NEARNEARNEAR Protocol$2.1670+1.26%
24h High$2.19
24h Low$2.10
Volume$23.4M
Updated16:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / NEAR
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for NEAR - NEAR Protocol. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 965 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $252,177. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $2.1670 (+1.26%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

NEAR Protocol is a sharded, proof-of-stake Layer 1 blockchain designed for developer and user friendliness. With human-readable account names and low transaction fees, NEAR targets mainstream adoption. The protocol's chain abstraction technology and AI integrations drive periodic price catalysts. NEAR shows strong trending patterns during ecosystem growth phases.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View NEAR Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
4.02
Sortino Ratio
5.09
Profit Factor
2.12
Calmar Ratio
50.12
Win Rate
46.5%
Max Drawdown
-7.4%
Avg Drawdown
-7.42%
Alpha vs B&H
+9,779.3pp
Total Trades
965
Exposure
59.3%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
NEAR

NEAR Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
+11.8%
11t
+50.5%
27t
+25.8%
32t
+20.8%
43t
+31.6%
41t
+28.9%
37t
+16.3%
40t
+68.1%
34t
+34.3%
55t
 +1,039.2%
2025 +21.2%
44t
 		+58.3%
43t
 		+31.1%
37t
 		+50.5%
39t
 		+33.7%
54t
 		+18.8%
27t
 		+31.9%
30t
 		+11.7%
37t
 		-3.2%
25t
 		+37.9%
41t
 		+47.4%
69t
 		+17.5%
40t
 		+1,946.2%
2026 +2.0%
32t
 		+47.2%
34t
 		+4.8%
41t
 		+26.4%
40t
+25.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +148.9%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +2,421.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 965 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.63% on 45 trades, WR 71%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.26% on 274 trades, WR 22%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for NEAR over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 45 71.1% +2.63% 10.91 14.2
BULL 69 52.2% +2.01% 4.19 18.6
BEAR 429 55.9% +0.89% 2.85 10.8

