2026 15:00	10 May 2026 07:00	$0.13400	$0.14100	+4.79%	BULL	41	short_signal
07 May 2026 04:00	08 May 2026 14:00	$0.13100	$0.13310	+1.04%	NEUTRAL	35	trail
06 May 2026 14:00	07 May 2026 03:00	$0.13300	$0.13170	-1.46%	BEAR	14	stop
06 May 2026 11:00	06 May 2026 13:00	$0.13700	$0.13570	-1.46%	NEUTRAL	3	stop
06 May 2026 06:00	06 May 2026 09:00	$0.13500	$0.13600	+0.33%	BEAR	4	signal
05 May 2026 06:00	06 May 2026 03:00	$0.13200	$0.13600	+2.61%	BEAR	22	signal
02 May 2026 22:00	05 May 2026 05:00	$0.12800	$0.13200	+2.70%	BEAR	56	exit_fp
30 Apr 2026 09:00	02 May 2026 21:00	$0.12400	$0.12800	+2.80%	BEAR	61	exit_fp
29 Apr 2026 17:00	30 Apr 2026 08:00	$0.12600	$0.12480	-1.46%	BEAR	16	stop
29 Apr 2026 13:00	29 Apr 2026 16:00	$0.12800	$0.12680	-1.46%	CRASH	4	stop
27 Apr 2026 16:00	29 Apr 2026 12:00	$0.12600	$0.12910	+1.97%	NEUTRAL	45	trail
27 Apr 2026 09:00	27 Apr 2026 15:00	$0.12800	$0.12680	-1.46%	CRASH	7	stop
23 Apr 2026 09:00	27 Apr 2026 08:00	$0.12800	$0.12680	-1.46%	BEAR	96	stop
21 Apr 2026 16:00	23 Apr 2026 08:00	$0.13000	$0.12880	-1.46%	CRASH	41	stop
21 Apr 2026 06:00	21 Apr 2026 15:00	$0.13200	$0.13080	-1.46%	BEAR	10	stop
19 Apr 2026 18:00	21 Apr 2026 04:00	$0.12700	$0.13100	+2.64%	NEUTRAL	35	trail
19 Apr 2026 06:00	19 Apr 2026 17:00	$0.12900	$0.12780	-1.46%	CRASH	12	stop
18 Apr 2026 19:00	19 Apr 2026 05:00	$0.13200	$0.13080	-1.46%	BEAR	11	stop
18 Apr 2026 12:00	18 Apr 2026 18:00	$0.13500	$0.13370	-1.46%	CRASH	7	stop
18 Apr 2026 05:00	18 Apr 2026 11:00	$0.13700	$0.13570	-1.46%	BEAR	7	stop
17 Apr 2026 20:00	18 Apr 2026 04:00	$0.13800	$0.13670	-1.46%	NEUTRAL	9	stop
17 Apr 2026 04:00	17 Apr 2026 06:00	$0.13200	$0.13400	+1.10%	BEAR	3	signal
17 Apr 2026 00:00	17 Apr 2026 02:00	$0.13400	$0.13200	-1.90%	BEAR	3	signal
14 Apr 2026 20:00	16 Apr 2026 21:00	$0.12500	$0.13300	+5.96%	CRASH	50	signal
14 Apr 2026 18:00	14 Apr 2026 19:00	$0.12700	$0.12580	-1.46%	CRASH	2	stop
13 Apr 2026 09:00	14 Apr 2026 17:00	$0.12200	$0.12620	+2.94%	BEAR	33	trail
12 Apr 2026 04:00	13 Apr 2026 08:00	$0.12400	$0.12280	-1.46%	BEAR	29	stop
08 Apr 2026 15:00	12 Apr 2026 03:00	$0.12800	$0.12680	-1.46%	CRASH	85	stop
08 Apr 2026 04:00	08 Apr 2026 14:00	$0.13000	$0.12880	-1.46%	BEAR	11	stop
07 Apr 2026 23:00	08 Apr 2026 03:00	$0.12800	$0.13000	+1.15%	BEAR	5	exit_fp
05 Apr 2026 07:00	07 Apr 2026 22:00	$0.12200	$0.12800	+4.49%	BEAR	64	exit_fp
04 Apr 2026 03:00	05 Apr 2026 06:00	$0.12400	$0.12280	-1.46%	CRASH	28	stop
02 Apr 2026 04:00	04 Apr 2026 02:00	$0.11800	$0.12400	+4.66%	BEAR	47	exit_fp
30 Mar 2026 15:00	02 Apr 2026 03:00	$0.12000	$0.11890	-1.46%	CRASH	61	stop
27 Mar 2026 12:00	30 Mar 2026 14:00	$0.12200	$0.12080	-1.46%	BEAR	75	stop
27 Mar 2026 04:00	27 Mar 2026 11:00	$0.12600	$0.12480	-1.46%	CRASH	8	stop
26 Mar 2026 10:00	27 Mar 2026 03:00	$0.12800	$0.12680	-1.46%	BEAR	18	stop
25 Mar 2026 11:00	26 Mar 2026 09:00	$0.13100	$0.12980	-1.46%	CRASH	23	stop
23 Mar 2026 15:00	25 Mar 2026 09:00	$0.12900	$0.13100	+1.14%	BEAR	43	signal
22 Mar 2026 22:00	23 Mar 2026 14:00	$0.12300	$0.12900	+4.45%	BEAR	17	exit_fp

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42.0% Win Rate Sharpe 3.64 973 Trades -14.2% Max Drawdown

Lisk (LSK) Backtest

Performance Overview

LSK Monthly Returns

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Price & trade markers

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Per-Cycle Resultsv6.2 Pythia

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Start Trading Lisk Smarter

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