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+23.9%
Win Rate
48.0%
24W / 26L
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
€10,000 Invested
€12,390
1.2x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
20 May 2026 01:00 20 May 2026 07:00 $1.590 $1.650 +3.51% BULL 7 short_signal
16 May 2026 09:00 16 May 2026 14:00 $1.496 $1.493 -0.45% NEUTRAL 6 signal
15 May 2026 16:00 16 May 2026 08:00 $1.530 $1.514 -1.37% NEUTRAL 17 stop
13 May 2026 22:00 14 May 2026 04:00 $1.572 $1.556 -1.37% BULL 7 stop
11 May 2026 15:00 13 May 2026 03:00 $1.518 $1.676 +10.13% BULL 37 exit_fp
10 May 2026 21:00 11 May 2026 13:00 $1.541 $1.525 -1.37% NEUTRAL 17 stop
08 May 2026 14:00 10 May 2026 07:00 $1.545 $1.564 +0.94% BULL 42 trail
07 May 2026 21:00 08 May 2026 07:00 $1.460 $1.542 +5.42% BUBBLE 11 exit_fp
04 May 2026 11:00 06 May 2026 09:00 $1.256 $1.410 +12.05% BULL 47 short_signal
02 May 2026 13:00 04 May 2026 10:00 $1.284 $1.270 -1.33% NEUTRAL 46 stop
01 May 2026 06:00 02 May 2026 11:00 $1.301 $1.287 -1.33% BULL 30 stop
30 Apr 2026 19:00 01 May 2026 01:00 $1.307 $1.297 -0.95% BEAR 7 signal
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 18:00 $1.320 $1.306 -1.33% NEUTRAL 27 stop
29 Apr 2026 08:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $1.360 $1.345 -1.33% BEAR 8 stop
28 Apr 2026 16:00 28 Apr 2026 19:00 $1.333 $1.351 +1.16% NEUTRAL 4 signal
28 Apr 2026 03:00 28 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.358 $1.350 -0.78% NEUTRAL 11 signal
27 Apr 2026 05:00 27 Apr 2026 20:00 $1.384 $1.369 -1.33% BEAR 16 stop
26 Apr 2026 13:00 27 Apr 2026 00:00 $1.396 $1.403 +0.31% BULL 12 exit_fp
24 Apr 2026 01:00 25 Apr 2026 06:00 $1.405 $1.415 +0.52% BULL 30 short_signal
23 Apr 2026 10:00 23 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.371 $1.405 +2.29% NEUTRAL 14 signal
23 Apr 2026 02:00 23 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.397 $1.382 -1.33% BEAR 8 stop
20 Apr 2026 00:00 22 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.332 $1.423 +6.63% NEUTRAL 62 signal
19 Apr 2026 00:00 19 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.343 $1.329 -1.33% BEAR 24 stop
18 Apr 2026 02:00 18 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.396 $1.381 -1.33% CRASH 22 stop
17 Apr 2026 16:00 17 Apr 2026 18:00 $1.412 $1.421 +0.45% NEUTRAL 3 signal
17 Apr 2026 11:00 17 Apr 2026 14:00 $1.389 $1.421 +2.11% NEUTRAL 4 signal
17 Apr 2026 02:00 17 Apr 2026 07:00 $1.415 $1.422 +0.30% BEAR 6 signal
16 Apr 2026 14:00 16 Apr 2026 23:00 $1.376 $1.430 +3.73% BEAR 10 signal
16 Apr 2026 10:00 16 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.401 $1.386 -1.33% BEAR 4 stop
16 Apr 2026 04:00 16 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.429 $1.414 -1.33% BULL 6 stop
14 Apr 2026 21:00 16 Apr 2026 03:00 $1.367 $1.429 +4.34% NEUTRAL 31 exit_fp
14 Apr 2026 17:00 14 Apr 2026 19:00 $1.368 $1.371 +0.03% BEAR 3 signal
14 Apr 2026 11:00 14 Apr 2026 15:00 $1.405 $1.390 -1.33% NEUTRAL 5 stop
12 Apr 2026 22:00 13 Apr 2026 21:00 $1.352 $1.405 +3.72% NEUTRAL 24 signal
12 Apr 2026 11:00 12 Apr 2026 17:00 $1.332 $1.366 +2.36% CRASH 7 signal
12 Apr 2026 02:00 12 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.349 $1.335 -1.33% CRASH 8 stop
11 Apr 2026 07:00 11 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.337 $1.342 +0.18% BEAR 3 signal
11 Apr 2026 02:00 11 Apr 2026 06:00 $1.351 $1.337 -1.33% BEAR 5 stop
09 Apr 2026 09:00 09 Apr 2026 14:00 $1.331 $1.358 +1.83% BEAR 6 signal
08 Apr 2026 23:00 09 Apr 2026 04:00 $1.338 $1.336 -0.34% BEAR 6 signal
08 Apr 2026 19:00 08 Apr 2026 21:00 $1.342 $1.345 -0.03% BEAR 3 signal
08 Apr 2026 15:00 08 Apr 2026 17:00 $1.351 $1.359 +0.34% BEAR 3 signal
08 Apr 2026 07:00 08 Apr 2026 11:00 $1.335 $1.371 +2.44% BEAR 5 signal
07 Apr 2026 03:00 08 Apr 2026 01:00 $1.238 $1.300 +4.81% BEAR 23 signal
06 Apr 2026 16:00 07 Apr 2026 02:00 $1.281 $1.267 -1.33% CRASH 11 stop
05 Apr 2026 16:00 05 Apr 2026 22:00 $1.250 $1.242 -0.89% BEAR 7 signal
05 Apr 2026 11:00 05 Apr 2026 13:00 $1.243 $1.246 -0.01% BEAR 3 signal
05 Apr 2026 07:00 05 Apr 2026 09:00 $1.246 $1.244 -0.41% BEAR 3 signal
03 Apr 2026 03:00 04 Apr 2026 00:00 $1.170 $1.210 +3.22% BEAR 22 signal
02 Apr 2026 09:00 02 Apr 2026 11:00 $1.157 $1.154 -0.45% CRASH 3 signal

Start Trading NEAR Protocol Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time NEAR signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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46.5% Win Rate Sharpe 4.02 965 Trades -7.4% Max Drawdown